NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	96		Excitement	8.5 [169]		MVP	Brent Barry (SEA): +21.6%
Seattle SuperSonics	99		Comeback	4.0 [529]		LVP	Shareef Abdur-Rahim (ATL): -22.6%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0.21	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.21	0.04	0.17	0.00	25	57%	0.27	3	-0.06	6	100%	0.03
Ira Newble	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	4	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dion Glover	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	2	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Alan Henderson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.01
Hanno Mottola	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	4	33%	-0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
DerMarr Johnson	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.14,-0.14	0.04	-0.17	0.01	9	59%	-0.14	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jacque Vaughn	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.10	-0.06	-0.00	8	35%	-0.09	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.02
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.11,-0.23	-0.09	-0.20	-0.06	17	58%	0.03	7	-0.26	9	89%	-0.03

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brent Barry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.15,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.12	0.10	0.00	9	89%	0.30	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.03	0.00	10	65%	0.10	0	0.00	6	83%	0.05
Jerome James	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07	0.07	-0.00	0.07	-0.00	6	64%	0.11	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Gary Payton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02	0.02	-0.06	0.07	-0.01	19	44%	0.02	0	0.00	10	70%	-0.01
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	0.01	13	46%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Art Long	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	83%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	6	53%	-0.03	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.02
Predrag Drobnjak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.02	-0.01	6	17%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Shammond Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	6	50%	-0.01	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	49.2	2.4	32.5	16.3	25.4	1.8	37.2	164.8
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +46.2%

ATL -3.8%

ATL -7.7%

SEA +13.7%

SEA +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	SEA	NBA	ATL	SEA	NBA
this game	16.6	15.4	15.6	106.7	110.0	102.3
season	15.5	16.0		99.7	106.3
opponent	15.8	15.2		103.9	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.7	17.8	16.5	17.9	16.6
SEA	16.7	15.0	14.1	15.7	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alan Henderson	51	52	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.31	13	-16	29	15.7	17.8	-2.08	14.8	16.1	-1.25
Nazr Mohammed	33	32	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.06	-4	1	-5	15.8	17.1	-1.26	15.3	15.4	-0.12
Dion Glover	22	22	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-1	-1	14.9	17.2	-2.30	13.4	16.0	-2.58
Ira Newble	59	61	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.15	0	-3	3	16.3	17.4	-1.08	14.6	16.9	-2.32
Jacque Vaughn	51	48	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.20	-5	2	-7	17.8	15.2	2.63	15.6	15.1	0.49
Jason Terry	85	86	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.39	0	-3	3	16.9	12.6	4.28	15.5	13.2	2.20
Hanno Mottola	13	12	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.13	-10	7	-17	21.8	15.8	5.99	18.1	14.9	3.15
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	83	84	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.43	-3	0	-3	16.7	15.9	0.85	15.3	15.8	-0.51
DerMarr Johnson	53	53	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.49	-4	1	-5	16.3	17.1	-0.83	16.7	13.5	3.17

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brent Barry	66	66	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.41	13	-10	23	15.8	14.2	1.56	16.8	16.1	0.77
Rashard Lewis	74	74	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.46	8	-5	13	15.4	15.3	0.05	16.6	16.8	-0.20
Jerome James	40	39	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.35	10	-7	17	15.9	14.9	0.98	18.1	15.5	2.57
Desmond Mason	49	49	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.42	0	3	-3	16.2	14.3	1.91	17.4	15.7	1.77
Gary Payton	78	77	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.40	0	3	-3	15.0	17.6	-2.57	16.7	16.5	0.12
Art Long	25	25	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.01	7	-4	11	14.8	15.6	-0.82	17.0	16.5	0.49
Shammond Williams	24	24	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.08	1	2	-1	12.4	16.4	-4.01	14.7	17.4	-2.70
Vladimir Radmanovic	57	57	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	-0.06	-2	5	-7	14.6	16.7	-2.07	16.0	17.8	-1.76
Earl Watson	14	15	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.03	-6	9	-15	18.5	14.8	3.72	17.1	16.6	0.51
Predrag Drobnjak	23	24	-0.52	1.02	-1.53	-0.05	-16	19	-35	16.2	15.1	1.10	15.0	17.2	-2.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.49,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.48,0.48,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.69,0.79,0.67,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 83, CLE 86	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.69,0.73,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.3,0.43,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.46,0.61,0.61,0.72,0.86,0.9,1	91.7%
MIL 86, DEN 91	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.3,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.4,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.6,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.44,0.4,0.32,0.26,0.34,0.25,0.2,0.23,0.36,0.47,0.53,0.81,0.89,0.77,0.72,1	91.2%
CLE 102, MIL 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.41,0.32,0.36,0.42,0.33,0.41,0.58,0.57,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.52,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.44,0.38,0.3,0.18,0.29,0.23,0.14,0.24,0.46,0.53,0.55,0.78,0.91,1	91.1%