NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	110		Excitement	5.8 [636]		MVP	Jonathan Kuminga (GSW): +18.4%
New York Knicks	99		Comeback	1.0 [1018]		LVP	Bojan Bogdanovic (NYK): -12.6%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonathan Kuminga	0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.13	0.04	-0.02	19	62%	0.22	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Stephen Curry	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.01	26	58%	0.15	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Klay Thompson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.00	0.03	-0.04	16	50%	0.11	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Trayce Jackson-Davis	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.00	4	60%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Kevon Looney	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lester Quinones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton II	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	8	55%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Draymond Green	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	4	70%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Moses Moody	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	9	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Brandin Podziemski	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	6	15%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Dario Saric	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jericho Sims	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.03	0.01	3	91%	0.12	0	0.00	5	80%	0.02
Miles McBride	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.13	0.00	0.02	8	87%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.02	-0.04	17	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Jalen Brunson	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	25	53%	0.04	4	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	-0.00	6	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Hartenstein	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.02	5	50%	-0.03	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Donte DiVincenzo	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.12	-0.01	-0.05	21	35%	-0.01	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.02
Precious Achiuwa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	30%	-0.03	2	-0.06	4	25%	-0.04
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	7	22%	-0.10	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	3.4	31.6	16.5	26.5	2.7	31.5	137.6
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +57.6%

NYK -8.4%

NYK -2.7%

GSW +2.1%

GSW +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	NYK	NBA	GSW	NYK	NBA
this game	13.7	15.4	14.5	110.0	101.0	113.9
season	14.3	15.6		116.2	116.8
opponent	14.4	14.4		113.0	114.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	11.7	13.0	14.5	15.7	13.7
NYK	17.8	15.3	16.1	12.4	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Moses Moody	54	53	0.59	-0.09	0.68	-0.08	23	-12	35	13.5	14.0	-0.56	16.0	14.7	1.33
Jonathan Kuminga	64	62	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.03	19	-8	27	13.2	14.6	-1.39	16.0	14.4	1.62
Stephen Curry	64	64	0.58	-0.08	0.66	-0.01	20	-9	29	13.7	13.7	-0.00	15.9	14.4	1.54
Brandin Podziemski	68	65	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.06	17	-6	23	13.7	13.7	0.09	15.6	15.0	0.54
Draymond Green	56	54	0.55	-0.05	0.59	-0.01	19	-8	27	13.4	14.2	-0.82	16.2	14.3	1.90
Lester Quinones	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	11	-11	7.0	13.9	-6.93	8.0	15.6	-7.62
Kevon Looney	18	19	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.14	-5	16	-21	14.2	13.6	0.54	16.4	15.1	1.28
Chris Paul	52	52	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.19	-7	18	-25	14.2	13.2	0.94	14.9	15.9	-0.95
Trayce Jackson-Davis	26	25	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	14	-17	14.2	13.6	0.64	12.8	16.3	-3.53
Dario Saric	23	22	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	14	-17	15.1	13.3	1.83	13.4	16.0	-2.55
Klay Thompson	54	54	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.28	-13	24	-37	13.9	13.5	0.33	15.1	15.7	-0.53
Gary Payton II	18	17	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.19	-12	23	-35	13.7	13.7	0.00	14.6	15.6	-0.97

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alec Burks	21	24	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.13	6	-17	23	15.3	15.4	-0.07	14.6	13.4	1.19
Miles McBride	46	48	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.09	2	-13	15	13.8	16.8	-2.94	14.3	13.2	1.18
Jericho Sims	42	43	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.27	6	-17	23	15.3	15.5	-0.22	15.0	12.8	2.25
Bojan Bogdanovic	36	38	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.17	0	-11	11	14.9	15.7	-0.83	15.2	12.8	2.36
Precious Achiuwa	53	53	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.05	-12	1	-13	16.5	14.0	2.48	12.4	15.2	-2.86
Isaiah Hartenstein	44	45	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.13	-18	7	-25	14.9	15.8	-0.91	12.9	14.4	-1.43
Donte DiVincenzo	75	75	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.08	-14	3	-17	15.5	15.1	0.39	13.5	14.3	-0.75
Josh Hart	97	98	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.19	-11	0	-11	15.5	7.0	8.47	13.6	21.5	-7.94
Jalen Brunson	76	76	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.14	-14	3	-17	16.0	13.4	2.55	13.4	14.8	-1.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.25,0.17,0.15,0.2,0.23,0.27,0.25,0.16,0.23,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.06,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.2,0.15,0.13,0.06,0.09,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.24,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 94, DAL 86	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.29,0.34,0.3,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.24,0.18,0.17,0.22,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.22,0.17,0.18,0.2,0.15,0.14,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.07,0.06,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.09,0.04,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	94.7%
WAS 116, NYK 105	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.35,0.3,0.28,0.31,0.27,0.32,0.26,0.27,0.3,0.25,0.32,0.29,0.23,0.19,0.24,0.26,0.21,0.24,0.26,0.21,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.13,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.19,0.08,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%
SAC 104, GSW 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.24,0.34,0.32,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.29,0.2,0.11,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	94.0%