NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	102		Excitement	8.7 [186]		MVP	Anfernee Simons (POR): +47.4%
Portland Trail Blazers	106		Comeback	4.8 [142]		LVP	Bogdan Bogdanovic (ATL): -24.7%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dejounte Murray	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.17,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.09,0.17,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.15	0.14	0.03	0.01	29	63%	0.32	5	-0.17	5	80%	0.01
Garrison Mathews	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.08	0.04	-0.01	3	100%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Clint Capela	0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.00	9	57%	0.11	2	-0.05	5	20%	-0.09
Vit Krejci	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	4	70%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.03
Trent Forrest	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	4	60%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Dylan Windler	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
De'Andre Hunter	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	12	42%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Wesley Matthews	-0.04	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	7	21%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruno Fernando	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	5	60%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Bogdan Bogdanovic	-0.25	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.25	-0.13	-0.15	-0.03	15	27%	-0.20	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anfernee Simons	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.4,0.4,0.47	0.47	0.20	0.26	-0.01	23	63%	0.49	1	-0.01	11	100%	0.10
Deandre Ayton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.19	0.19	0.17	0.04	0.03	20	75%	0.31	3	-0.12	4	75%	-0.02
Matisse Thybulle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.03	0.08	-0.03	6	67%	0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dalano Banton	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.00	8	67%	0.12	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Justin Minaya	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Toumani Camara	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	3	37%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.04
Duop Reath	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	12%	-0.04	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Scoot Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.15	-0.05	-0.02	8	12%	-0.10	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Kris Murray	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.10	-0.10	-0.00	8	47%	0.03	6	-0.23	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	1.8	28.5	1.7	26.3	0.7	39.6	121.4
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +20.6%

POR +24.8%

POR +18.4%

ATL -14.0%

POR +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	POR	NBA	ATL	POR	NBA
this game	15.3	14.4	14.5	105.2	109.3	113.9
season	14.2	14.8		115.7	106.9
opponent	14.5	14.3		116.2	118.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.0	15.8	15.2	15.3	15.3
POR	14.4	14.9	13.0	15.3	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trent Forrest	25	24	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.02	2	-6	8	16.3	15.0	1.31	12.6	15.0	-2.39
Garrison Mathews	42	43	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.19	4	-8	12	15.4	15.3	0.13	14.2	14.6	-0.39
Dylan Windler	11	11	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.13	-8	4	-12	15.9	15.2	0.68	12.8	14.6	-1.76
Bogdan Bogdanovic	65	67	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.26	5	-9	14	15.4	15.2	0.14	14.8	13.4	1.47
Wesley Matthews	30	30	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.02	-6	2	-8	14.7	15.6	-0.83	14.2	14.5	-0.26
De'Andre Hunter	65	64	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.46	8	-12	20	15.4	15.0	0.41	14.7	13.7	0.99
Bruno Fernando	43	42	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.29	2	-6	8	15.2	15.4	-0.14	14.3	14.5	-0.17
Clint Capela	55	55	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.20	-8	4	-12	15.1	15.6	-0.46	14.5	14.3	0.17
Vit Krejci	61	61	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.28	-6	2	-8	15.1	15.6	-0.48	14.9	13.5	1.40
Dejounte Murray	88	88	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.31	-13	9	-22	15.3	15.7	-0.39	14.3	15.3	-1.05

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deandre Ayton	81	81	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.29	16	-12	28	14.3	15.0	-0.74	15.6	13.8	1.79
Kris Murray	71	71	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.23	17	-13	30	14.2	14.8	-0.58	15.3	15.2	0.11
Anfernee Simons	86	86	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.35	13	-9	22	14.2	15.7	-1.52	15.4	14.5	0.96
Toumani Camara	63	62	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.31	12	-8	20	13.8	15.4	-1.63	15.1	15.7	-0.59
Matisse Thybulle	64	64	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.39	-4	8	-12	14.3	14.5	-0.16	15.6	14.7	0.88
Scoot Henderson	34	36	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.00	-3	7	-10	15.3	13.9	1.41	15.1	15.4	-0.36
Dalano Banton	39	39	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.18	-10	14	-24	14.7	14.2	0.52	16.0	14.9	1.11
Justin Minaya	31	30	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	0.07	-9	13	-22	15.1	14.0	1.05	14.1	15.8	-1.70
Duop Reath	16	16	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	0.09	-12	16	-28	15.0	14.3	0.74	13.8	15.6	-1.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.26,0.18,0.17,0.22,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.28,0.31,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.55,0.45,0.55,0.65,0.78,0.7,0.7,0.64,0.78,0.66,0.75,0.71,0.73,0.79,0.81,0.72,0.68,0.77,0.9,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 96, NYK 99	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.27,0.3,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.17,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.56,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.85,0.79,0.84,0.78,0.62,0.64,0.77,0.91,1	92.6%
POR 86, SEA 87	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.21,0.23,0.24,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.18,0.29,0.34,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.7,0.62,0.75,0.71,0.68,0.47,0.66,0.62,0.61,0.78,0.67,0.95,1	91.6%
PHX 116, NOP 125	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.15,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.3,0.25,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.69,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.83,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.79,0.77,1,1	91.5%