inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 95 Excitement5.8 [642] MVPDonyell Marshall (TOR): +10.9%
Toronto Raptors 105 Comeback1.7 [865] LVPPaul Pierce (BOS): -19.6%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mike James0.050,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.030.020.00658%0.0500.0000%0.00
Mark Blount0.040,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.01-0.01762%0.041-0.002100%0.01
Walter McCarty0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.041150%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jumaine Jones-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01150%-0.0000.0020%-0.00
Marcus Banks-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.02-0.010.02685%0.083-0.091100%0.00
Raef LaFrentz-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.00-0.010.001145%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Eric Williams-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.000.00250%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Jiri Welsch-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.03-0.010.04757%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Kedrick Brown-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.01-0.01250%0.012-0.0400%0.00
Vin Baker-0.090,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.05-0.040.001652%0.034-0.121100%0.00
Paul Pierce-0.200,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.15,-0.18,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.13-0.08-0.012047%-0.045-0.16989%0.02

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Donyell Marshall0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.140.040.071470%0.1100.002100%0.01
Morris Peterson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.110.010.03788%0.121-0.043100%0.02
Chris Bosh0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.040.030.001453%0.0700.002100%0.02
Vince Carter0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.050.010.011855%0.061-0.022100%0.01
Mengke Bateer00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Lamond Murray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Milt Palacio0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Jerome Moiso00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Alvin Williams0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.010.021260%0.083-0.09683%0.01
Jalen Rose0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.080.01-0.01941%0.012-0.07425%-0.05
Michael Curry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.07-0.02-0.0020%-0.042-0.0600%0.00
Lonny Baxter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.14-0.03-0.01825%-0.122-0.04425%-0.06
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game477.31.726.015.729.71.827.4579.6
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +20.2%
TOR +5.0%
TOR +12.8%
TOR +12.4%
BOS -0.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSTORNBABOSTORNBA
this game13.617.115.7102.2111.7100.5
season14.416.899.594.8
opponent15.715.998.4102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS13.812.614.913.613.6
TOR17.515.119.417.017.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Walter McCarty57-0.00-0.500.50-0.217-172411.413.8-2.3621.316.84.47
Jumaine Jones57-0.00-0.500.50-0.217-172411.413.8-2.3621.316.84.47
Kedrick Brown2322-0.10-0.400.30-0.04-2-8614.313.40.8314.717.9-3.22
Jiri Welsch4850-0.10-0.400.29-0.286-162214.113.10.9718.615.53.14
Vin Baker6765-0.14-0.360.21-0.03-4-6213.613.7-0.0316.418.9-2.58
Marcus Banks3537-0.15-0.350.20-0.274-141812.814.1-1.2916.217.7-1.49
Eric Williams3131-0.34-0.16-0.180.10-155-2012.114.4-2.3116.317.6-1.33
Mike James5857-0.35-0.15-0.200.06-144-1814.112.81.2917.716.21.49
Mark Blount7577-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.05-122-1413.813.10.7217.515.71.76
Raef LaFrentz3939-0.45-0.05-0.41-0.13-111-1213.713.60.0617.117.2-0.08
Paul Pierce7978-0.46-0.04-0.420.01-166-2213.912.11.8416.918.4-1.55

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Donyell Marshall69700.460.040.410.0215-52017.715.62.1614.112.12.00
Vince Carter74740.380.120.270.0312-21417.316.60.6314.410.73.64
Alvin Williams73720.370.130.230.0411-11217.615.52.1513.713.50.20
Morris Peterson42410.350.150.200.1764215.918.2-2.3412.914.2-1.40
Lonny Baxter35350.310.190.110.0782616.417.6-1.2413.813.60.22
Chris Bosh78770.240.26-0.030.0373416.818.9-2.0813.414.8-1.42
Jalen Rose68680.230.27-0.030.0664217.217.00.2114.311.82.45
Michael Curry19200.160.34-0.190.0155016.617.3-0.6511.114.3-3.23
Milt Palacio320.010.49-0.470.16-515-2019.717.12.608.513.7-5.25
Mengke Bateer320.000.50-0.500.15-515-2019.717.12.608.513.7-5.25
Lamond Murray320.000.50-0.500.15-515-2019.717.12.608.513.7-5.25
Jerome Moiso320.000.50-0.500.15-515-2019.717.12.608.513.7-5.25


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.4,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.7,0.73,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.81,0.76,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.87,0.84,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.86,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 82, CHA 940.5,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.7,0.74,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.79,0.85,0.81,0.75,0.76,0.88,0.92,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,194.3%
DEN 92, PHX 1090.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.38,0.46,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,193.8%
OKC 98, LAL 1050.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.64,0.72,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.82,0.85,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.62,0.7,0.8,0.72,0.78,0.74,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.92,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,193.7%