NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Bullets	94		Excitement	5.2 [754]		MVP	Damon Stoudamire (TOR): +9.2%
Toronto Raptors	100		Comeback	1.6 [272]		LVP	Rod Strickland (WAS): -20.2%

Washington Bullets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Calbert Cheaney	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.15	0.00	0.07	14	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Whitney	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	0.01	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	17	54%	0.01	1	-0.00	5	80%	0.00
Gheorghe Muresan	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harvey Grant	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy Murray	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.01	0.04	8	63%	0.01	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Tim Legler	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	6	25%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.13	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.02	0.01	15	54%	0.01	6	-0.14	5	60%	-0.03
Rod Strickland	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.18	-0.03	-0.01	9	32%	-0.07	5	-0.13	4	25%	-0.05

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.04	-0.02	21	58%	0.15	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.02
Popeye Jones	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.04	-0.04	13	59%	0.14	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Shawn Respert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.00	6	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.05	5	53%	0.03	1	-0.01	7	29%	-0.02
Walt Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	18	59%	0.06	3	-0.05	5	100%	0.03
Sharone Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Rozier	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.14	-0.01	-0.03	6	7%	-0.10	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Doug Christie	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.17	-0.17	-0.02	-0.02	12	35%	-0.09	4	-0.08	7	71%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.4	25.3	15.8	26.3	2.3	24.6	122.2
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +14.8%

TOR +21.8%

TOR +8.9%

TOR +2.3%

TOR +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	TOR	NBA	WAS	TOR	NBA
this game	15.1	15.7	15.6	100.0	107.5	104.4
season	14.8	16.1		104.3	102.2
opponent	15.0	15.8		105.6	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.5	15.7	15.0	16.5	15.1
TOR	12.7	14.3	19.3	17.8	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Bullets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Wallace	1	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-9	12	9.0	15.1	-6.13	9.0	15.8	-6.82
Chris Whitney	19	20	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.05	0	-6	6	14.6	15.2	-0.61	14.1	16.2	-2.09
Jaren Jackson	7	5	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.01	-4	-2	-2	16.4	15.0	1.47	11.4	16.0	-4.59
Gheorghe Muresan	41	42	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	-3	0	16.0	14.3	1.66	16.6	15.1	1.51
Harvey Grant	24	23	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.01	-6	0	-6	16.7	14.5	2.15	13.6	16.5	-2.89
Tim Legler	31	32	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.09	-3	-3	0	15.3	15.0	0.34	16.0	15.6	0.44
Calbert Cheaney	65	64	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.32	4	-10	14	15.0	15.3	-0.31	16.3	14.5	1.78
Tracy Murray	43	44	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.25	0	-6	6	13.3	16.5	-3.16	15.6	15.9	-0.33
Rod Strickland	75	73	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.27	-6	0	-6	15.2	14.6	0.61	16.2	14.1	2.09
Chris Webber	82	80	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.24	-7	1	-8	15.3	13.2	2.08	16.1	13.5	2.65
Juwan Howard	82	81	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.26	-8	2	-10	14.7	17.5	-2.79	15.5	17.7	-2.21

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damon Stoudamire	83	84	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.31	12	-6	18	15.8	14.9	0.94	15.3	12.7	2.65
Carlos Rogers	66	67	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.35	4	2	2	16.5	14.0	2.45	14.6	16.3	-1.68
Popeye Jones	80	82	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.29	6	0	6	15.9	14.6	1.31	15.4	12.8	2.56
Doug Christie	88	89	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.31	5	1	4	15.8	14.8	1.00	15.1	13.6	1.55
Walt Williams	75	78	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.32	-2	8	-10	14.9	19.4	-4.52	14.8	16.5	-1.73
Clifford Rozier	38	37	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.04	3	3	0	16.3	15.3	0.97	15.1	15.1	0.03
Shawn Respert	28	27	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.02	3	3	0	15.3	15.9	-0.65	15.3	15.0	0.27
Sharone Wright	7	6	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	7	-8	13.1	16.0	-2.81	13.7	15.2	-1.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.85,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.85,0.92,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 86, NYK 98	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.82,0.9,0.83,0.89,0.87,0.87,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.3%
CHI 90, IND 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.72,0.8,0.73,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.85,0.85,0.82,0.72,0.81,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.2%
DEN 113, HOU 125	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.58,0.56,0.66,0.67,0.81,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.83,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.85,0.89,0.92,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%