NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	110		Excitement	6.8 [476]		MVP	James Harden (HOU): +28.5%
Houston Rockets	130		Comeback	1.3 [921]		LVP	Roy Hibbert (LAL): -11.2%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Metta World Peace	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.07	0.07	-0.02	5	80%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08	0.15	-0.03	0.04	22	64%	0.17	4	-0.09	11	100%	0.03
Larry Nance Jr.	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	5	80%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	17	62%	0.13	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	0.03	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.04	8	58%	0.11	4	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Tarik Black	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	6	57%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Ryan Kelly	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcelo Huertas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.01	9	47%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
D'Angelo Russell	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	5	67%	0.07	5	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Roy Hibbert	-0.11	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	0.00	6	17%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0.08,0.08,0.2,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.11	0.16	-0.01	31	57%	0.38	4	-0.09	8	75%	0.01
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.06	0.00	8	69%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	6	64%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	4	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.11	-0.01	0.08	11	79%	0.06	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	4	56%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.00	7	53%	0.02	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Michael Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	0.00	0.05	14	68%	0.07	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Donatas Motiejunas	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	8	44%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
KJ McDaniels	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Goudelock	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	1.7	26.3	15.7	24.6	1.7	27.2	120.8
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +16.8%

HOU +3.0%

HOU +5.9%

HOU +23.0%

HOU +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	HOU	NBA	LAL	HOU	NBA
this game	14.5	13.3	14.9	107.8	123.8	105.1
season	15.2	14.0		100.1	105.9
opponent	15.1	14.5		106.9	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.5	14.5	13.5	14.5	14.5
HOU	12.8	13.7	12.2	14.8	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Kelly	5	6	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.05	1	-21	22	14.0	14.5	-0.53	12.7	13.4	-0.72
Marcelo Huertas	49	52	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.13	2	-22	24	15.2	13.9	1.28	14.5	12.2	2.22
Tarik Black	49	51	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.10	-7	-13	6	14.7	14.3	0.45	14.1	12.6	1.43
Larry Nance Jr.	36	37	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-19	18	15.4	14.0	1.37	14.8	12.5	2.31
Metta World Peace	36	36	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.10	-11	-9	-2	15.2	14.1	1.07	15.4	12.2	3.20
Kobe Bryant	61	63	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.06	-10	-10	0	14.1	15.0	-0.92	12.2	15.0	-2.84
Julius Randle	66	68	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.17	-19	-1	-18	14.0	15.4	-1.37	12.5	14.8	-2.31
Roy Hibbert	53	54	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.02	-13	-7	-6	14.3	14.7	-0.45	12.6	14.1	-1.43
D'Angelo Russell	77	79	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.12	-18	-2	-16	14.2	15.4	-1.19	12.6	15.7	-3.07
Jordan Clarkson	78	79	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	0.18	-24	4	-28	14.4	14.9	-0.54	13.4	13.3	0.10

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trevor Ariza	84	83	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.07	24	-4	28	12.5	16.5	-3.98	14.3	15.3	-1.00
James Harden	91	90	0.58	-0.08	0.66	-0.10	23	-3	26	13.1	14.9	-1.83	14.5	14.8	-0.38
Dwight Howard	74	74	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.12	23	-3	26	12.9	14.5	-1.66	14.4	14.9	-0.49
Josh Smith	37	37	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.03	13	7	6	14.8	12.6	2.22	16.1	13.6	2.48
Jason Terry	42	40	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.04	7	13	-6	14.5	12.5	2.01	15.6	13.8	1.81
Donatas Motiejunas	46	45	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.12	12	8	4	12.3	14.2	-1.93	13.3	15.4	-2.09
Patrick Beverley	76	74	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.11	10	10	0	12.8	14.7	-1.81	14.0	15.9	-1.97
KJ McDaniels	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.15	5	15	-10	18.0	13.2	4.79	15.7	14.5	1.20
Andrew Goudelock	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	20	-20	23.0	13.2	9.75	0.0	14.5	-14.50
Clint Capela	31	28	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	23	-26	14.5	12.9	1.66	14.9	14.4	0.49
Michael Beasley	22	20	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.06	-5	25	-30	13.2	13.4	-0.20	14.2	14.6	-0.37
Corey Brewer	18	16	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.01	-9	29	-38	16.3	12.7	3.54	15.2	14.4	0.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.64,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.76,0.63,0.8,0.75,0.81,0.74,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.83,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 86, HOU 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.69,0.77,0.82,0.85,0.82,0.7,0.67,0.73,0.82,0.93,0.97,1,0.98,1,1,1	94.0%
DAL 89, POR 101	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.61,0.55,0.54,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.76,0.84,0.8,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.81,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.99,1,1,1	93.3%
BKN 96, CHA 111	0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.61,0.6,0.51,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.64,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.64,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.75,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.8,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.8,0.9,0.9,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.3%