NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	101		Excitement	5.4 [724]		MVP	Jonathan Isaac (ORL): +16.8%
Charlotte Hornets	89		Comeback	1.8 [955]		LVP	Franz Wagner (ORL): -15.9%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonathan Isaac	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.12	0.05	0.00	4	100%	0.17	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Wendell Carter Jr.	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.09	0.01	-0.04	7	86%	0.11	1	0.03	0	0%	0.00
Moritz Wagner	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.03	0.06	-0.02	8	69%	0.15	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Black	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	0.01	5	71%	0.10	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.04
Cole Anthony	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.00	11	58%	0.10	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Gary Harris	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	4	90%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Chuma Okeke	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Admiral Schofield	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caleb Houstan	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Suggs	-0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	4	44%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Joe Ingles	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paolo Banchero	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	19	55%	0.09	5	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Franz Wagner	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.12,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.13	-0.04	-0.01	11	35%	-0.05	4	-0.11	1	0%	-0.03

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Davis Bertans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.04	-0.02	11	64%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tre Mann	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.13	0.04	0.06	9	90%	0.16	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Vasilije Micic	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.06	-0.00	15	62%	0.16	4	-0.08	4	100%	0.00
Grant Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	69%	0.04	3	-0.06	5	100%	0.02
Bryce McGowens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.03	0.05	15	60%	0.07	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Nick Richards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Miles Bridges	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.19	-0.01	-0.05	16	22%	-0.09	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	1.8	25.4	15.4	29.8	1.7	26.3	127.7
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +33.5%

CHA -6.3%

ORL +15.5%

ORL +11.2%

CHA -3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	CHA	NBA	ORL	CHA	NBA
this game	15.7	16.0	14.5	111.0	97.8	113.9
season	15.1	14.8		111.8	108.3
opponent	14.5	14.4		118.7	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	14.5	16.2	14.2	17.9	15.7
CHA	16.8	16.5	16.4	14.2	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cole Anthony	43	42	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.08	15	-3	18	16.2	15.2	0.93	15.7	16.2	-0.53
Joe Ingles	33	34	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.04	15	-3	18	15.6	15.7	-0.15	15.5	16.3	-0.76
Moritz Wagner	35	35	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.02	12	0	12	15.7	15.6	0.07	15.7	16.2	-0.52
Anthony Black	51	50	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.10	7	5	2	16.5	14.6	1.91	15.7	16.3	-0.66
Gary Harris	42	43	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.05	6	6	0	14.4	16.8	-2.39	16.7	15.4	1.32
Paolo Banchero	62	65	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.18	1	11	-10	15.6	15.7	-0.08	15.9	16.1	-0.14
Jalen Suggs	40	41	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.05	5	7	-2	14.6	16.5	-1.91	16.3	15.7	0.66
Wendell Carter Jr.	55	55	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.13	0	12	-12	15.5	15.9	-0.45	16.2	15.7	0.47
Franz Wagner	57	56	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.19	-3	15	-18	15.6	15.8	-0.24	16.2	15.5	0.71
Jonathan Isaac	34	31	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	10	-8	16.4	15.2	1.23	15.5	16.2	-0.80
Chuma Okeke	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	12	-12	24.0	15.6	8.42	17.0	16.0	1.03
Admiral Schofield	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	12	-12	24.0	15.6	8.42	17.0	16.0	1.03
Caleb Houstan	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	12	-12	24.0	15.6	8.42	17.0	16.0	1.03

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Richards	54	53	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.12	5	-17	22	16.1	15.9	0.19	15.5	15.9	-0.43
Vasilije Micic	54	57	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.03	-2	-10	8	15.9	16.0	-0.08	15.5	16.0	-0.57
Brandon Miller	74	73	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.10	-6	-6	0	15.4	18.3	-2.85	15.8	15.2	0.63
Bryce McGowens	33	32	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.01	-12	0	-12	16.7	15.6	1.18	15.2	15.9	-0.70
Davis Bertans	46	45	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.08	-10	-2	-8	16.6	15.3	1.28	16.0	15.3	0.65
Miles Bridges	65	67	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.14	-8	-4	-4	16.2	15.5	0.72	15.8	15.4	0.34
Tre Mann	66	66	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.23	-6	-6	0	15.8	16.5	-0.69	15.7	15.6	0.15
Grant Williams	63	62	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.03	-21	9	-30	15.7	16.6	-0.91	15.7	15.6	0.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.63,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.33,0.41,0.49,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.21,0.15,0.26,0.18,0.14,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 83, CHI 74	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.5,0.45,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.35,0.23,0.32,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.01,0	93.8%
MIA 109, SAS 93	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.36,0.39,0.28,0.39,0.44,0.5,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.32,0.32,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.18,0.29,0.17,0.12,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.8%
CHA 109, MIN 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.34,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.33,0.34,0.37,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.11,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	93.7%