inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 118 Excitement7.3 [388] MVPJeremy Sochan (SAS): +30.3%
San Antonio Spurs 132 Comeback1.7 [158] LVPJosh Giddey (OKC): -7.0%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jalen Williams0.200,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.13,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.20.130.080.011863%0.231-0.035100%0.04
Chet Holmgren0.170,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.170.150.030.011277%0.191-0.026100%0.03
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander0.160,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.160.140.030.012261%0.191-0.03786%0.01
Isaiah Joe0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.13-0.00-0.02888%0.201-0.061100%0.00
Lindy Waters III0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Bismack Biyombo0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Aaron Wiggins-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.010.00367%0.052-0.0600%0.00
Cason Wallace-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.020.00343%-0.0100.001100%0.00
Jaylin Williams-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.00-0.01-0.00646%0.021-0.041100%0.01
Kenrich Williams-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.0010%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Luguentz Dort-0.050,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.050.00-0.040.01847%-0.0500.001100%0.00
Gordon Hayward-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.0030%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Josh Giddey-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.02-0.01520%-0.061-0.0100%0.00

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jeremy Sochan0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.30.300.120.190.021470%0.331-0.022100%0.02
Tre Jones0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.260.260.150.11-0.00985%0.2600.002100%0.01
Devin Vassell0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.20.200.170.090.062068%0.221-0.021100%0.00
Zach Collins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.090.010.00776%0.121-0.02367%0.00
Victor Wembanyama0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.14-0.000.041768%0.142-0.04771%-0.02
Julian Champagnie0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.05-0.010.01367%0.0300.003100%0.01
Keldon Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.05-0.021045%-0.021-0.022100%0.01
Cedi Osman0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.02-0.00437%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
Blake Wesley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.000.0000%0.002-0.0500%0.00
Malaki Branham0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.01743%0.022-0.0800%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.41.726.214.428.42.527.6130.3
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.4135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +54.1%
OKC -14.7%
SAS +1.1%
SAS +3.6%
SAS +6.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCSASNBAOKCSASNBA
this game13.615.514.5119.2133.3113.9
season13.913.9117.1108.6
opponent14.314.7115.2109.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC12.514.413.913.613.6
SAS14.215.615.517.115.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Cason Wallace33350.09-0.590.690.013-172012.514.1-1.6214.116.3-2.27
Kenrich Williams22220.04-0.540.58-0.084-182213.513.6-0.0314.315.9-1.55
Lindy Waters III23-0.01-0.490.47-0.010-141413.013.6-0.5813.015.6-2.60
Jaylin Williams2321-0.05-0.450.39-0.03-1-131216.212.83.4014.915.7-0.85
Aaron Wiggins2526-0.09-0.410.330.03-4-10613.613.50.1015.715.50.28
Isaiah Joe4546-0.10-0.400.31-0.07-1-131213.913.30.6315.016.0-1.06
Bismack Biyombo32-0.12-0.380.26-0.03-3-11812.713.6-0.9318.515.53.04
Gordon Hayward2626-0.23-0.270.04-0.02-7-7014.013.40.5416.115.30.75
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander7171-0.29-0.21-0.09-0.09-7-7013.613.50.0415.415.9-0.56
Chet Holmgren6972-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.02-10-4-612.915.1-2.1515.615.20.42
Jalen Williams7070-0.42-0.08-0.340.08-173-2013.015.0-1.9815.715.20.50
Josh Giddey3836-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.13-10-4-613.913.40.5316.515.01.49
Luguentz Dort6865-0.590.09-0.69-0.10-173-2013.912.81.1516.413.82.64

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tre Jones67700.60-0.100.70-0.0121-72815.914.71.1913.513.8-0.27
Victor Wembanyama67680.59-0.090.670.0917-32015.914.81.1013.114.6-1.48
Devin Vassell76780.410.090.320.12104615.714.90.8513.812.71.08
Julian Champagnie38380.410.100.310.08113815.715.40.2214.213.21.00
Jeremy Sochan64660.360.140.230.07104615.914.81.1713.413.9-0.56
Keldon Johnson66630.260.240.020.0286215.316.0-0.7113.214.2-0.94
Cedi Osman32320.110.39-0.290.08113-1214.715.9-1.2813.313.7-0.37
Blake Wesley11100.010.49-0.48-0.02113-1214.115.7-1.6113.713.60.15
Zach Collins3231-0.090.59-0.670.00-317-2014.815.9-1.1014.613.11.48
Malaki Branham4239-0.150.65-0.810.02-620-2615.215.8-0.5413.713.50.21


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.57,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.75,0.58,0.52,0.38,0.38,0.53,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.97,0.99,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHA 104, LAC 1130.5,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.73,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.58,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.74,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.38,0.29,0.27,0.47,0.65,0.87,0.96,0.93,0.98,1,192.1%
GSW 96, VAN 1070.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.57,0.76,0.83,0.89,0.78,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.96,191.9%
POR 92, CHA 1010.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.62,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.72,0.69,0.65,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.64,0.58,0.48,0.43,0.57,0.73,0.64,0.81,0.91,0.93,0.99,0.98,1,191.7%