NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	96		Excitement	6.0 [602]		MVP	Latrell Sprewell (NYK): +18.9%
Toronto Raptors	92		Comeback	1.0 [384]		LVP	Vince Carter (TOR): -27.3%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Latrell Sprewell	0.19	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.2,0.19	0.05	0.12	-0.03	25	59%	0.26	3	-0.07	9	78%	0.01
Kurt Thomas	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.03	0.00	7	87%	0.14	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Mark Jackson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.03	-0.00	8	78%	0.13	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Shandon Anderson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	8	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Charlie Ward	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	7	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Allan Houston	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	5	75%	0.07	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Othella Harrington	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.03	7	14%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.04	-0.00	15	68%	0.17	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	7	65%	0.03	0	0.00	6	17%	-0.06
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	15	54%	-0.02	0	0.00	9	100%	0.05
Tracy Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	2	83%	0.03	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Hakeem Olajuwon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	7	12%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	4	10%	-0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Keon Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	6	50%	-0.01	4	-0.13	2	50%	-0.02
Vince Carter	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.3,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.22	-0.07	-0.02	23	35%	-0.17	5	-0.10	6	83%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	3.0	33.5	19.0	27.3	3.6	33.5	148.1
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +68.8%

TOR -6.8%

TOR -13.8%

NYK +1.9%

TOR -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	TOR	NBA	NYK	TOR	NBA
this game	16.7	16.0	15.6	109.1	104.5	102.3
season	15.9	16.2		99.6	100.3
opponent	15.6	15.6		100.9	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.8	17.6	16.7	16.7	16.7
TOR	16.2	16.7	16.8	14.6	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Latrell Sprewell	88	88	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.38	4	0	4	16.7	0.0	16.68	16.0	0.0	16.05
Kurt Thomas	66	66	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.31	5	-1	6	16.5	17.3	-0.85	15.6	17.4	-1.82
Shandon Anderson	49	47	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.23	6	-2	8	16.2	17.3	-1.03	17.3	14.6	2.69
Charlie Ward	26	25	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.10	10	-6	16	17.7	16.3	1.43	17.1	15.6	1.45
Marcus Camby	56	57	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.21	6	-2	8	16.1	17.7	-1.68	16.6	15.0	1.61
Mark Jackson	62	63	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.28	-6	10	-16	16.3	17.7	-1.43	15.6	17.1	-1.45
Othella Harrington	30	29	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.08	1	3	-2	18.4	15.8	2.56	16.8	15.7	1.17
Allan Houston	39	41	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.16	-2	6	-8	17.3	16.2	1.03	14.6	17.3	-2.69
Clar. Weatherspoon	24	24	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.17	-4	8	-12	16.6	16.7	-0.14	15.0	16.4	-1.44

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dell Curry	19	18	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.05	5	-9	14	16.1	16.0	0.01	17.6	16.5	1.10
Jerome Williams	57	57	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	0	-4	16.4	15.3	1.12	17.1	16.0	1.10
Tracy Murray	26	27	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.10	-5	1	-6	14.8	16.5	-1.70	15.6	17.2	-1.62
Chris Childs	42	43	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.11	-5	1	-6	16.5	15.6	0.96	17.5	15.9	1.58
Hakeem Olajuwon	27	27	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.03	-9	5	-14	17.1	15.6	1.59	16.4	16.8	-0.45
Antonio Davis	81	79	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.48	6	-10	16	16.0	16.6	-0.57	16.7	16.8	-0.11
Alvin Williams	60	60	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.43	4	-8	12	15.7	16.7	-1.03	16.7	16.6	0.06
Keon Clark	40	41	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.26	-8	4	-12	15.6	16.4	-0.86	15.9	17.4	-1.55
Vince Carter	88	88	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.38	-4	0	-4	16.0	0.0	16.05	16.7	0.0	16.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.24,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.29,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.37,0.26,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.2,0.27,0.3,0.22,0.36,0.3,0.16,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.21,0.09,0.07,0.15,0.07,0.09,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 114, LAL 108	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.37,0.24,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.27,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.17,0.27,0.26,0.15,0.09,0.14,0.16,0.03,0.01,0	93.5%
IND 98, ORL 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.38,0.33,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.28,0.18,0.19,0.27,0.26,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.31,0.21,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.25,0.21,0.3,0.22,0.28,0.26,0.15,0.21,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.19,0.05,0.03,0,0	93.5%
PHI 96, SEA 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.32,0.27,0.31,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.2,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.24,0.32,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.13,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.01,0.02,0.02,0	93.3%