inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 103 Excitement4.8 [874] MVPO.J. Mayo (DAL): +12.7%
Washington Wizards 94 Comeback4.4 [440] LVPNene (WAS): -8.3%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
O.J. Mayo0.130,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.120.010.001075%0.1300.0000%0.00
Darren Collison0.130,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13-0.000.08-0.051345%0.141-0.01786%0.01
Vince Carter0.110,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.140.010.041472%0.142-0.03475%-0.00
Shawn Marion0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.090.050.02-0.03779%0.132-0.0300%0.00
Dirk Nowitzki0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.070.010.04779%0.071-0.0300%0.00
Dahntay Jones0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.010.02-0.03550%0.051-0.0100%0.00
Chris Douglas-Roberts0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.00-0.00150%0.0000.002100%0.01
Chris Kaman-0.010,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.02-0.010.011155%0.031-0.0300%0.00
Rodrigue Beaubois-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.01-0.02636%0.001-0.0220%-0.03
Jae Crowder-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.00-0.0000%-0.021-0.0220%-0.03
Elton Brand-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.010.00825%-0.0700.0000%0.00

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shelvin Mack0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.050.01-0.00570%0.0700.0000%0.00
Emeka Okafor0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.000.01-0.011054%0.042-0.02667%0.00
Bradley Beal0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.020.020.060.020.071656%0.072-0.06757%-0.01
Jan Vesely0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Cartier Martin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02275%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kevin Seraphin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.01-0.02-0.00856%0.021-0.022100%0.01
Martell Webster0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.02-0.021154%0.043-0.064100%0.01
Garrett Temple0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.01637%-0.031-0.01475%0.01
Jordan Crawford0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.01950%0.043-0.0800%0.00
Nene0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.09-0.02-0.021030%-0.032-0.053100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.22.428.315.725.22.432.7131.8
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +43.5%
WAS -6.3%
DAL +0.8%
DAL +10.9%
DAL +1.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALWASNBADALWASNBA
this game15.415.415.4109.6101.1104.1
season14.515.1104.398.8
opponent15.715.6101.2105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL16.114.813.117.515.4
WAS15.917.115.713.115.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
O.J. Mayo70690.68-0.180.850.0621-123314.816.9-2.0315.814.51.32
Darren Collison77760.66-0.160.830.1119-102914.817.7-2.8615.813.91.84
Dahntay Jones30280.440.060.390.2181715.815.10.6914.415.9-1.50
Dirk Nowitzki34330.350.150.190.1472515.715.20.5414.815.8-1.01
Chris Kaman52520.340.160.180.0211-21313.717.5-3.7816.713.82.88
Elton Brand40400.160.34-0.180.19-110-1117.513.73.8114.116.5-2.35
Vince Carter59590.160.34-0.190.1609-915.215.6-0.4315.615.20.42
Shawn Marion60590.090.41-0.320.0909-915.215.7-0.5416.114.41.71
Jae Crowder1817-0.080.58-0.650.01-312-1516.915.01.9614.815.6-0.76
Chris Douglas-Roberts1214-0.140.64-0.770.07-716-2316.715.21.5914.915.5-0.69
Rodrigue Beaubois1818-0.160.66-0.830.13-1019-2916.815.01.8213.315.9-2.61

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Cartier Martin19190.21-0.710.91-0.1713-223513.715.9-2.1417.714.82.98
Garrett Temple43460.04-0.540.58-0.136-152115.015.8-0.8216.414.42.06
Emeka Okafor5153-0.05-0.450.40-0.236-152115.815.00.7214.716.2-1.48
Nene5049-0.16-0.340.18-0.10-2-7515.914.90.9915.415.30.18
Jan Vesely3130-0.17-0.330.15-0.11-2-7515.515.40.0216.714.71.92
Jordan Crawford4446-0.19-0.310.13-0.221-101115.015.8-0.7516.314.51.85
Martell Webster5960-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.09-101-1115.515.30.2315.515.10.34
Shelvin Mack5048-0.540.04-0.58-0.10-156-2115.815.00.8214.416.4-2.06
Kevin Seraphin4849-0.620.12-0.740.08-2415-3915.415.4-0.0114.616.2-1.61
Bradley Beal7070-0.630.13-0.75-0.10-189-2715.515.20.3014.418.2-3.77


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.8,0.72,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.67,0.58,0.66,0.68,0.61,0.42,0.48,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.24,0.14,0.13,0.08,0.13,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.02,0.05,0,0,0.01,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
GSW 117, SAC 1060.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.78,0.8,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.83,0.78,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.6,0.66,0.61,0.52,0.36,0.29,0.2,0.24,0.12,0.16,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,094.7%
BOS 103, UTA 830.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.71,0.73,0.8,0.75,0.73,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.64,0.48,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.24,0.14,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,093.8%
MIA 106, NJN 900.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.2,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.15,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,093.8%