inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Utah Jazz 91 Excitement6.6 [503] MVPMatt Harpring (UTA): +9.2%
Golden State Warriors 85 Comeback1.2 [531] LVPJason Richardson (GSW): -16.8%


Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Matt Harpring0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.100.020.03868%0.111-0.02683%0.00
Jarron Collins0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.010.04-0.02450%0.0700.004100%0.03
Deron Williams0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07-0.030.03-0.06856%0.123-0.052100%0.01
Greg Ostertag0.030,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.04-0.000.013100%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Mehmet Okur0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.001753%0.083-0.08978%-0.01
Gordan Giricek-0.010,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.011242%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Devin Brown-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.00367%0.032-0.0500%0.00
Milt Palacio-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.030.0010%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Kris Humphries-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.010.00420%-0.0500.002100%0.01
Keith McLeod-0.090,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.08-0.02-0.01529%-0.032-0.064100%0.03
Andrei Kirilenko-0.140,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14-0.15-0.03-0.041234%-0.034-0.11837%-0.06

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Zarko Cabarkapa0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.050.040.02567%0.0700.00250%-0.01
Derek Fisher0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.02-0.02-0.011649%0.031-0.02560%-0.02
Calbert Cheaney00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Aaron Miles0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.000.011100%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Chris Taft0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.020.00333%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Mike Dunleavy0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08-0.08-0.02-0.020.031343%-0.051-0.03475%-0.00
Adonal Foyle0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.08-0.020.00529%-0.062-0.044100%0.01
Mickael Pietrus0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.08-0.020.00644%-0.023-0.09633%-0.08
Troy Murphy0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.09-0.050.02937%-0.102-0.061457%-0.06
Jason Richardson0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.18,-0.16,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.09-0.080.002042%-0.044-0.12333%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.01.836.015.828.12.532.6138.8
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
UTA +23.7%
UTA +17.7%
UTA +11.7%
GSW -5.2%
UTA +2.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsUTAGSWNBAUTAGSWNBA
this game17.114.215.697.893.4104.4
season17.014.8101.7102.9
opponent15.515.0104.0104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
UTA19.315.116.617.617.1
GSW13.415.514.713.014.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jarron Collins67650.52-0.020.540.269-31215.720.8-5.0714.613.11.45
Keith McLeod45450.480.020.460.1013-72017.916.41.5814.114.2-0.17
Gordan Giricek48480.480.020.450.0913-72018.016.21.8714.214.10.07
Mehmet Okur73700.420.080.340.2751417.415.91.4913.715.8-2.15
Andrei Kirilenko77750.350.150.210.2733017.814.13.6914.313.21.10
Deron Williams34340.160.34-0.170.22-28-1017.017.2-0.1414.514.00.51
Kris Humphries15160.160.34-0.190.0151414.117.7-3.6414.514.10.42
Matt Harpring35330.150.35-0.210.20-28-1016.617.4-0.7913.114.8-1.67
Greg Ostertag2223-0.020.52-0.540.07-39-1221.015.95.0213.714.3-0.61
Devin Brown3029-0.050.55-0.590.07-410-1416.117.6-1.5515.613.52.15
Milt Palacio1917-0.160.66-0.810.05-713-2014.817.7-2.9313.114.4-1.27

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Adonal Foyle3738-0.06-0.440.38-0.184-101413.514.6-1.1219.615.44.25
Calbert Cheaney66-0.06-0.440.38-0.00-2-4216.214.02.1513.817.3-3.51
Mickael Pietrus3738-0.17-0.330.16-0.02-5-1-414.414.00.3815.518.2-2.74
Aaron Miles2828-0.21-0.290.08-0.06-5-1-414.014.2-0.2215.517.8-2.32
Zarko Cabarkapa3636-0.21-0.290.08-0.241-7813.414.6-1.1716.717.4-0.69
Chris Taft2827-0.24-0.260.01-0.01-82-1014.314.10.2414.218.3-4.13
Derek Fisher7071-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.352-81014.114.3-0.2317.516.01.46
Mike Dunleavy6161-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.30-2-4214.214.00.1818.115.22.94
Troy Murphy7579-0.43-0.07-0.35-0.22-71-814.612.12.5417.415.81.57
Jason Richardson7781-0.47-0.03-0.45-0.24-82-1014.114.4-0.3217.415.41.95


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.41,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.29,0.2,0.26,0.21,0.08,0.05,0.11,0.17,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.07,0.01,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
DAL 108, MEM 970.5,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.3,0.33,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.2,0.14,0.21,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.13,0.05,0.1,0.19,0.13,0.03,0.01,0,0,094.6%
DEN 115, OKC 1050.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.33,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.32,0.41,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.25,0.24,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.06,0.08,0.02,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,094.0%
MIN 91, MIL 840.5,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.39,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.42,0.32,0.23,0.28,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.19,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.07,0.06,0.01,094.0%