NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	101		Excitement	7.1 [409]		MVP	Alperen Sengun (HOU): +30.0%
Houston Rockets	114		Comeback	2.1 [781]		LVP	Victor Wembanyama (SAS): -17.8%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malaki Branham	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.02,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.12	0.06	0.02	14	71%	0.20	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Keldon Johnson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.00	-0.00	12	60%	0.12	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.02
Cedi Osman	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Vassell	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.01	-0.04	19	52%	0.15	3	-0.11	4	75%	-0.00
Zach Collins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	4	60%	0.06	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02
Julian Champagnie	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Blake Wesley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Sochan	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	14	47%	0.01	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.00
Tre Jones	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	7	29%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Victor Wembanyama	-0.18	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.10	-0.08	-0.01	10	50%	0.01	6	-0.19	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alperen Sengun	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.21	0.13	0.05	32	63%	0.36	2	-0.06	7	71%	0.00
Fred VanVleet	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.13	0.01	0.02	15	70%	0.12	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Cam Whitmore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.04	0.00	16	59%	0.15	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	23	50%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Bullock Jr.	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jock Landale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amen Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.03	-0.01	4	17%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Dillon Brooks	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Smith Jr.	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.3	27.6	14.7	29.1	2.3	28.4	127.8
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +0.9%

HOU +1.0%

HOU +7.0%

HOU +41.5%

SAS -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	HOU	NBA	SAS	HOU	NBA
this game	14.4	14.0	14.5	99.0	112.9	113.9
season	13.9	14.2		108.6	113.2
opponent	14.6	14.3		112.2	115.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	15.1	12.7	16.2	13.7	14.4
HOU	13.7	15.0	13.2	14.0	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach Collins	38	37	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.04	-1	-12	11	14.3	14.5	-0.16	12.9	14.6	-1.63
Tre Jones	44	42	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.02	-5	-8	3	15.2	13.8	1.39	13.7	14.2	-0.54
Blake Wesley	28	27	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.12	-1	-12	11	13.6	14.7	-1.08	14.4	13.8	0.58
Keldon Johnson	69	70	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.05	-4	-9	5	14.1	15.0	-0.94	14.4	13.0	1.46
Julian Champagnie	22	22	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.01	-6	-7	1	15.8	14.0	1.82	13.6	14.1	-0.50
Cedi Osman	34	33	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.15	-2	-11	9	13.9	14.6	-0.76	14.4	13.8	0.57
Malaki Branham	56	57	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.20	-2	-11	9	13.7	15.2	-1.46	14.1	13.8	0.37
Devin Vassell	84	83	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.01	-15	2	-17	14.3	14.7	-0.40	13.7	15.2	-1.51
Victor Wembanyama	64	64	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.08	-12	-1	-11	14.5	14.3	0.16	14.6	12.9	1.63
Jeremy Sochan	71	70	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.01	-17	4	-21	14.9	13.2	1.72	13.7	14.6	-0.96

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Fred VanVleet	79	81	0.71	-0.21	0.91	-0.08	27	-14	41	13.9	14.2	-0.26	14.3	14.8	-0.47
Jalen Green	81	83	0.60	-0.10	0.70	-0.05	22	-9	31	13.6	15.4	-1.77	14.5	13.8	0.68
Dillon Brooks	77	79	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.02	20	-7	27	13.7	14.8	-1.06	14.4	14.3	0.06
Alperen Sengun	77	78	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.03	18	-5	23	13.9	14.4	-0.52	14.6	13.8	0.79
Reggie Bullock Jr.	7	8	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.10	4	9	-5	11.0	14.2	-3.20	16.2	14.2	2.02
Amen Thompson	40	40	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.15	2	11	-9	13.7	14.2	-0.46	14.7	14.2	0.47
Cam Whitmore	44	42	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.19	-2	15	-17	14.3	13.8	0.52	14.0	14.6	-0.63
Jeff Green	13	13	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.01	0	13	-13	14.7	13.9	0.82	12.5	14.7	-2.12
Jock Landale	24	24	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.14	-5	18	-23	14.4	13.9	0.52	13.8	14.6	-0.79
Jabari Smith Jr.	52	52	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.14	-9	22	-31	15.0	12.9	2.10	14.5	14.3	0.26
Aaron Holiday	11	10	-0.31	0.81	-1.13	0.04	-12	25	-37	14.8	13.9	0.94	14.7	14.4	0.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.51,0.46,0.58,0.48,0.61,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.82,0.62,0.66,0.79,0.86,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 87, NJN 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.64,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.67,0.75,0.66,0.7,0.79,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.94,1,1,1	93.2%
SEA 84, SAS 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.61,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.85,0.75,0.7,0.9,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.0%
ORL 112, SAS 121	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.37,0.34,0.42,0.45,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.91,0.8,0.81,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.97,0.98,1,1,1	92.9%