inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 115 Excitement5.6 [755] MVPJamal Murray (DEN): +19.7%
Oklahoma City Thunder 105 Comeback1.0 [589] LVPPaul George (OKC): -7.0%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jamal Murray0.200,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.20.160.060.022064%0.2000.002100%0.01
Nikola Jokic0.150,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.150.100.01-0.041668%0.202-0.052100%0.01
Torrey Craig0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.00-0.01475%0.0500.0000%0.00
Mason Plumlee0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.010.01592%0.103-0.06250%-0.01
Paul Millsap0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.09-0.000.05887%0.092-0.0600%0.00
Gary Harris0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.010.01757%0.0300.0000%0.00
Malik Beasley0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.000.01-0.01844%0.0200.0000%0.00
Will Barton0.010,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.03-0.010.01875%0.093-0.0800%0.00
Trey Lyles-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01350%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Monte Morris-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.01-0.01633%-0.001-0.0300%0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nerlens Noel0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.080.010.00489%0.0900.0010%-0.01
Steven Adams0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.080.010.011264%0.111-0.0310%-0.02
Abdel Nader0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.00-0.00462%0.0300.0000%0.00
Hamidou Diallo00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Raymond Felton00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Deonte Burton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jerami Grant0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.02-0.020.01856%0.011-0.022100%0.01
Dennis Schroder0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.02-0.01-0.01950%0.012-0.0300%0.00
Russell Westbrook0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.1,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.04-0.040.032255%0.063-0.09580%0.00
Terrance Ferguson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.020.00150%0.011-0.042100%0.01
Markieff Morris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.00530%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Paul George0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.020.042251%0.044-0.11560%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.62.327.114.524.52.530.6125.1
league avg25.32.227.814.627.62.231.9132.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +51.3%
OKC -4.8%
OKC -2.9%
DEN +5.2%
DEN +1.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENOKCNBADENOKCNBA
this game17.613.014.3122.3111.7109.3
season14.812.9112.0108.9
opponent14.914.6106.4108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN16.517.917.618.417.6
OKC13.512.613.112.913.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Monte Morris37370.410.090.330.0911-11218.716.91.7514.711.92.73
Nikola Jokic69690.370.130.230.1673417.418.2-0.8512.215.2-2.91
Paul Millsap55530.350.150.200.1473417.318.0-0.7012.314.0-1.74
Torrey Craig41420.340.160.190.0891817.817.50.3814.012.21.86
Jamal Murray68680.300.200.110.1655017.418.1-0.6412.215.2-3.00
Mason Plumlee41430.230.27-0.040.0564218.516.91.6314.311.92.45
Will Barton50500.200.30-0.100.1137-417.318.0-0.6812.214.0-1.75
Malik Beasley25240.150.35-0.200.0928-617.717.60.1414.712.52.21
Gary Harris61610.090.41-0.310.09010-1017.218.3-1.0612.314.4-2.16
Trey Lyles23230.060.44-0.390.06010-1017.317.7-0.3614.612.52.10

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Hamidou Diallo110.00-0.500.500.000-10107.013.1-6.093.017.8-14.77
Raymond Felton110.00-0.500.500.000-10107.013.1-6.093.017.8-14.77
Deonte Burton110.00-0.500.500.000-10107.013.1-6.093.017.8-14.77
Abdel Nader2222-0.11-0.390.29-0.02-3-7414.312.61.6316.717.9-1.22
Steven Adams6969-0.16-0.340.18-0.222-121412.414.8-2.3717.717.30.46
Markieff Morris2928-0.21-0.290.07-0.04-6-4-214.512.42.1117.217.8-0.52
Russell Westbrook7072-0.27-0.23-0.05-0.24-1-9812.414.7-2.3218.116.02.17
Jerami Grant6465-0.29-0.21-0.07-0.17-4-6212.514.2-1.7818.016.81.24
Nerlens Noel2525-0.34-0.16-0.180.01-122-1414.812.42.3717.317.7-0.46
Paul George7979-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.14-7-3-413.212.20.9817.219.8-2.60
Dennis Schroder4745-0.37-0.13-0.25-0.17-7-3-414.311.82.5118.616.71.84
Terrance Ferguson6262-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.05-122-1412.314.4-2.1517.717.50.13


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.33,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.32,0.41,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.25,0.24,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.06,0.08,0.02,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
OKC 103, UTA 890.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.31,0.29,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.28,0.31,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.28,0.19,0.2,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,094.9%
LAL 106, ORL 970.5,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.36,0.42,0.31,0.43,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.32,0.22,0.15,0.22,0.15,0.19,0.11,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,094.7%
WAS 91, MIA 870.5,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.4,0.3,0.37,0.34,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.26,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,094.4%