NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	103		Excitement	4.8 [888]		MVP	Paul George (OKC): +17.0%
Utah Jazz	89		Comeback	1.1 [702]		LVP	Ricky Rubio (UTA): -9.0%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.15	0.03	0.01	17	72%	0.21	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Russell Westbrook	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.01	-0.05	24	52%	0.13	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	4	75%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Alex Abrines	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Huestis	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.04	9	55%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Carmelo Anthony	-0.01	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	18	44%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	2	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Andre Roberson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.17	-0.01	0.08	16	81%	0.17	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.01
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.10	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ekpe Udoh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	36%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.02	0.01	8	61%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Royce O'Neale	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	9	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	7	44%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Rodney Hood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	14	31%	-0.06	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	10	30%	-0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.4	26.5	14.5	26.5	1.4	28.5	124.1
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +21.8%

UTA -2.8%

OKC +10.6%

OKC +20.7%

UTA -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	UTA	NBA	OKC	UTA	NBA
this game	16.2	16.5	14.7	115.7	102.3	107.5
season	14.2	15.1		109.4	106.6
opponent	14.6	15.3		103.3	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	13.1	15.7	16.5	20.5	16.2
UTA	17.0	14.9	17.8	16.5	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerami Grant	36	35	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.11	10	4	6	15.2	16.9	-1.69	15.1	17.5	-2.41
Paul George	68	65	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.01	13	1	12	16.9	14.0	2.82	17.1	15.0	2.11
Andre Roberson	47	42	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.06	11	3	8	15.7	16.8	-1.15	18.5	14.7	3.77
Russell Westbrook	71	67	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.02	12	2	10	16.7	14.3	2.41	16.8	15.5	1.27
Carmelo Anthony	62	61	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.06	9	5	4	17.0	14.4	2.52	17.4	14.5	2.95
Patrick Patterson	24	23	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.06	3	11	-8	14.7	16.8	-2.10	14.6	17.2	-2.61
Josh Huestis	28	29	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.02	4	10	-6	16.3	16.2	0.12	14.9	17.3	-2.40
Alex Abrines	30	33	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.07	2	12	-10	15.7	16.5	-0.76	15.5	17.2	-1.73
Steven Adams	56	55	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.05	6	8	-2	16.7	15.4	1.24	17.3	15.2	2.02
Raymond Felton	23	25	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.09	0	14	-14	14.4	16.8	-2.44	14.4	17.4	-3.04

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thabo Sefolosha	28	29	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.14	5	-19	24	14.9	17.3	-2.46	18.2	15.2	3.02
Royce O'Neale	9	8	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.07	2	-16	18	14.6	16.8	-2.20	19.4	15.9	3.49
Alec Burks	27	26	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-12	10	14.1	17.6	-3.45	14.2	17.0	-2.89
Ekpe Udoh	28	27	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.03	-3	-11	8	14.4	17.5	-3.15	15.3	16.6	-1.25
Joe Johnson	41	40	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.02	-7	-7	0	16.4	16.6	-0.22	15.6	16.7	-1.00
Rodney Hood	57	57	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.11	-4	-10	6	15.7	18.1	-2.35	16.0	16.6	-0.56
Jonas Jerebko	23	25	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.06	-12	-2	-10	17.8	16.1	1.76	15.0	16.7	-1.67
Ricky Rubio	42	42	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.05	-10	-4	-6	17.7	15.4	2.25	15.1	17.1	-2.01
Derrick Favors	59	62	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.06	-11	-3	-8	17.5	14.4	3.15	16.6	15.3	1.25
Donovan Mitchell	65	69	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.04	-12	-2	-10	17.0	15.1	1.92	16.7	14.4	2.26
Joe Ingles	56	60	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.03	-16	2	-18	17.8	14.3	3.48	16.9	14.8	2.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.31,0.29,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.28,0.31,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.28,0.19,0.2,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 109, DET 98	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.41,0.43,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.26,0.22,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
DEN 115, OKC 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.33,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.32,0.41,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.25,0.24,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.06,0.08,0.02,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0	94.9%
IND 100, ATL 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.41,0.4,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.26,0.26,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%