NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	79		Excitement	6.5 [518]		MVP	Buddy Hield (PHI): +25.9%
New York Knicks	73		Comeback	1.6 [273]		LVP	Josh Hart (NYK): -23.1%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Buddy Hield	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.13	0.11	-0.01	9	89%	0.28	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Paul Reed	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	-0.00	8	72%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Kyle Lowry	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	8	50%	0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Mo Bamba	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
KJ Martin	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.10	0.01	-0.03	19	38%	-0.01	3	-0.04	9	67%	-0.02
Nicolas Batum	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Payne	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.00	13	27%	-0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	-0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	14	35%	-0.06	3	-0.06	3	33%	-0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.00	8	62%	0.11	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jericho Sims	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	62%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Isaiah Hartenstein	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.01	1	75%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Donte DiVincenzo	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	17	44%	0.00	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Miles McBride	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	5	0%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Precious Achiuwa	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	8	40%	-0.04	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01
Jalen Brunson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	22	37%	-0.06	2	-0.06	8	75%	-0.00
Josh Hart	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.23,-0.23,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.3,-0.3,-0.24,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.17	-0.06	0.01	13	35%	-0.09	6	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	3.3	27.6	15.4	28.2	2.6	38.5	139.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +42.8%

NYK -5.1%

NYK -6.0%

PHI +18.6%

NYK -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	NYK	NBA	PHI	NYK	NBA
this game	15.8	17.1	14.5	89.8	83.9	113.9
season	14.9	15.6		115.6	116.8
opponent	14.4	14.5		113.0	112.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.3	17.2	15.5	17.3	15.8
NYK	18.0	17.9	15.8	17.0	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nicolas Batum	55	57	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.15	18	-12	30	15.4	16.5	-1.09	17.3	16.9	0.43
Paul Reed	50	49	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.28	13	-7	20	16.0	15.4	0.57	17.6	16.6	1.06
Buddy Hield	46	46	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.03	19	-13	32	15.7	15.9	-0.21	18.6	15.5	3.14
Cameron Payne	53	54	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.10	12	-6	18	15.6	16.0	-0.38	18.4	15.2	3.17
Tobias Harris	73	72	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.37	-3	9	-12	15.3	18.0	-2.68	16.5	20.3	-3.85
Kelly Oubre Jr.	60	58	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.24	-4	10	-14	16.4	14.4	1.97	16.7	18.0	-1.28
KJ Martin	7	6	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	9	-12	18.3	15.6	2.73	15.5	17.3	-1.77
Kyle Lowry	58	56	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.32	-14	20	-34	16.0	15.3	0.67	15.9	19.3	-3.38
Mo Bamba	38	37	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.09	-8	14	-22	15.4	16.0	-0.57	16.8	17.4	-0.68

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Hartenstein	44	46	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.24	10	-16	26	15.4	18.9	-3.52	16.5	15.0	1.43
Precious Achiuwa	65	66	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.33	4	-10	14	16.7	18.4	-1.69	16.4	13.8	2.61
Jalen Brunson	60	60	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.29	2	-8	10	16.8	17.8	-0.96	15.5	16.3	-0.75
Alec Burks	19	20	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.04	-7	1	-8	22.0	15.8	6.21	17.0	15.4	1.65
Donte DiVincenzo	68	69	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.28	1	-7	8	15.8	22.0	-6.21	15.2	17.7	-2.44
Miles McBride	27	28	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.04	-8	2	-10	17.8	16.8	0.96	16.3	15.5	0.75
Josh Hart	81	81	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.33	-2	-4	2	16.8	22.2	-5.39	15.1	23.3	-8.16
Bojan Bogdanovic	30	32	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.04	-12	6	-18	19.1	16.1	3.03	16.1	15.6	0.55
Jericho Sims	41	38	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.03	-18	12	-30	19.0	15.5	3.45	15.2	16.2	-1.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.5,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.3,0.36,0.29,0.36,0.36,0.41,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.26,0.21,0.22,0.15,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.11,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 98, NYK 91	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.28,0.28,0.32,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.45,0.35,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.22,0.13,0.18,0.21,0.13,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.16,0,0	94.3%
WAS 103, LAC 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.3,0.26,0.2,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.1%
SAS 91, MIN 85	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.15,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.04,0	94.0%