inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New Orleans Pelicans 139 Excitement2.3 [1254] MVPHerbert Jones (NOP): +13.2%
Toronto Raptors 98 Comeback1.4 [1114] LVPGradey Dick (TOR): -5.9%


New Orleans Pelicans
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Herbert Jones0.130,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.140.000.001085%0.141-0.0000%0.00
Trey Murphy III0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.330.010.231789%0.1100.00450%-0.01
Brandon Ingram0.050,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.00-0.01775%0.062-0.012100%0.00
Naji Marshall0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.00-0.001055%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Zion Williamson0.020,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.070.000.061167%0.031-0.022100%0.00
Larry Nance Jr.0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.00560%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Cody Zeller0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.030.000.03456%0.0000.001100%0.00
Matt Ryan0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.050.000.05475%0.0000.0000%0.00
Izaiah Brockington0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01540%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jordan Hawkins0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.060.00-0.06617%0.0000.0000%0.00
CJ McCollum-0.010,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.000.021150%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Jose Alvarado-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.060.00-0.04736%-0.002-0.0200%0.00
Jonas Valanciunas-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.03-0.000.06671%-0.022-0.012100%0.00

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Gary Trent Jr.0,0,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.09-0.000.051267%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Javon Freeman-Liberty0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.090.000.08768%0.0100.00580%-0.00
Immanuel Quickley0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.06-0.000.051455%0.011-0.00333%-0.01
Mouhamadou Gueye0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jahmi'us Ramsey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ochai Agbaji0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.000.00437%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Jontay Porter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.050.00-0.04550%0.013-0.0200%0.00
D.J. Carton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.02217%-0.0200.00250%0.00
Kelly Olynyk0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.060.000.08960%-0.011-0.01786%0.00
Jordan Nwora0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.070.00-0.041530%-0.0300.0000%0.00
RJ Barrett0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.001445%-0.003-0.05520%-0.02
Gradey Dick0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.120.00-0.06714%-0.032-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.72.026.214.427.21.826.3119.7
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.4135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NOP +37.1%
NOP +2.2%
NOP +5.3%
NOP +3.8%
NOP +1.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNOPTORNBANOPTORNBA
this game14.413.314.5135.093.3113.9
season14.414.0114.8111.3
opponent14.714.7117.6111.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NOP15.113.513.216.014.4
TOR14.911.813.912.813.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Trey Murphy III61640.59-0.090.67-0.7044-34713.515.7-2.2214.411.52.90
Naji Marshall45460.360.140.22-0.382516913.914.8-0.9412.813.7-0.97
Jose Alvarado50510.350.150.20-0.593292313.715.0-1.2813.113.5-0.48
Larry Nance Jr.33340.340.160.19-0.071427-1313.514.8-1.3013.513.20.33
Brandon Ingram54550.240.26-0.010.01833-2514.614.20.4114.112.41.69
Zion Williamson58570.220.28-0.06-0.6028131514.014.9-0.9113.113.6-0.47
Herbert Jones53540.140.36-0.22-0.181130-1914.913.91.0114.212.41.77
CJ McCollum48490.140.36-0.220.05338-3515.013.91.1313.812.81.00
Jonas Valanciunas43440.130.37-0.25-0.492120114.014.7-0.6415.012.12.92
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl16160.000.50-0.50-0.15536-3116.314.02.279.913.9-4.05
Cody Zeller9100.000.50-0.50-0.12437-3315.114.30.789.313.7-4.43
Matt Ryan16160.000.50-0.50-0.15536-3116.314.02.279.913.9-4.05
Izaiah Brockington880.000.50-0.50-0.09338-3515.214.30.9210.113.6-3.44
Jordan Hawkins21210.000.50-0.50-0.06239-3716.313.92.4311.113.9-2.76

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mouhamadou Gueye880.00-0.500.500.09-3-383510.113.6-3.4415.214.30.92
Jahmi'us Ramsey12120.00-0.500.500.21-7-342710.113.7-3.6416.214.22.00
Javon Freeman-Liberty3838-0.01-0.490.480.14-5-363111.714.2-2.5814.914.10.83
Ochai Agbaji3332-0.16-0.340.170.25-14-271315.812.23.5814.414.40.01
Gary Trent Jr.6463-0.20-0.300.090.18-13-281513.812.51.3414.314.6-0.33
Kelly Olynyk6362-0.21-0.290.090.20-14-271313.712.61.1014.314.5-0.23
Immanuel Quickley7171-0.25-0.250.000.37-21-20-114.411.03.4114.314.7-0.47
D.J. Carton2928-0.25-0.250.000.28-18-23510.214.5-4.2814.614.30.34
Jontay Porter3433-0.29-0.21-0.090.41-24-17-713.213.3-0.1014.414.4-0.05
RJ Barrett7169-0.31-0.19-0.110.25-19-22313.313.4-0.1614.713.80.86
Jordan Nwora4342-0.35-0.15-0.200.59-32-9-2312.713.7-0.9914.214.5-0.27
Gradey Dick5957-0.47-0.03-0.430.56-35-6-2913.812.71.0513.615.3-1.68


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.39,0.33,0.38,0.32,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
DAL 122, CHA 840.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.2,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,098.1%
NOP 115, PHX 910.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,097.8%
CLE 116, DET 880.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,097.4%