NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	99		Excitement	6.3 [555]		MVP	Brandon Miller (CHA): +12.7%
Charlotte Hornets	110		Comeback	2.7 [183]		LVP	Jalen Wilson (BKN): -16.9%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cam Thomas	0.11	0,0,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.12	0.06	0.07	24	61%	0.15	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.02
Mikal Bridges	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	18	49%	0.09	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Dennis Smith Jr.	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	70%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Nic Claxton	-0.00	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.02	10	61%	0.07	3	-0.07	3	67%	-0.00
Trendon Watford	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	6	43%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Day'Ron Sharpe	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	-0.02	12	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	8	40%	-0.05	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Jalen Wilson	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.12	-0.06	-0.01	5	0%	-0.13	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Miller	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.03	0.08	-0.02	21	52%	0.17	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Nick Richards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	0.01	10	65%	0.11	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Aleksej Pokusevski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	2	117%	0.09	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Miles Bridges	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.10	0.02	0.06	15	69%	0.11	3	-0.06	5	40%	-0.04
JT Thor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	2	125%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Davis Bertans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.01	8	61%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	-0.00
Nick Smith Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Williams	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.01	0.02	6	75%	0.09	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Vasilije Micic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	13	44%	0.02	5	-0.14	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	1.8	25.2	14.4	29.1	2.4	28.6	127.8
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +69.0%

BKN -14.0%

CHA +1.8%

BKN -6.3%

BKN -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	CHA	NBA	BKN	CHA	NBA
this game	16.1	14.4	14.5	106.5	114.6	113.9
season	14.8	14.8		111.9	108.3
opponent	14.5	14.5		118.7	114.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	14.4	18.0	16.5	15.8	16.1
CHA	14.4	12.7	14.9	15.5	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dorian Finney-Smith	74	76	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.21	9	-20	29	15.4	19.0	-3.59	15.0	11.9	3.11
Day'Ron Sharpe	22	21	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.06	-5	-6	1	15.9	16.2	-0.30	14.2	14.4	-0.22
Trendon Watford	25	26	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.01	-4	-7	3	15.8	16.2	-0.41	14.3	14.4	-0.08
Cam Thomas	59	64	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.26	4	-15	19	15.5	17.3	-1.87	14.8	13.6	1.20
Dennis Smith Jr.	27	26	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.07	-13	2	-15	17.8	15.5	2.31	13.5	14.7	-1.19
Jalen Wilson	39	40	-0.39	-0.12	-0.27	0.08	-16	5	-21	17.5	15.2	2.28	13.3	15.1	-1.78
Mikal Bridges	80	81	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.13	-10	-1	-9	16.3	15.2	1.15	14.1	15.8	-1.70
Nic Claxton	64	68	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.33	-7	-4	-3	16.3	15.7	0.65	14.7	13.6	1.07
Dennis Schroder	75	78	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.16	-13	2	-15	15.9	16.9	-1.00	14.3	14.7	-0.37

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Davis Bertans	53	53	0.66	-0.16	0.83	-0.07	25	-14	39	13.9	14.9	-0.98	17.0	15.0	2.04
Miles Bridges	80	76	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.16	11	0	11	14.2	15.3	-1.14	15.9	17.2	-1.27
Aleksej Pokusevski	17	15	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.09	7	4	3	13.5	14.6	-1.09	17.4	15.9	1.50
Vasilije Micic	65	62	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.22	2	9	-7	14.4	14.3	0.11	15.7	17.0	-1.34
Grant Williams	76	72	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.20	1	10	-9	14.5	14.0	0.46	15.8	17.2	-1.36
Nick Smith Jr.	31	31	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.05	9	2	7	14.3	14.4	-0.11	17.0	15.7	1.34
JT Thor	24	23	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.01	6	5	1	13.9	14.5	-0.65	16.6	16.0	0.57
Brandon Miller	73	71	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.21	-3	14	-17	14.7	13.3	1.39	15.7	17.5	-1.72
Nick Richards	61	62	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.11	-3	14	-17	14.9	13.4	1.52	16.0	16.4	-0.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.38,0.33,0.29,0.33,0.42,0.49,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.64,0.75,0.8,0.71,0.79,0.8,0.76,0.74,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.79,0.83,0.9,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.79,0.8,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 106, CHA 115	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.8,0.75,0.77,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.79,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.84,0.75,0.85,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.81,0.92,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1	93.7%
MIL 108, PHX 118	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.45,0.53,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.8,0.76,0.76,0.68,0.81,0.81,0.8,0.88,0.82,0.87,0.84,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.96,0.91,0.87,0.95,0.99,1,1,1	93.7%
SAC 100, DAL 110	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.4,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.56,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.71,0.74,0.85,0.85,0.89,0.94,0.9,0.81,0.95,0.95,0.98,1,1,1	93.4%