NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	83		Excitement	5.8 [634]		MVP	Chucky Atkins (ORL): +6.3%
Chicago Bulls	74		Comeback	1.7 [781]		LVP	Metta World Peace (CHI): -27.7%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chucky Atkins	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.01	9	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04	0.00	0.01	-0.02	5	64%	0.05	1	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02
John Amaechi	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	10	54%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Ben Wallace	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	7	56%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Gatling	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.03	13	38%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Doleac	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	10	35%	-0.05	0	0.00	6	83%	0.03
Pat Garrity	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	7	35%	-0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Monty Williams	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.01	8	37%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	4	30%	-0.04	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Darrell Armstrong	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	11	37%	-0.05	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
B.J. Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	9	61%	0.07	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dickey Simpkins	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	4	60%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Lari Ketner	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.00	15	56%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Chris Anstey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Corey Benjamin	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	12	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kornel David	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	15	40%	-0.04	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.02	-0.00	5	0%	-0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.28,-0.28	-0.28	-0.20	-0.08	-0.01	13	21%	-0.23	1	-0.04	8	87%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.5	26.2	15.5	26.6	2.4	38.0	133.6
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +23.3%

CHI -2.8%

ORL +9.5%

ORL +17.0%

ORL +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	CHI	NBA	ORL	CHI	NBA
this game	13.7	17.5	15.2	92.2	78.7	101.7
season	13.6	16.5		100.4	91.8
opponent	14.9	15.4		102.3	99.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	12.0	12.9	14.9	15.4	13.7
CHI	18.0	17.7	17.7	16.6	17.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bo Outlaw	51	54	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.30	12	-3	15	14.4	12.8	1.66	17.8	17.1	0.67
John Amaechi	54	57	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.12	16	-7	23	13.1	14.6	-1.45	18.5	15.9	2.58
Darrell Armstrong	68	69	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.26	3	6	-3	14.0	12.9	1.12	16.7	19.8	-3.06
Ben Wallace	39	41	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.10	8	1	7	13.9	13.5	0.42	17.8	17.3	0.52
Chris Gatling	43	44	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.15	4	5	-1	13.9	13.5	0.42	17.7	17.4	0.32
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	54	56	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.19	2	7	-5	13.6	13.9	-0.34	16.4	19.1	-2.63
Corey Maggette	36	38	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.04	7	2	5	13.9	13.6	0.34	19.1	16.4	2.63
Chucky Atkins	22	25	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.02	6	3	3	12.9	14.0	-1.12	19.8	16.7	3.06
Pat Garrity	21	21	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	10	-11	13.6	13.8	-0.18	14.0	18.5	-4.58
Monty Williams	39	40	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.06	-3	12	-15	12.8	14.4	-1.66	17.1	17.8	-0.67
Michael Doleac	23	25	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	0.07	-9	18	-27	14.4	13.5	0.91	17.4	17.6	-0.15

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lari Ketner	9	8	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.02	3	-12	15	15.3	17.7	-2.41	11.4	13.9	-2.56
Chris Anstey	32	28	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.04	-1	-8	7	18.0	17.3	0.69	11.5	14.7	-3.16
Corey Benjamin	76	74	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.20	3	-12	15	17.4	17.9	-0.54	14.4	10.7	3.60
Dickey Simpkins	46	47	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.33	7	-16	23	17.8	17.2	0.62	16.7	10.4	6.30
B.J. Armstrong	54	51	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.10	-5	-4	-1	17.7	17.3	0.37	13.6	13.8	-0.24
Fred Hoiberg	18	19	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.01	-8	-1	-7	19.7	17.0	2.67	13.5	13.8	-0.30
Michael Ruffin	20	19	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.05	-13	4	-17	19.1	17.1	2.02	11.4	14.3	-2.97
Metta World Peace	80	77	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.19	-8	-1	-7	16.7	21.9	-5.11	13.5	14.7	-1.15
Kornel David	57	52	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.11	-13	4	-17	17.5	17.6	-0.09	12.5	15.4	-2.91
Elton Brand	78	75	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.26	-10	1	-11	17.3	18.6	-1.34	14.0	12.3	1.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.5,0.45,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.35,0.23,0.32,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 127, PHI 124	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.41,0.26,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.18,0.21,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0,0,0	94.1%
UTA 91, GSW 85	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.41,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.29,0.2,0.26,0.21,0.08,0.05,0.11,0.17,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.07,0.01,0,0,0	93.6%
BOS 96, PHI 86	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.56,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.22,0.21,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.1,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.02,0	93.5%