NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	112		Excitement	5.1 [774]		MVP	Fred VanVleet (HOU): +16.3%
Sacramento Kings	104		Comeback	4.1 [130]		LVP	Domantas Sabonis (SAC): -9.9%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Fred VanVleet	0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.09	0.07	-0.00	8	85%	0.24	5	-0.07	10	100%	0.04
Jock Landale	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.02	-0.01	4	82%	0.11	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Jalen Green	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.01	15	50%	0.08	0	0.00	8	75%	0.00
Alperen Sengun	0.05	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.04	0.00	14	47%	0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Jeff Green	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	62%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cam Whitmore	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	10	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amen Thompson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.02	9	72%	0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dillon Brooks	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.01	8	56%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Aaron Holiday	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Smith Jr.	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.03	0.02	10	45%	-0.02	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malik Monk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	0.01	0.05	16	59%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Alex Len	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keegan Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	11	45%	0.03	0	0.00	7	100%	0.03
De'Aaron Fox	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0	0.00	-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	21	41%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Trey Lyles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01
Kevin Huerter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	7	43%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Keon Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	6	36%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Davion Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.02	-0.04	0.03	7	57%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	0.03	-0.06	0.07	11	89%	0.16	9	-0.26	6	83%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.6	2.4	25.6	15.4	34.1	1.8	37.4	138.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +31.8%

HOU +6.8%

SAC -3.6%

HOU +13.7%

HOU +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	SAC	NBA	HOU	SAC	NBA
this game	14.8	13.5	14.5	109.8	102.0	113.9
season	14.2	14.0		113.2	115.6
opponent	14.8	14.6		113.6	112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	13.9	14.9	14.4	15.9	14.8
SAC	12.2	17.1	13.3	11.8	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jabari Smith Jr.	75	74	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.11	16	-8	24	14.1	16.6	-2.50	12.9	14.9	-2.00
Fred VanVleet	82	81	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.33	7	1	6	14.8	14.5	0.32	12.8	16.1	-3.29
Jalen Green	73	73	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.26	6	2	4	15.6	12.7	2.89	13.1	14.4	-1.30
Alperen Sengun	60	61	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.29	5	3	2	15.9	13.1	2.78	13.0	14.2	-1.15
Dillon Brooks	66	66	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.29	4	4	0	14.8	14.7	0.05	12.3	15.7	-3.42
Cam Whitmore	40	40	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.08	0	8	-8	14.8	14.7	0.12	14.7	12.7	2.05
Amen Thompson	44	44	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.10	-2	10	-12	13.9	15.4	-1.45	13.4	13.6	-0.21
Jock Landale	36	36	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.01	1	7	-6	14.3	15.0	-0.69	15.1	12.6	2.52
Jeff Green	21	22	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.07	3	5	-2	14.0	14.9	-0.89	16.8	12.6	4.26
Aaron Holiday	13	13	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	-0.08	0	8	-8	13.2	15.0	-1.83	17.6	12.9	4.74

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alex Len	10	10	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.05	-1	-7	6	17.8	13.0	4.79	15.0	14.7	0.27
Kevin Huerter	55	56	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.25	7	-15	22	12.0	15.3	-3.29	15.4	13.9	1.49
Trey Lyles	40	42	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	-4	0	14.5	12.8	1.68	14.2	15.1	-0.88
Davion Mitchell	35	33	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.35	5	-13	18	13.9	13.3	0.57	16.5	13.9	2.51
Keon Ellis	36	34	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.03	-9	1	-10	16.4	11.9	4.58	13.7	15.3	-1.53
De'Aaron Fox	75	76	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.05	-9	1	-10	13.1	14.7	-1.61	14.3	16.2	-1.88
Malik Monk	59	58	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.16	-7	-1	-6	13.9	12.9	0.95	14.5	15.1	-0.59
Domantas Sabonis	84	82	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.41	1	-9	10	13.2	14.6	-1.31	15.0	13.6	1.37
Keegan Murray	70	71	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.23	-6	-2	-4	12.5	15.6	-3.08	14.9	14.3	0.62
Harrison Barnes	46	48	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.09	-17	9	-26	12.9	13.9	-0.99	14.2	15.2	-0.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.47,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.77,0.74,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.72,0.73,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.38,0.25,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.11,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 113, NYK 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.8,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.77,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.35,0.24,0.13,0.13,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0	94.8%
DAL 103, WAS 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.8,0.72,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.67,0.58,0.66,0.68,0.61,0.42,0.48,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.24,0.14,0.13,0.08,0.13,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.02,0.05,0,0,0.01,0,0	94.4%
GSW 117, SAC 106	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.78,0.8,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.83,0.78,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.6,0.66,0.61,0.52,0.36,0.29,0.2,0.24,0.12,0.16,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	94.2%