NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	115		Excitement	8.1 [263]		MVP	Collin Sexton (UTA): +34.1%
Utah Jazz	127		Comeback	5.5 [385]		LVP	Deni Avdija (WAS): -23.1%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Poole	0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.2,0.26,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.23	0.02	-0.04	18	80%	0.34	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Tyus Jones	0.25	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.21	0.04	0.01	11	95%	0.25	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Davis	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Kuzma	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.16,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	-0.01	-0.02	18	49%	0.07	1	-0.03	11	64%	-0.04
Bilal Coulibaly	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.02	-0.03	7	44%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eugene Omoruyi	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Landry Shamet	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Richaun Holmes	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Bagley III	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	7	37%	-0.04	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Corey Kispert	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.04	-0.02	9	28%	-0.03	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Deni Avdija	-0.23	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.13	-0.08	0.01	18	40%	-0.10	5	-0.13	4	100%	0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Collin Sexton	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.19	0.15	0.00	19	71%	0.38	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.2,0.23,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.20	0.06	0.01	26	62%	0.27	1	-0.02	9	89%	0.02
Taylor Hendricks	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.00	0.01	3	133%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Collins	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	11	71%	0.12	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Johnny Juzang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.02	8	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omer Yurtseven	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Keyonte George	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Talen Horton-Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.07	0.00	9	47%	-0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Brice Sensabaugh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	9	39%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luka Samanic	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	9	28%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Dunn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.06	0.01	5	40%	-0.03	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.0	1.8	27.2	14.4	22.3	2.7	29.5	126.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +31.7%

WAS -8.4%

UTA +19.3%

UTA +6.7%

UTA +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	UTA	NBA	WAS	UTA	NBA
this game	13.0	14.2	14.5	108.5	119.8	113.9
season	13.7	14.7		109.8	113.7
opponent	13.9	14.1		119.0	118.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	12.9	12.9	12.3	13.8	13.0
UTA	12.3	14.2	15.4	15.0	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Johnny Davis	19	18	0.22	-0.72	0.93	-0.08	10	-22	32	10.5	13.5	-3.07	14.3	14.2	0.12
Richaun Holmes	22	20	0.17	-0.67	0.85	0.03	5	-17	22	12.6	13.1	-0.50	15.2	13.9	1.26
Corey Kispert	36	35	0.17	-0.67	0.83	-0.01	6	-18	24	11.4	13.8	-2.47	15.5	13.5	1.91
Eugene Omoruyi	9	10	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-13	14	10.0	13.3	-3.27	11.9	14.4	-2.52
Marvin Bagley III	50	51	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.03	-7	-5	-2	13.3	12.7	0.55	13.8	14.5	-0.65
Tyus Jones	65	67	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.18	-6	-6	0	12.8	13.3	-0.57	14.4	13.7	0.69
Deni Avdija	77	78	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.32	-2	-10	8	12.6	13.9	-1.25	14.1	14.4	-0.29
Jordan Poole	64	62	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.05	-17	5	-22	13.0	12.9	0.14	14.4	13.8	0.62
Kyle Kuzma	76	77	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.09	-13	1	-14	13.8	11.0	2.73	14.0	14.8	-0.80
Landry Shamet	39	37	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.01	-18	6	-24	14.7	12.0	2.69	13.9	14.3	-0.44
Bilal Coulibaly	73	75	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.09	-19	7	-26	13.5	11.8	1.75	13.8	15.0	-1.21

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Clarkson	82	80	0.78	-0.28	1.07	0.17	21	-9	30	14.4	13.5	0.93	12.5	14.6	-2.10
John Collins	78	76	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.08	19	-7	26	14.2	14.2	-0.10	13.2	12.5	0.73
Collin Sexton	76	73	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.10	18	-6	24	13.8	15.1	-1.28	13.5	11.8	1.75
Johnny Juzang	43	42	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.09	18	-6	24	14.8	13.7	1.11	13.6	12.6	1.08
Kris Dunn	63	64	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.11	9	3	6	14.0	14.4	-0.44	12.4	14.0	-1.59
Taylor Hendricks	31	32	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.03	1	11	-10	13.0	14.7	-1.62	13.9	12.6	1.27
Omer Yurtseven	15	16	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	10	-8	14.5	14.1	0.41	14.9	12.7	2.22
Talen Horton-Tucker	34	35	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.03	-2	14	-16	14.9	13.8	1.08	12.0	13.5	-1.48
Keyonte George	13	13	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.07	-6	18	-24	12.3	14.4	-2.13	14.7	12.8	1.94
Luka Samanic	51	52	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.07	-11	23	-34	13.9	14.5	-0.57	12.4	13.6	-1.15
Brice Sensabaugh	44	47	-0.27	0.77	-1.03	-0.00	-9	21	-30	15.1	13.5	1.56	12.6	13.3	-0.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.5,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.29,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.58,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.28,0.15,0.29,0.4,0.54,0.38,0.47,0.37,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.46,0.61,0.84,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 88, MIA 97	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.3,0.31,0.39,0.37,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.37,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.3,0.26,0.38,0.34,0.21,0.26,0.29,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.53,0.42,0.29,0.24,0.46,0.61,0.55,0.97,0.99,1	90.1%
WAS 86, SAC 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.36,0.23,0.28,0.24,0.27,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.57,0.47,0.57,0.53,0.77,0.69,0.9,0.94,1,1	90.0%
BOS 75, DEN 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.48,0.39,0.44,0.54,0.57,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.64,0.41,0.4,0.53,0.79,0.99,1,1	90.0%