NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	104		Excitement	7.3 [392]		MVP	James Harden (LAC): +23.9%
LA Clippers	113		Comeback	4.5 [568]		LVP	Terry Rozier (CHA): -23.1%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
P.J. Washington	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	-0.01	-0.01	10	75%	0.19	2	-0.10	4	100%	0.03
Bryce McGowens	0.07	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	6	67%	0.07	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Miles Bridges	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.02	0.04	-0.04	23	46%	0.12	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Nick Smith Jr.	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.05	0.00	5	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Richards	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.00	0.03	6	81%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.02
Nathan Mensah	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	8	44%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Cody Martin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.04	-0.00	8	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Rozier	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.23,-0.23	-0.16	-0.07	0.00	23	37%	-0.11	4	-0.12	3	33%	-0.04

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.11,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.15	0.11	0.03	16	72%	0.34	4	-0.10	8	87%	0.03
Ivica Zubac	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.04	0.09	0.00	11	60%	0.19	2	-0.06	8	50%	-0.05
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	-0.00	8	74%	0.15	2	-0.06	3	67%	0.00
Norman Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.07	-0.02	7	44%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Daniel Theis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.02	0.00	7	71%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Amir Coffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Paul George	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.02	0.02	25	50%	0.08	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Terance Mann	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	40%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kobe Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.6	25.4	14.5	26.5	2.3	30.6	126.5
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +36.4%

LAC +16.5%

CHA -0.6%

CHA -0.5%

CHA -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	LAC	NBA	CHA	LAC	NBA
this game	14.6	14.3	14.5	105.1	113.0	113.9
season	14.8	14.9		108.3	116.6
opponent	14.4	14.5		114.2	118.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	14.0	16.2	14.3	14.0	14.6
LAC	12.7	14.4	14.0	16.5	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Miles Bridges	78	81	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.10	4	-13	17	13.7	18.0	-4.37	14.8	12.5	2.24
Nathan Mensah	8	7	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.00	-3	-6	3	18.7	14.2	4.51	11.9	14.5	-2.67
Terry Rozier	81	84	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.10	0	-9	9	13.9	17.7	-3.81	14.5	13.2	1.30
Ish Smith	36	34	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.16	0	-9	9	14.3	14.8	-0.52	12.5	15.3	-2.83
Gordon Hayward	48	49	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.06	-4	-5	1	15.1	14.1	1.05	14.6	14.1	0.49
Bryce McGowens	43	44	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.09	-10	1	-11	16.3	13.3	3.00	14.8	14.0	0.81
Cody Martin	53	53	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.33	3	-12	15	13.2	16.2	-2.93	14.0	14.8	-0.80
Nick Smith Jr.	24	23	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.03	-10	1	-11	17.5	13.7	3.82	14.9	14.2	0.69
P.J. Washington	57	57	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.17	-4	-5	1	14.0	15.4	-1.43	14.0	14.8	-0.75
Nick Richards	67	68	-0.98	0.48	-1.46	-0.36	-21	12	-33	15.3	13.2	2.10	14.7	13.6	1.05

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Harden	83	84	0.89	-0.39	1.28	0.30	20	-11	31	14.3	14.4	-0.09	14.7	14.3	0.40
Ivica Zubac	64	63	0.80	-0.30	1.09	0.42	13	-4	17	14.7	13.6	1.10	15.0	14.0	0.95
Paul George	76	73	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.31	9	0	9	15.0	12.3	2.64	14.9	13.9	0.98
Norman Powell	59	58	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.22	5	4	1	14.3	14.4	-0.04	14.2	15.1	-0.92
Russell Westbrook	59	58	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.20	4	5	-1	13.8	15.1	-1.28	14.2	15.2	-0.96
Terance Mann	43	43	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.07	2	7	-5	14.6	14.2	0.38	14.6	14.6	0.04
Amir Coffey	48	47	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.07	-1	10	-11	13.8	14.9	-1.09	14.5	14.7	-0.18
Daniel Theis	32	33	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	-0.24	-2	11	-13	13.7	14.6	-0.91	14.4	14.7	-0.32
Kobe Brown	36	36	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	-0.16	-5	14	-19	14.3	14.4	-0.10	14.9	14.4	0.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.73,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.58,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.74,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.38,0.29,0.27,0.47,0.65,0.87,0.96,0.93,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 95, DET 104	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.57,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.74,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.59,0.55,0.78,0.9,0.97,0.99,1,1	92.6%
POR 83, SAC 95	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.48,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.59,0.73,0.75,0.64,0.78,0.98,1	91.7%
NYK 120, MIA 127	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.72,0.64,0.54,0.65,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.73,0.74,0.66,0.57,0.48,0.42,0.53,0.71,0.82,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1	91.7%