NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	103		Excitement	4.3 [974]		MVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): +28.3%
Utah Jazz	83		Comeback	5.1 [124]		LVP	Mehmet Okur (UTA): -11.1%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0.28	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.18	0.11	0.01	15	73%	0.30	2	-0.02	11	82%	0.01
Delonte West	0.19	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.12	0.05	-0.02	13	79%	0.24	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Michael Olowokandi	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.01	7	75%	0.08	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Wally Szczerbiak	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	150%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	0.01	0.05	7	59%	0.00	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.03
Gerald Green	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Dwayne Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	57%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.04
Raef LaFrentz	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	0.04	3	50%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Orien Greene	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.11	0.03	-0.01	5	40%	0.02	5	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.01	11	57%	0.10	1	-0.03	8	62%	-0.01
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	-0.02	0.02	7	60%	0.05	1	-0.04	11	82%	0.02
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	33%	0.00	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	8	35%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Keith McLeod	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	12	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.04
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	8	37%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	10	20%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	10	45%	-0.07	3	-0.04	13	85%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.8	2.4	29.4	15.4	29.4	2.4	29.3	136.0
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +73.6%

UTA -0.7%

UTA -7.5%

UTA -9.4%

UTA -6.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	UTA	NBA	BOS	UTA	NBA
this game	14.1	17.3	15.6	113.2	90.2	104.4
season	14.8	17.0		103.3	101.7
opponent	15.0	15.8		104.6	104.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.4	15.5	11.7	14.8	14.1
UTA	16.9	14.5	18.8	19.5	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Allen	57	56	0.67	-0.17	0.83	-0.07	25	-5	30	13.1	15.8	-2.72	16.7	18.3	-1.55
Michael Olowokandi	45	47	0.58	-0.08	0.66	-0.16	25	-5	30	13.1	15.2	-2.09	17.8	16.8	0.96
Delonte West	79	80	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.12	23	-3	26	14.7	10.2	4.46	18.1	11.9	6.23
Ryan Gomes	68	70	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.11	16	4	12	15.0	11.4	3.65	18.1	14.9	3.25
Paul Pierce	55	58	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.04	6	14	-8	14.7	13.2	1.58	18.3	15.7	2.63
Brian Scalabrine	56	57	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.02	6	14	-8	14.1	14.2	-0.13	17.1	17.7	-0.52
Raef LaFrentz	40	39	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.04	3	17	-14	14.3	14.0	0.36	15.5	18.7	-3.26
Gerald Green	5	4	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.04	-1	21	-22	12.2	14.2	-2.03	12.5	17.6	-5.06
Dwayne Jones	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	23	-26	11.5	14.2	-2.74	12.5	17.6	-5.06
Orien Greene	40	38	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.16	5	15	-10	12.9	15.1	-2.18	17.0	17.6	-0.53
Wally Szczerbiak	6	7	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.08	-5	25	-30	18.3	13.8	4.51	13.1	17.7	-4.54

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kris Humphries	8	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-22	24	15.4	17.5	-2.15	13.4	14.2	-0.82
Greg Ostertag	8	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-22	24	15.4	17.5	-2.15	13.4	14.2	-0.82
CJ Miles	6	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-20	20	13.7	17.6	-3.93	13.1	14.2	-1.06
Devin Brown	32	33	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.04	-4	-16	12	16.3	17.9	-1.57	15.4	13.4	2.04
Deron Williams	50	50	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.12	-8	-12	4	16.5	18.4	-1.88	14.4	13.8	0.66
Matt Harpring	41	40	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.05	-4	-16	12	17.5	17.2	0.23	13.6	14.5	-0.88
Mehmet Okur	67	67	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.13	-11	-9	-2	17.2	17.8	-0.64	15.2	11.2	3.96
Andrei Kirilenko	49	48	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.14	-15	-5	-10	17.7	16.9	0.85	15.2	12.9	2.30
Keith McLeod	44	42	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.04	-12	-8	-4	18.2	16.5	1.71	13.5	14.6	-1.06
Milt Palacio	58	57	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.05	-16	-4	-12	18.0	16.3	1.70	13.5	15.1	-1.59
Carlos Boozer	50	49	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.13	-19	-1	-18	17.7	16.9	0.75	13.4	15.0	-1.59
Jarron Collins	47	46	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.01	-15	-5	-10	17.8	16.8	1.01	13.1	15.2	-2.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.71,0.73,0.8,0.75,0.73,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.64,0.48,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.24,0.14,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 87, MIN 72	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.32,0.31,0.23,0.2,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.6%
DAL 104, HOU 81	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.67,0.72,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.32,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.2%
UTA 97, IND 76	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.62,0.63,0.55,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.3,0.26,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.17,0.09,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.2%