NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	102		Excitement	5.6 [667]		MVP	Mikal Bridges (BKN): +22.8%
Brooklyn Nets	114		Comeback	2.9 [418]		LVP	Dejounte Murray (ATL): -10.6%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Saddiq Bey	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.16	0.00	0.05	14	70%	0.12	0	0.00	5	100%	0.00
Bruno Fernando	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	-0.00	0.03	5	83%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Clint Capela	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	7	61%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
De'Andre Hunter	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	11	62%	0.08	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
Trent Forrest	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Garrison Mathews	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Johnson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.10	0.03	-0.03	12	27%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Kobe Bufkin	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	5	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Bogdan Bogdanovic	-0.09	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	13	46%	-0.04	4	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Dejounte Murray	-0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.01	-0.04	0.05	19	48%	-0.05	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.21	0.02	0.00	26	67%	0.25	2	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Cameron Johnson	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.17	0.03	0.02	12	74%	0.21	1	-0.03	7	100%	0.03
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.01	0.02	7	79%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.05	-0.01	13	47%	0.07	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Day'Ron Sharpe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	4	50%	0.03	1	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Jalen Wilson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keita Bates-Diop	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trendon Watford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nic Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	9	60%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.04
Dennis Smith Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	6	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lonnie Walker IV	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	0.01	-0.01	7	14%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	2.4	29.3	15.4	29.4	2.4	31.3	136.8
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +35.6%

BKN +6.9%

BKN +0.1%

BKN +10.1%

ATL -2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	BKN	NBA	ATL	BKN	NBA
this game	15.0	15.3	14.5	106.2	121.3	113.9
season	14.2	14.8		115.7	111.9
opponent	14.5	14.3		114.7	118.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	12.9	16.7	15.8	14.6	15.0
BKN	16.4	13.9	14.1	16.7	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trent Forrest	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-14	16	15.7	15.0	0.69	19.3	15.2	4.15
Garrison Mathews	26	26	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.07	2	-14	16	14.3	15.2	-0.90	16.9	14.7	2.16
Kobe Bufkin	28	27	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.09	-1	-11	10	15.3	14.9	0.40	15.4	15.3	0.07
Clint Capela	49	49	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	-8	4	14.7	15.4	-0.71	14.3	16.5	-2.20
Bruno Fernando	36	34	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.21	1	-13	14	15.5	14.7	0.84	17.0	14.3	2.68
Saddiq Bey	71	68	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.11	-9	-3	-6	14.9	15.2	-0.32	14.8	16.6	-1.74
Bogdan Bogdanovic	71	70	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.03	-14	2	-16	15.2	14.3	0.92	14.7	17.2	-2.59
De'Andre Hunter	58	56	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.02	-13	1	-14	15.2	14.7	0.57	15.8	14.6	1.20
Jalen Johnson	69	68	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.14	-10	-2	-8	14.8	15.4	-0.57	15.4	15.0	0.39
Dejounte Murray	69	69	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.03	-14	2	-16	14.9	15.3	-0.41	15.1	16.0	-0.87

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dorian Finney-Smith	72	73	0.50	-0.00	0.50	-0.05	19	-7	26	14.7	17.5	-2.85	14.9	15.3	-0.46
Dennis Schroder	69	71	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.03	16	-4	20	14.6	17.4	-2.83	14.9	15.4	-0.54
Mikal Bridges	75	75	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.02	13	-1	14	15.3	15.6	-0.33	15.1	14.6	0.49
Nic Claxton	67	67	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.01	13	-1	14	14.6	17.1	-2.46	15.6	13.7	1.88
Dennis Smith Jr.	38	39	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.22	3	9	-6	16.1	14.8	1.36	16.3	14.1	2.20
Cameron Johnson	63	64	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.00	7	5	2	15.0	16.0	-1.02	15.0	15.0	-0.05
Jalen Wilson	31	32	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.19	0	12	-12	16.5	14.8	1.69	14.0	15.5	-1.45
Day'Ron Sharpe	26	29	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.15	-1	13	-14	17.3	14.6	2.70	13.7	15.6	-1.88
Keita Bates-Diop	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	16	-20	18.7	15.2	3.58	15.7	15.0	0.78
Trendon Watford	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	16	-20	18.7	15.2	3.58	15.7	15.0	0.78
Lonnie Walker IV	21	22	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.00	-2	14	-16	16.7	14.9	1.80	14.3	15.2	-0.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.29,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.28,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.64,0.64,0.74,0.71,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.94,0.99,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 86, SEA 102	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.86,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.95,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%
DET 87, DEN 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.82,0.79,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.87,0.9,0.98,1,1,1	94.4%
CLE 76, SAS 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.28,0.23,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.36,0.41,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.64,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.65,0.76,0.7,0.78,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%