NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	108		Excitement	6.2 [508]		MVP	Devin Booker (PHX): +18.0%
Phoenix Suns	118		Comeback	1.9 [804]		LVP	Khris Middleton (MIL): -11.8%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11	0.18	-0.01	0.07	22	68%	0.19	3	-0.09	18	61%	-0.06
Pat Connaughton	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.02	0.02	10	70%	0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Bryn Forbes	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Portis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	40%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Elijah Bryant	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Tucker	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.01	5	70%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	10	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	21	38%	-0.07	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Khris Middleton	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	0.00	16	34%	-0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Booker	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.11	0.05	-0.02	25	62%	0.26	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.02	0.05	-0.07	20	56%	0.18	6	-0.08	1	0%	-0.02
Mikal Bridges	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1	0.10	0.17	0.01	0.08	15	71%	0.11	1	-0.01	8	100%	0.00
Cameron Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	4	80%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Torrey Craig	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.00	3	100%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.08	-0.01	0.04	8	69%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deandre Ayton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	10	43%	0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Frank Kaminsky	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Abdel Nader	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Payne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.7	29.0	15.8	37.0	2.8	30.2	141.9
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +59.1%

MIL -1.4%

MIL -6.2%

MIL -0.4%

MIL -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	PHX	NBA	MIL	PHX	NBA
this game	13.6	16.7	14.4	114.9	122.9	111.3
season	13.5	14.7		114.8	115.3
opponent	14.7	14.7		109.6	109.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.5	15.0	12.6	12.3	13.6
PHX	15.5	15.6	16.7	19.0	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elijah Bryant	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-10	10	9.0	13.7	-4.67	8.0	16.8	-8.76
Bobby Portis	8	9	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.04	-5	-5	0	14.1	13.6	0.56	17.8	16.6	1.23
Jeff Teague	23	22	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.04	-3	-7	4	14.6	13.3	1.31	17.4	16.5	0.90
Brook Lopez	55	55	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.11	-1	-9	8	14.3	12.6	1.67	16.6	16.8	-0.24
Bryn Forbes	12	12	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.02	-7	-3	-4	15.4	13.4	2.06	14.2	17.0	-2.86
Giannis Antetokounmpo	78	81	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.29	3	-13	16	13.1	16.1	-3.02	17.0	14.9	2.13
P.J. Tucker	71	72	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.11	-5	-5	0	13.0	15.5	-2.52	16.3	17.7	-1.39
Jrue Holiday	77	80	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.24	-3	-7	4	13.3	15.2	-1.90	16.9	15.4	1.48
Pat Connaughton	64	65	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.16	-14	4	-18	14.2	12.3	1.93	16.7	16.5	0.17
Khris Middleton	81	83	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.16	-15	5	-20	13.5	14.5	-0.98	16.6	17.2	-0.56

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deandre Ayton	84	83	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.20	10	0	10	17.0	14.2	2.76	13.5	14.7	-1.26
Devin Booker	86	85	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.19	10	0	10	17.2	12.1	5.10	13.8	12.1	1.67
Jae Crowder	72	72	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.16	10	0	10	16.8	16.3	0.44	13.9	12.6	1.34
Chris Paul	84	82	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.15	9	1	8	16.8	15.4	1.43	13.4	15.3	-1.97
Mikal Bridges	77	75	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.19	7	3	4	16.6	16.8	-0.22	13.2	15.2	-2.00
Cameron Johnson	38	35	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.05	2	8	-6	16.1	17.1	-0.97	13.9	13.4	0.47
Frank Kaminsky	2	1	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	8	-6	22.5	16.5	5.96	21.0	13.5	7.46
Torrey Craig	15	15	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.03	1	9	-8	15.1	17.0	-1.90	14.7	13.4	1.25
Cameron Payne	18	19	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.01	1	9	-8	15.7	16.9	-1.16	14.6	13.4	1.21
Abdel Nader	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	12	-14	6.0	17.1	-11.13	5.3	13.9	-8.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.45,0.53,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.8,0.76,0.76,0.68,0.81,0.81,0.8,0.88,0.82,0.87,0.84,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.96,0.91,0.87,0.95,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 81, IND 94	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.74,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1,1	94.9%
WAS 94, TOR 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.85,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.85,0.92,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
ATL 83, MIA 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.67,0.7,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.76,0.68,0.77,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.97,1,1	94.2%