NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	117		Excitement	7.7 [326]		MVP	Kevin Durant (PHX): +25.8%
Cleveland Cavaliers	111		Comeback	8.3 [380]		LVP	Royce O'Neale (PHX): -14.3%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0.26	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,0,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.37,0.37,0.3,0.26	0.17	0.09	-0.00	26	65%	0.31	3	-0.06	5	80%	0.00
Grayson Allen	0.19	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19	0.11	0.10	0.01	6	100%	0.24	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.03
Bradley Beal	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.05	0.01	19	60%	0.16	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Devin Booker	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	22	56%	0.13	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.01
Drew Eubanks	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Roddy	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bol Bol	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	5	56%	0.03	3	-0.08	6	17%	-0.09
Royce O'Neale	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.07	-0.07	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Caris LeVert	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.02	16	53%	0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Craig Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	-0.04	0.00	7	81%	0.12	1	-0.07	2	100%	0.03
Damian Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.00	7	60%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Sam Merrill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.04	-0.01	5	30%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.01	0.01	0.09	-0.07	0.01	7	75%	0.15	1	-0.14	6	83%	-0.01
Darius Garland	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0	0.00	0.14	-0.11	0.03	17	79%	0.15	5	-0.14	4	75%	-0.01
Isaiah Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	4	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Georges Niang	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	9	40%	-0.04	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Isaac Okoro	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.13	-0.13	-0.03	-0.10	0.00	12	46%	0.02	2	-0.15	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.4	26.5	16.5	27.4	1.8	33.3	130.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +43.0%

CLE -8.0%

CLE -6.9%

PHX +26.8%

CLE -4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	CLE	NBA	PHX	CLE	NBA
this game	14.3	15.7	14.5	121.9	115.6	113.9
season	14.6	14.8		116.1	113.0
opponent	14.7	14.4		111.3	113.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.2	12.7	13.3	16.2	14.3
CLE	13.6	16.1	16.0	17.3	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Durant	80	79	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.39	13	-7	20	14.0	15.8	-1.84	15.5	16.7	-1.20
Devin Booker	78	78	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.29	12	-6	18	14.2	14.5	-0.27	15.2	17.9	-2.67
Grayson Allen	71	70	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.42	5	1	4	14.8	12.9	1.89	16.0	15.1	0.88
Drew Eubanks	35	33	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.27	5	1	4	14.3	14.3	0.01	17.2	15.0	2.23
Bradley Beal	70	72	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.15	6	0	6	14.1	14.7	-0.62	15.5	16.2	-0.71
Royce O'Neale	57	58	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.04	3	3	0	13.7	15.1	-1.43	16.3	14.9	1.36
Jusuf Nurkic	58	60	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.10	-3	9	-12	14.9	13.3	1.60	15.3	16.4	-1.03
David Roddy	12	11	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.04	1	5	-4	12.4	14.5	-2.13	14.7	15.8	-1.12
Bol Bol	19	19	-0.35	0.85	-1.20	0.00	-12	18	-30	15.5	14.0	1.55	16.1	15.6	0.42

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Merrill	42	41	0.24	-0.74	0.98	-0.05	10	-16	26	15.6	15.8	-0.13	14.6	14.1	0.49
Isaiah Mobley	29	28	0.19	-0.69	0.89	0.02	6	-12	18	15.7	15.7	-0.09	13.4	14.7	-1.30
Damian Jones	24	25	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.01	-4	-2	-2	14.6	16.1	-1.46	12.5	14.9	-2.38
Caris LeVert	67	67	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.21	2	-8	10	15.2	17.0	-1.79	14.6	13.6	1.00
Craig Porter Jr.	41	41	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.24	-1	-5	4	17.3	14.6	2.70	14.7	14.0	0.66
Jarrett Allen	74	73	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.36	-4	-2	-2	16.0	14.8	1.17	14.8	12.6	2.20
Georges Niang	51	53	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.15	-13	7	-20	15.7	15.8	-0.11	14.0	14.7	-0.71
Isaac Okoro	79	79	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.27	-10	4	-14	15.6	16.1	-0.48	14.2	14.5	-0.23
Darius Garland	73	73	-0.81	0.31	-1.12	-0.34	-16	10	-26	15.6	16.0	-0.37	14.3	14.1	0.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.82,0.79,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.26,0.19,0.29,0.33,0.37,0.41,0.47,0.33,0.24,0.22,0.09,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 103, MEM 98	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.71,0.75,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.72,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.71,0.78,0.74,0.73,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.29,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.33,0.24,0.28,0.2,0.02,0	92.0%
SAS 99, OKC 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.74,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.29,0.23,0.31,0.4,0.22,0.25,0.16,0.23,0.17,0	91.7%
MEM 88, LAL 86	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.69,0.7,0.79,0.78,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.52,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.19,0.25,0.29,0.27,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.31,0.37,0.15,0.42,0	91.2%