NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	92		Excitement	8.1 [234]		MVP	Terry Mills (DET): +22.3%
Chicago Bulls	98		Comeback	4.8 [109]		LVP	Jerry Stackhouse (DET): -24.5%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Mills	0.22	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22	0.11	0.11	-0.00	13	69%	0.22	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Michael Curry	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	12	58%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Jud Buechler	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	1	60%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
John Crotty	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	3	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jerome Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Don Reid	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	2	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.01	0.01	10	33%	-0.08	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Christian Laettner	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.05	-0.02	19	43%	-0.07	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.04
Lindsey Hunter	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18	-0.04	-0.13	0.01	15	47%	-0.06	2	-0.11	2	50%	-0.02
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.25	-0.19	-0.08	-0.02	8	24%	-0.14	4	-0.10	5	60%	-0.02

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Maloney	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.05	0.00	10	60%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	10	68%	0.13	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Dickey Simpkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	0.00	4	69%	0.08	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.02
Elton Brand	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,0,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.03	-0.02	13	53%	0.04	2	-0.05	12	50%	-0.13
Randy Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	5	40%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Anstey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Hersey Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	11	61%	0.04	5	-0.15	14	79%	0.04
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	11	55%	-0.01	4	-0.11	7	86%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	2.3	34.5	15.4	23.9	2.6	35.6	141.1
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +58.3%

CHI +10.6%

CHI +8.9%

DET -26.7%

DET -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	CHI	NBA	DET	CHI	NBA
this game	15.0	14.6	15.2	94.8	100.0	101.7
season	14.1	16.5		104.2	91.8
opponent	14.9	15.3		102.3	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	13.4	12.9	16.9	17.0	15.0
CHI	16.6	14.8	13.8	13.0	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Grant Hill	40	40	0.08	-0.58	0.65	0.02	2	-8	10	13.6	15.9	-2.32	16.5	13.2	3.25
John Crotty	27	27	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.04	3	-9	12	13.2	15.7	-2.45	13.4	15.0	-1.58
Jerome Williams	33	34	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.16	-4	-2	-2	15.5	14.7	0.84	14.1	14.8	-0.71
Jud Buechler	31	33	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.27	2	-8	10	14.5	15.2	-0.79	14.3	14.7	-0.37
Terry Mills	59	58	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.25	-1	-5	4	15.4	14.3	1.11	14.7	14.3	0.42
Don Reid	6	7	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.09	-7	1	-8	16.3	14.9	1.43	11.9	14.8	-2.90
Michael Curry	70	72	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.23	-3	-3	0	15.4	13.8	1.63	14.2	15.6	-1.40
Jerry Stackhouse	88	88	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.15	-9	3	-12	15.1	13.4	1.70	14.1	18.2	-4.06
Lindsey Hunter	71	72	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.31	-8	2	-10	15.5	13.7	1.77	14.8	13.9	0.91
Christian Laettner	60	59	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.46	-5	-1	-4	14.8	15.3	-0.54	15.1	13.7	1.38

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Maloney	85	84	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.36	15	-9	24	14.8	13.1	1.70	15.3	13.1	2.21
Toni Kukoc	82	79	0.79	-0.29	1.07	0.38	14	-8	22	14.1	16.7	-2.55	15.1	14.6	0.46
Metta World Peace	81	80	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.39	12	-6	18	14.4	15.1	-0.61	14.7	16.5	-1.87
Elton Brand	78	78	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.43	6	0	6	14.9	13.1	1.76	14.7	16.4	-1.71
Dickey Simpkins	48	49	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.28	9	-3	12	15.1	14.0	1.12	16.3	13.6	2.66
Chris Carr	50	50	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.15	10	-4	14	13.6	15.5	-1.94	16.7	13.2	3.49
Chris Anstey	2	2	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.00	-1	7	-8	7.0	14.7	-7.71	9.5	15.1	-5.61
Michael Ruffin	13	12	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	-0.04	-9	15	-24	11.2	15.1	-3.83	12.4	15.4	-2.94
Hersey Hawkins	23	22	-0.38	0.88	-1.27	-0.03	-12	18	-30	15.8	14.2	1.67	14.6	15.1	-0.52
Randy Brown	28	29	-0.41	0.91	-1.33	-0.00	-14	20	-34	16.1	13.9	2.23	12.3	16.1	-3.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.37,0.44,0.3,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.32,0.31,0.54,0.6,0.69,0.71,0.84,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 102, CHH 119	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.52,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.32,0.36,0.66,0.72,0.61,0.9,0.99,1,1	91.9%
PHI 97, DET 101	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.48,0.4,0.34,0.48,0.29,0.29,0.37,0.41,0.59,0.67,0.86,0.79,0.9,0.96,1	91.0%
MIA 83, DAL 86	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.5,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.48,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.15,0.2,0.32,0.21,0.35,0.53,0.69,0.63,0.84,0.84,1	91.0%