inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 104 Excitement4.6 [885] MVPMichael Finley (DAL): +23.7%
Houston Rockets 81 Comeback3.8 [446] LVPSteve Francis (HOU): -13.5%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Michael Finley0.240,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.19,0.21,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.240.220.060.041485%0.261-0.026100%0.03
Raef LaFrentz0.110,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.080.030.016100%0.142-0.0400%0.00
Steve Nash0.030,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.021050%0.0300.0000%0.00
Walt Williams0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.02-0.00-0.04642%0.0110.0000%0.00
Avery Johnson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Popeye Jones0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Dirk Nowitzki-0.020,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.10-0.020.112068%0.063-0.081090%0.04
Nick Van Exel-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.070.01-0.02940%0.002-0.042100%0.01
Adrian Griffin-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.01-0.01425%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Raja Bell-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.01-0.0220%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Antoine Rigaudeau-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.06-0.00-0.01617%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Shawn Bradley-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.08-0.00-0.0350%-0.0500.0000%0.00

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Moochie Norris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.030.02-0.03557%0.052-0.034100%0.01
Juaquin Hawkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02250%0.0010.0000%0.00
Bostjan Nachbar0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.0520%0.0010.0000%0.00
Jason Collier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Yao Ming0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.04-0.040.02980%0.114-0.12786%0.02
Terence Morris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.000.00333%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Kelvin Cato0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.00-0.00333%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Maurice Taylor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.08-0.00-0.04733%0.002-0.041100%0.00
James Posey0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.010.011050%0.012-0.0500%0.00
Eddie Griffin0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.03-0.020.021035%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Cuttino Mobley0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.04-0.020.011152%0.013-0.083100%0.01
Steve Francis0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.16-0.01-0.041330%-0.082-0.06786%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.32.735.217.830.13.328.6144.0
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +33.0%
DAL +4.7%
HOU -3.1%
DAL +18.3%
HOU -2.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALHOUNBADALHOUNBA
this game14.616.415.5110.688.0101.6
season15.116.3108.6101.7
opponent15.415.3100.4102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL15.913.011.519.214.6
HOU16.116.415.817.716.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Raja Bell55540.63-0.130.76-0.2831-83914.414.9-0.4917.315.22.12
Michael Finley78770.61-0.110.71-0.3031-83913.918.1-4.2717.112.94.22
Dirk Nowitzki75730.60-0.100.70-0.3432-94114.116.4-2.2416.914.62.30
Steve Nash55540.52-0.020.540.05167913.116.7-3.6516.216.6-0.39
Raef LaFrentz28270.280.220.05-0.021013-313.215.2-1.9516.416.4-0.05
Shawn Bradley47450.200.30-0.09-0.301761115.014.10.9117.415.51.87
Avery Johnson980.000.50-0.500.12-427-3119.314.15.2511.716.8-5.10
Popeye Jones880.000.50-0.500.12-427-3117.614.33.3211.716.8-5.10
Nick Van Exel4444-0.020.52-0.54-0.371211115.413.91.5517.015.91.10
Antoine Rigaudeau2121-0.030.53-0.560.15-629-3515.214.40.8415.516.7-1.20
Walt Williams3129-0.130.63-0.770.13-932-4117.113.43.7014.117.5-3.36
Adrian Griffin1920-0.150.65-0.800.17-1134-4515.014.50.5214.716.9-2.11

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Maurice Taylor30300.13-0.630.770.34-7-16918.715.33.4115.514.11.39
Moochie Norris44440.09-0.580.670.23-5-181316.915.91.0215.813.52.28
Kelvin Cato22210.05-0.550.600.14-3-201718.715.73.0015.814.21.52
Terence Morris13130.00-0.500.51-0.114-273112.917.0-4.0517.314.13.16
Juaquin Hawkins9100.00-0.500.50-0.124-273111.916.9-5.0019.814.05.84
Bostjan Nachbar9100.00-0.500.50-0.124-273111.916.9-5.0019.814.05.84
Jason Collier9100.00-0.500.50-0.124-273111.916.9-5.0019.814.05.84
James Posey6768-0.510.01-0.53-0.08-15-8-716.516.20.2214.016.1-2.06
Cuttino Mobley7476-0.530.03-0.550.29-285-3317.113.73.3314.216.3-2.16
Steve Francis6971-0.550.05-0.590.30-296-3516.616.00.5913.617.7-4.06
Yao Ming6163-0.550.05-0.600.15-241-2516.216.7-0.4613.417.1-3.70
Eddie Griffin5354-0.630.13-0.77-0.05-20-3-1715.917.1-1.2613.116.6-3.51


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.67,0.72,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.32,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 108, OKC 880.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.77,0.7,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.29,0.16,0.11,0.06,0.13,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.08,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,094.7%
BOS 103, UTA 830.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.71,0.73,0.8,0.75,0.73,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.64,0.48,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.24,0.14,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.2%
PHI 110, CHI 820.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.38,0.35,0.24,0.13,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.1%