inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 111 Excitement6.0 [721] MVPGary Trent Jr. (TOR): +16.8%
Toronto Raptors 128 Comeback1.9 [976] LVPDario Saric (OKC): -9.5%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander0.100,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.130.010.041967%0.183-0.08580%-0.00
Jalen Williams0.100,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.010.05-0.041152%0.142-0.04786%0.02
Isaiah Joe0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.040.04963%0.0800.001100%0.00
Tre Mann0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.06-0.00-0.01967%0.091-0.0300%0.00
Ousmane Dieng0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.010.00-0.03350%0.0400.0000%0.00
Josh Giddey0.020,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.000.020.001159%0.083-0.0600%0.00
Lindy Waters III0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.060.000.063100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.0220%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Aaron Wiggins-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.01-0.02150%0.002-0.032100%0.00
Jaylin Williams-0.030,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.01736%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Olivier Sarr-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.020.0000%0.001-0.0400%0.00
Luguentz Dort-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.03-0.001137%-0.0500.005100%0.03
Dario Saric-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.08-0.020.00825%-0.071-0.0300%0.00

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Gary Trent Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.210.020.061188%0.1700.00475%-0.00
O.G. Anunoby0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.110.04-0.00985%0.202-0.052100%0.01
Pascal Siakam0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.080.02-0.021954%0.1200.00850%-0.03
Scottie Barnes0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.030.06-0.011556%0.112-0.01475%0.00
Jakob Poeltl0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.03-0.010.021150%0.0000.001080%0.01
Joe Wieskamp00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Christian Koloko00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Malachi Flynn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.0530%0.0000.0000%0.00
Chris Boucher0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.050.01-0.03650%0.063-0.0700%0.00
Will Barton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.040.02-0.00625%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Fred VanVleet0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.060.01-0.020.051756%0.033-0.0900%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.42.522.713.726.52.331.4124.5
league avg25.82.328.215.028.22.332.4135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +32.2%
OKC -10.5%
TOR +15.9%
TOR +8.7%
TOR +3.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCTORNBAOKCTORNBA
this game14.714.014.4111.0126.7113.4
season13.714.7113.5114.0
opponent14.514.5112.2112.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC15.414.713.715.014.7
TOR11.812.017.015.714.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Olivier Sarr21200.07-0.570.640.13-2-151314.214.8-0.6016.113.42.68
Lindy Waters III910-0.00-0.500.50-0.093-202313.714.8-1.1515.913.72.16
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl1819-0.03-0.470.44-0.030-171714.114.8-0.7314.113.90.19
Aaron Wiggins1618-0.06-0.440.39-0.03-1-161514.214.8-0.5512.914.2-1.29
Luguentz Dort6765-0.09-0.410.330.09-6-11514.714.8-0.1213.914.0-0.03
Tre Mann4847-0.10-0.400.300.08-6-11513.715.6-1.8913.014.8-1.86
Ousmane Dieng2929-0.18-0.320.14-0.12-2-151314.214.9-0.6613.914.0-0.03
Jaylin Williams3132-0.22-0.280.06-0.04-6-11515.814.21.5910.715.4-4.68
Dario Saric2727-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.02-11-6-514.015.0-0.9714.713.70.98
Isaiah Joe4647-0.35-0.15-0.21-0.24-4-13915.014.50.4615.512.62.92
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander7274-0.36-0.14-0.230.13-170-1714.714.60.0914.213.20.99
Josh Giddey5658-0.42-0.08-0.340.14-192-2115.513.71.8813.914.0-0.13
Jalen Williams6059-0.42-0.08-0.35-0.01-14-3-1115.114.01.1013.914.1-0.21

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Scottie Barnes72720.55-0.050.61-0.1223-62913.714.5-0.8014.814.40.44
O.G. Anunoby62600.450.050.400.041431113.015.5-2.4615.413.71.64
Gary Trent Jr.74740.430.070.37-0.031611514.113.60.5414.216.3-2.11
Christian Koloko24250.270.230.040.10611-515.013.61.4314.414.8-0.36
Fred VanVleet71720.240.26-0.03-0.09116513.914.1-0.2114.615.1-0.50
Jakob Poeltl61610.220.28-0.05-0.13125714.013.90.0815.213.91.37
Will Barton22210.210.29-0.080.09413-914.913.71.1715.714.51.21
Pascal Siakam71690.180.32-0.140.00611-514.512.71.7315.213.51.68
Joe Wieskamp760.000.50-0.500.03-118-1911.414.1-2.7112.214.9-2.71
Malachi Flynn760.000.50-0.500.03-118-1911.414.1-2.7112.214.9-2.71
Chris Boucher3434-0.060.56-0.620.09-522-2714.513.70.8713.315.5-2.19


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.5,0.54,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.7,0.63,0.69,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.71,0.74,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 90, CHA 1000.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.79,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.7,0.74,0.82,0.83,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,194.7%
NJN 93, MIL 990.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.52,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.73,0.7,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.79,0.66,0.63,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.88,0.83,0.91,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,194.6%
SAS 97, OKC 1060.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.65,0.77,0.7,0.72,0.78,0.85,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.6%