NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	107		Excitement	8.0 [278]		MVP	Dorian Finney-Smith (BKN): +55.5%
Brooklyn Nets	112		Comeback	5.1 [258]		LVP	Nicolas Batum (PHI): -15.3%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.09,0.13	0.16	0.02	0.05	20	62%	0.18	1	-0.05	8	75%	-0.01
Cameron Payne	0.12	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12	0.08	0.06	0.02	10	68%	0.14	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0.12	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.07	0.00	9	78%	0.24	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
KJ Martin	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.01	4	75%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.00	16	53%	0.12	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Buddy Hield	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.02	0.00	9	57%	0.05	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Paul Reed	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	62%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jeff Dowtin Jr.	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mo Bamba	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	5	40%	-0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.09	-0.02	6	17%	-0.15	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.31,0.46,0.55,0.55	0.55	0.17	0.34	-0.04	11	91%	0.54	1	0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lonnie Walker IV	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.05	0.00	14	63%	0.18	1	-0.04	2	50%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.13	0.13	-0.01	0.12	-0.02	12	65%	0.28	5	-0.15	7	71%	0.01
Nic Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.03	0.01	8	77%	0.18	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.03
Cameron Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	4	67%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Keita Bates-Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trendon Watford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	6	17%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Smith Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	6	47%	0.01	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.05
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	0.03	12	52%	-0.02	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.00
Jalen Wilson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	9	22%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	2.3	29.5	14.7	24.3	0.2	38.5	137.6
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +37.5%

BKN +7.6%

BKN +0.8%

PHI -3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	BKN	NBA	PHI	BKN	NBA
this game	15.5	14.8	14.5	112.6	117.9	113.9
season	14.9	14.8		115.6	111.9
opponent	14.5	14.5		114.7	112.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.3	15.6	14.5	16.6	15.5
BKN	16.7	13.2	15.6	14.1	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
KJ Martin	21	23	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-3	1	15.4	15.5	-0.15	16.3	14.3	2.01
Kelly Oubre Jr.	69	70	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.19	3	-8	11	15.3	16.0	-0.70	15.5	13.0	2.53
Jeff Dowtin Jr.	12	11	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.06	-6	1	-7	16.5	15.3	1.15	14.7	14.8	-0.11
Paul Reed	37	34	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.12	0	-5	5	15.5	15.5	0.08	15.6	14.4	1.19
Mo Bamba	25	24	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.06	-4	-1	-3	15.2	15.6	-0.45	15.0	14.8	0.18
Cameron Payne	48	48	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.17	-2	-3	1	15.5	15.5	-0.07	12.8	16.9	-4.02
Nicolas Batum	65	65	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.34	-1	-4	3	15.4	15.8	-0.40	14.2	16.1	-1.92
Kyle Lowry	69	70	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.43	1	-6	7	15.4	15.7	-0.32	15.8	12.0	3.83
Buddy Hield	53	55	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.16	-10	5	-15	16.2	14.6	1.57	15.0	14.6	0.38
Tobias Harris	76	75	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.37	-4	-1	-3	15.4	16.1	-0.70	14.1	17.5	-3.46

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lonnie Walker IV	55	59	0.79	-0.29	1.08	-0.06	29	-24	53	14.3	15.5	-1.26	16.2	14.4	1.78
Nic Claxton	66	65	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.61	3	2	1	15.0	14.3	0.74	15.0	16.6	-1.66
Mikal Bridges	79	78	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.40	10	-5	15	14.5	16.4	-1.87	15.4	16.1	-0.69
Dorian Finney-Smith	62	62	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.29	9	-4	13	14.4	15.6	-1.16	15.5	15.5	0.02
Dennis Smith Jr.	45	45	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.02	13	-8	21	14.8	14.8	0.04	17.1	14.1	2.99
Dennis Schroder	69	68	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.45	-5	10	-15	14.7	15.2	-0.56	15.2	16.1	-0.91
Jalen Wilson	47	48	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.10	5	0	5	14.8	14.8	0.02	14.9	16.1	-1.25
Trendon Watford	25	25	-0.30	0.80	-1.09	0.08	-13	18	-31	14.5	14.9	-0.41	15.4	15.5	-0.18
Keita Bates-Diop	12	10	-0.32	0.82	-1.13	-0.05	-9	14	-23	17.4	14.4	2.97	15.6	15.5	0.12
Cameron Johnson	15	15	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	0.17	-17	22	-39	18.1	14.2	3.93	14.3	15.7	-1.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.43,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.26,0.21,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.38,0.35,0.49,0.41,0.44,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.7,0.73,0.7,0.62,0.56,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.36,0.46,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.78,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 102, MIL 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.41,0.32,0.36,0.42,0.33,0.41,0.58,0.57,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.52,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.44,0.38,0.3,0.18,0.29,0.23,0.14,0.24,0.46,0.53,0.55,0.78,0.91,1	91.7%
DET 92, CHI 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.37,0.44,0.3,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.32,0.31,0.54,0.6,0.69,0.71,0.84,0.96,1	90.9%
ATL 96, SEA 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.49,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.48,0.48,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.69,0.79,0.67,0.72,1	90.5%