NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	114		Excitement	5.7 [664]		MVP	Rudy Gobert (MIN): +28.6%
Minnesota Timberwolves	119		Comeback	1.5 [1229]		LVP	Dalano Banton (POR): -14.2%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Duop Reath	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.18	0.02	0.03	14	87%	0.24	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Rayan Rupert	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.11	0.02	0.04	7	93%	0.10	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Simons	0.08	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.11	0.02	0.05	26	62%	0.16	4	-0.08	3	100%	-0.00
Kris Murray	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	-0.01	0.03	11	61%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Justin Minaya	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moses Brown	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Walker	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	9	22%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ashton Hagans	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Dalano Banton	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.04	-0.01	0.08	20	40%	-0.12	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.02

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.20	0.09	0.00	10	93%	0.37	3	-0.08	7	100%	0.03
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.13	0.09	-0.00	6	93%	0.21	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Naz Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.02	-0.00	5	100%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	12	47%	0.06	1	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.00	0.04	13	61%	0.06	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.02
Jaden McDaniels	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	7	45%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.05
Anthony Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	0.01	10	50%	0.01	2	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	8	50%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Monte Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	8	29%	-0.07	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	1.8	30.2	15.4	27.5	2.4	33.6	136.4
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +24.2%

MIN +15.8%

POR -0.2%

MIN +7.2%

MIN +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	MIN	NBA	POR	MIN	NBA
this game	15.5	15.1	14.5	121.3	126.6	113.9
season	14.8	14.9		106.9	114.4
opponent	14.7	14.5		108.3	116.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.7	17.4	14.9	15.3	15.5
MIN	15.9	16.1	14.5	14.1	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Moses Brown	18	17	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.01	4	-9	13	15.3	15.6	-0.31	15.2	15.1	0.16
Ashton Hagans	37	39	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.08	-1	-4	3	15.3	15.7	-0.34	14.5	15.5	-1.01
Kris Murray	67	67	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.32	6	-11	17	15.1	16.5	-1.38	15.6	13.8	1.81
Jabari Walker	54	56	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.30	3	-8	11	15.1	16.1	-0.95	15.6	14.3	1.33
Justin Minaya	21	20	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.06	-12	7	-19	16.5	15.3	1.22	12.8	15.7	-2.87
Anfernee Simons	85	84	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.33	1	-6	7	15.3	17.9	-2.61	15.1	14.9	0.23
Rayan Rupert	47	46	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.10	-7	2	-9	15.7	15.3	0.38	14.3	15.9	-1.61
Dalano Banton	66	65	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.30	-10	5	-15	16.0	14.5	1.47	15.4	14.4	1.05
Duop Reath	75	76	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.39	-9	4	-13	15.9	14.3	1.59	15.3	14.2	1.09

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Anderson	57	57	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.26	13	-8	21	13.9	17.0	-3.08	15.7	15.3	0.39
Naz Reid	45	46	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.06	16	-11	27	14.2	15.9	-1.65	16.7	14.5	2.19
Anthony Edwards	67	68	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.28	8	-3	11	14.8	15.8	-0.99	16.0	14.3	1.64
Rudy Gobert	76	75	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.45	-4	9	-13	15.8	12.3	3.43	15.2	16.9	-1.77
Monte Morris	39	40	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.07	8	-3	11	14.5	15.5	-0.97	15.5	15.6	-0.06
Mike Conley	55	54	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.29	-3	8	-11	15.5	14.5	0.97	15.6	15.5	0.06
Jaden McDaniels	45	44	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.32	-9	14	-23	16.4	13.9	2.52	15.8	15.3	0.54
Karl-Anthony Towns	42	43	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.06	1	4	-3	15.6	14.7	0.84	15.0	16.0	-0.98
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	44	43	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.11	-5	10	-15	15.1	15.1	-0.07	14.3	16.6	-2.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.6,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.86,0.83,0.71,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.84,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.97,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 111, TOR 128	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.5,0.54,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.7,0.63,0.69,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.71,0.74,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
NJN 97, CLE 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.7,0.71,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.77,0.81,0.77,0.67,0.78,0.74,0.87,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1	94.7%
SAS 97, OKC 106	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.65,0.77,0.7,0.72,0.78,0.85,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%