NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	106		Excitement	5.8 [634]		MVP	GG Jackson (MEM): +13.2%
Charlotte Hornets	115		Comeback	1.7 [302]		LVP	Vince Williams Jr. (MEM): -12.1%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
GG Jackson	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.05	0.04	-0.04	14	55%	0.13	1	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Derrick Rose	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.00	-0.00	7	71%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kennard	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	7	65%	0.05	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0.02	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.05,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.02	0.01	23	63%	0.17	5	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Trey Jemison	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jacob Gilyard	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Santi Aldama	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	14	37%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
John Konchar	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	0.06	8	50%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vince Williams Jr.	-0.12	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.01	-0.04	0.07	13	54%	-0.05	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Miles Bridges	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.16	0.04	0.07	13	89%	0.20	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.00
Brandon Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.00	0.01	9	95%	0.18	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Davis Bertans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.01	-0.00	5	90%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vasilije Micic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.05	0.01	13	69%	0.18	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Nick Richards	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	10	59%	0.09	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Grant Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.01	11	62%	0.08	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Seth Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tre Mann	0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	11	41%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Cody Martin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	7	36%	-0.02	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	2.4	24.5	14.7	23.0	1.8	28.0	115.7
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +54.0%

MEM -0.6%

CHA +10.1%

MEM -14.2%

CHA +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	CHA	NBA	MEM	CHA	NBA
this game	14.9	14.4	14.5	108.2	116.2	113.9
season	14.8	14.8		106.3	108.3
opponent	14.5	14.3		118.7	113.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	16.1	16.2	14.9	12.4	14.9
CHA	12.7	14.5	13.9	16.4	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jacob Gilyard	44	44	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	-7	5	14.4	15.3	-0.87	15.7	13.3	2.43
Jaren Jackson Jr.	70	69	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.21	2	-11	13	14.0	17.1	-3.11	15.3	12.1	3.23
Santi Aldama	67	66	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.14	-3	-6	3	14.7	15.3	-0.54	15.5	12.1	3.39
John Konchar	71	70	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.12	-4	-5	1	14.3	16.3	-2.00	15.5	11.5	4.06
Derrick Rose	32	33	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.07	-8	-1	-7	17.1	13.8	3.23	11.4	15.8	-4.48
Trey Jemison	28	30	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.03	-11	2	-13	17.1	14.0	3.11	12.1	15.3	-3.23
Luke Kennard	49	51	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.18	-6	-3	-3	15.4	14.4	1.04	13.4	15.3	-1.90
GG Jackson	52	54	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.24	-4	-5	1	14.3	15.5	-1.24	14.5	14.2	0.36
Vince Williams Jr.	77	78	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.18	-9	0	-9	15.0	14.6	0.40	13.3	18.2	-4.87

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Grant Williams	68	67	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.10	19	-10	29	13.3	16.7	-3.48	15.4	13.9	1.49
Vasilije Micic	56	54	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.11	14	-5	19	13.1	16.0	-2.91	15.2	14.5	0.62
Miles Bridges	81	80	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.19	7	2	5	13.7	17.4	-3.78	14.9	14.8	0.07
Davis Bertans	24	23	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.07	10	-1	11	14.6	14.3	0.30	14.7	14.9	-0.25
Cody Martin	58	58	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.11	5	4	1	14.6	14.0	0.52	14.3	15.8	-1.50
Seth Curry	41	40	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.13	4	5	-1	14.0	14.6	-0.52	15.8	14.3	1.50
Brandon Miller	64	66	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.14	0	9	-9	14.6	13.9	0.64	14.5	15.6	-1.09
Tre Mann	54	53	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.15	-6	15	-21	15.3	13.2	2.07	15.1	14.6	0.53
Nick Richards	49	49	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.18	-8	17	-25	17.0	11.8	5.24	14.2	15.6	-1.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.8,0.75,0.77,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.79,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.84,0.75,0.85,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.81,0.92,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 98, LAL 105	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.64,0.72,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.82,0.85,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.62,0.7,0.8,0.72,0.78,0.74,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.92,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1	95.4%
BOS 95, TOR 105	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.4,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.7,0.73,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.81,0.76,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.87,0.84,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.86,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%
GSW 104, CLE 115	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.75,0.89,0.81,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.85,0.85,0.77,0.82,0.89,0.85,0.83,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	94.4%