NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	113		Excitement	5.6 [729]		MVP	OG Anunoby (TOR): +20.0%
New York Knicks	104		Comeback	5.7 [94]		LVP	Precious Achiuwa (TOR): -12.8%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
OG Anunoby	0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.16	0.04	0.00	27	59%	0.22	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.00
Svi Mykhailiuk	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.15	0.05	0.01	7	88%	0.19	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Gary Trent Jr.	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.09	0.04	-0.00	22	57%	0.15	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Fred VanVleet	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.04	0.02	16	53%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dalano Banton	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malachi Flynn	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khem Birch	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	6	50%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Justin Champagnie	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Boucher	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Precious Achiuwa	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.15	-0.01	-0.03	9	11%	-0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.04	0.01	10	68%	0.13	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
RJ Barrett	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.15	0.03	0.09	13	84%	0.20	4	-0.12	6	67%	0.03
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.00	3	83%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.09	-0.05	0.02	14	69%	0.11	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Taj Gibson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mitchell Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	60%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Immanuel Quickley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	7	39%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Jericho Sims	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Obi Toppin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	8	25%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Evan Fournier	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	13	43%	-0.05	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.8	28.4	16.2	23.7	2.5	27.5	125.4
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +15.5%

NYK -0.5%

TOR +11.1%

TOR +26.1%

NYK -2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	NYK	NBA	TOR	NYK	NBA
this game	14.4	15.0	14.5	114.1	107.2	110.8
season	14.9	15.1		111.3	109.4
opponent	14.6	14.8		109.6	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	15.6	13.2	13.9	15.1	14.4
NYK	16.3	15.1	15.5	13.1	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Khem Birch	68	64	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.08	20	-11	31	13.8	15.7	-1.92	14.6	15.6	-0.97
Gary Trent Jr.	89	87	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.20	15	-6	21	14.3	15.4	-1.09	14.8	16.6	-1.82
OG Anunoby	85	82	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.18	15	-6	21	14.4	14.4	-0.01	14.9	15.5	-0.67
Svi Mykhailiuk	72	69	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.15	8	1	7	14.6	13.9	0.79	15.2	14.4	0.86
Fred VanVleet	77	75	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.25	0	9	-9	14.8	13.2	1.60	15.0	14.8	0.25
Malachi Flynn	23	23	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.08	4	5	-1	13.0	14.9	-1.86	14.8	15.0	-0.24
Justin Champagnie	14	14	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.04	5	4	1	12.9	14.7	-1.74	15.1	15.0	0.12
Chris Boucher	19	21	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.02	-4	13	-17	14.6	14.4	0.19	14.9	15.0	-0.08
Precious Achiuwa	31	33	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.16	-11	20	-31	15.7	13.8	1.92	15.6	14.6	0.97
Dalano Banton	17	17	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.03	-7	16	-23	15.5	14.2	1.26	15.4	14.9	0.54

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Taj Gibson	20	22	0.14	-0.64	0.79	-0.06	7	-16	23	14.4	15.1	-0.72	14.7	14.4	0.33
Derrick Rose	37	39	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.15	7	-16	23	15.2	14.8	0.44	15.6	13.6	2.01
Immanuel Quickley	39	41	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.21	7	-16	23	13.9	15.7	-1.79	14.8	14.2	0.65
Jericho Sims	11	11	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-10	11	15.0	15.0	0.03	15.5	14.3	1.26
Alec Burks	32	31	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.04	0	-9	9	15.3	14.8	0.47	15.0	14.2	0.79
Obi Toppin	26	26	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.09	-2	-7	5	14.8	15.0	-0.22	14.7	14.3	0.42
Mitchell Robinson	56	57	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.09	-10	1	-11	15.2	14.7	0.54	14.0	15.0	-0.92
Evan Fournier	51	52	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.08	-11	2	-13	15.7	14.2	1.55	14.0	14.9	-0.89
RJ Barrett	78	80	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.17	-13	4	-17	15.0	14.8	0.16	14.6	13.8	0.79
Kemba Walker	60	60	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.09	-16	7	-23	14.8	15.2	-0.44	13.6	15.6	-2.01
Julius Randle	75	76	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.16	-15	6	-21	14.9	15.2	-0.33	14.1	15.6	-1.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.8,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.77,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.35,0.24,0.13,0.13,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 106, NJN 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.2,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.15,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%
GSW 117, SAC 106	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.78,0.8,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.83,0.78,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.6,0.66,0.61,0.52,0.36,0.29,0.2,0.24,0.12,0.16,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	94.6%
DAL 103, WAS 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.8,0.72,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.67,0.58,0.66,0.68,0.61,0.42,0.48,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.24,0.14,0.13,0.08,0.13,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.02,0.05,0,0,0.01,0,0	94.1%