NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	84		Excitement	5.5 [708]		MVP	Wesley Person (CLE): +11.9%
New Jersey Nets	96		Comeback	1.5 [1024]		LVP	Chris Mihm (CLE): -22.6%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Person	0.12	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.04	-0.00	9	72%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	5	80%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bimbo Coles	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryant Stith	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.03	0.02	9	73%	0.11	3	-0.13	8	87%	0.04
Andre Miller	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	9	36%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02
Brian Skinner	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	7	29%	-0.06	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	0.03	-0.08	0.05	18	57%	-0.02	2	-0.09	6	83%	0.01
Chris Mihm	-0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.18	-0.06	-0.02	10	10%	-0.14	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.01	-0.00	17	64%	0.14	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Kenyon Martin	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.06	0.09	-0.04	15	49%	0.11	2	-0.04	9	67%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.03	-0.02	10	55%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Todd MacCulloch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.03	0.01	8	57%	0.04	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.02
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	8	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	0.00	7	43%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	0.04	16	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.4	2.4	22.6	14.7	21.2	2.5	31.5	115.2
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +34.0%

CLE -1.9%

NJN +5.5%

NJN +12.6%

CLE -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	NJN	NBA	CLE	NJN	NBA
this game	16.9	15.6	15.6	95.5	107.9	102.3
season	15.8	14.7		102.6	101.4
opponent	16.0	15.5		98.0	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.8	18.8	16.7	16.6	16.9
NJN	14.2	15.5	15.3	17.7	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bimbo Coles	30	29	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.03	5	-17	22	19.0	15.9	3.07	16.1	15.3	0.79
Brian Skinner	16	15	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.06	-2	-10	8	18.5	16.6	1.90	13.9	15.9	-2.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	29	30	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.23	4	-16	20	19.2	15.8	3.38	18.5	14.1	4.36
Bryant Stith	33	35	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.20	2	-14	16	19.5	15.4	4.02	16.9	14.8	2.06
Ricky Davis	25	25	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.04	-4	-8	4	18.4	16.3	2.09	15.7	15.6	0.10
Lamond Murray	71	72	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.12	-4	-8	4	16.3	19.8	-3.50	15.7	15.3	0.39
Jumaine Jones	60	61	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.07	-12	0	-12	16.1	18.8	-2.70	15.6	15.7	-0.16
Chris Mihm	60	60	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.06	-18	6	-24	15.9	19.1	-3.12	14.2	18.6	-4.37
Wesley Person	58	58	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.07	-14	2	-16	16.1	18.7	-2.61	15.2	16.4	-1.20
Andre Miller	58	60	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.12	-17	5	-22	15.9	19.0	-3.07	15.3	16.1	-0.79

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kidd	79	79	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.08	22	-10	32	15.2	18.8	-3.60	16.4	21.3	-4.89
Todd MacCulloch	65	64	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.05	21	-9	30	14.9	17.5	-2.59	16.0	19.6	-3.63
Kenyon Martin	75	76	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.13	12	0	12	15.5	16.1	-0.64	16.7	18.7	-2.00
Keith Van Horn	72	71	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.08	12	0	12	15.1	17.6	-2.52	16.3	19.8	-3.50
Kerry Kittles	66	66	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.10	6	6	0	15.6	15.6	0.06	16.2	19.0	-2.80
Richard Jefferson	31	29	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.09	0	12	-12	17.0	14.9	2.09	19.3	15.8	3.53
Lucious Harris	29	27	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.09	0	12	-12	16.3	15.2	1.09	19.2	16.0	3.23
Brandon Armstrong	4	4	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.02	-4	16	-20	18.0	15.5	2.51	23.2	16.6	6.61
Aaron Williams	24	24	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.09	-9	21	-30	17.5	14.9	2.59	19.6	16.0	3.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.79,0.73,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.71,0.81,0.74,0.82,0.76,0.81,0.89,0.76,0.9,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 92, SEA 105	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.65,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.66,0.7,0.85,0.83,0.87,0.86,0.89,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1	93.9%
NJN 73, POR 82	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.52,0.55,0.66,0.78,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.97,0.95,0.99,1,1,1	93.8%
GSW 95, LAC 109	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.56,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.66,0.71,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.75,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	93.6%