NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	128		Excitement	6.3 [551]		MVP	Jalen Williams (OKC): +24.2%
Portland Trail Blazers	120		Comeback	1.0 [1251]		LVP	Kenrich Williams (OKC): -8.2%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Williams	0.24	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.24	0.17	0.09	0.02	17	70%	0.30	2	-0.05	10	90%	0.02
Chet Holmgren	0.19	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.13	0.08	0.02	9	75%	0.21	1	-0.03	10	80%	-0.02
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.07,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18	0.16	0.05	0.04	23	64%	0.29	4	-0.12	12	92%	0.03
Gordon Hayward	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.05	-0.00	3	91%	0.15	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.01
Josh Giddey	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.01	-0.01	9	95%	0.20	5	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Wiggins	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luguentz Dort	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Cason Wallace	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Joe	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenrich Williams	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matisse Thybulle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.16	0.08	0.02	6	107%	0.24	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Anfernee Simons	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,0,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.04	0.03	19	69%	0.22	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.01
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.00	-0.03	11	71%	0.24	6	-0.17	6	100%	0.04
Kris Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.08	-0.03	0.02	5	86%	0.08	1	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Duop Reath	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	12	52%	0.04	1	-0.01	7	86%	0.02
Jabari Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	-0.04	0.01	7	60%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Rayan Rupert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	6	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dalano Banton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	13	46%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Ashton Hagans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.4	2.4	31.3	14.8	28.5	2.4	36.5	144.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +26.6%

OKC +7.4%

OKC +13.1%

OKC +0.8%

OKC +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	POR	NBA	OKC	POR	NBA
this game	13.3	14.5	14.5	124.3	115.4	113.9
season	13.9	14.8		117.1	106.9
opponent	14.5	14.7		116.2	109.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	13.1	14.0	13.1	13.2	13.3
POR	16.4	16.6	12.6	12.9	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chet Holmgren	70	73	1.02	-0.52	1.54	0.08	32	-24	56	12.7	14.7	-2.06	15.2	12.9	2.22
Jalen Williams	67	71	0.79	-0.29	1.09	0.09	24	-16	40	12.9	14.1	-1.16	15.0	13.4	1.56
Josh Giddey	67	69	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.11	17	-9	26	13.4	13.1	0.29	14.9	13.6	1.34
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	79	79	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.31	3	5	-2	13.4	13.1	0.27	13.9	16.4	-2.51
Luguentz Dort	63	66	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.22	-2	10	-12	13.9	12.4	1.52	13.8	15.7	-1.92
Cason Wallace	37	34	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.04	4	4	0	13.1	13.5	-0.35	15.7	13.9	1.81
Aaron Wiggins	36	35	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.03	-2	10	-12	13.6	13.2	0.39	15.4	14.0	1.37
Isaiah Joe	36	35	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.13	-8	16	-24	13.1	13.4	-0.29	13.6	14.9	-1.34
Gordon Hayward	41	40	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	0.16	-13	21	-34	13.5	13.2	0.22	13.7	15.0	-1.24
Kenrich Williams	19	18	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	0.16	-15	23	-38	14.6	13.0	1.60	12.7	14.9	-2.14

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matisse Thybulle	57	57	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.29	8	-16	24	14.1	15.0	-0.89	13.6	13.0	0.60
Ashton Hagans	30	31	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.15	1	-9	10	15.2	14.2	0.95	12.4	13.7	-1.30
Rayan Rupert	40	39	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.13	-4	-4	0	15.4	13.9	1.56	12.4	13.9	-1.52
Anfernee Simons	85	85	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.25	-1	-7	6	14.1	16.4	-2.30	13.8	10.9	2.96
Jerami Grant	88	87	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.14	-5	-3	-2	14.4	14.9	-0.45	13.4	13.1	0.32
Kris Murray	48	49	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.05	-9	1	-10	14.3	14.7	-0.37	13.7	13.0	0.62
Duop Reath	66	64	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.13	-8	0	-8	13.9	15.6	-1.67	14.0	12.2	1.89
Jabari Walker	42	42	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.17	-8	0	-8	15.3	13.9	1.41	11.6	14.5	-2.85
Dalano Banton	64	61	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.00	-14	6	-20	14.8	14.0	0.84	13.5	13.1	0.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.33,0.34,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.37,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.25,0.26,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.24,0.3,0.25,0.27,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.33,0.36,0.13,0.05,0.06,0.17,0.09,0.17,0.08,0.09,0.31,0.07,0.04,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 98, ORL 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.38,0.33,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.28,0.18,0.19,0.27,0.26,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.31,0.21,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.25,0.21,0.3,0.22,0.28,0.26,0.15,0.21,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.19,0.05,0.03,0,0	93.5%
NYK 96, TOR 92	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.24,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.29,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.37,0.26,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.2,0.27,0.3,0.22,0.36,0.3,0.16,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.21,0.09,0.07,0.15,0.07,0.09,0.02,0	92.6%
DAL 101, LAC 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.21,0.29,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.21,0.32,0.28,0.17,0.22,0.21,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.19,0.02,0.02,0,0	92.4%