NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	116		Excitement	4.7 [939]		MVP	Jalen Brunson (NYK): +17.7%
New York Knicks	105		Comeback	1.0 [664]		LVP	Rui Hachimura (WAS): -11.7%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bradley Beal	0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.08	0.02	-0.03	11	72%	0.16	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Kristaps Porzingis	0.10	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.01	-0.06	17	55%	0.16	3	-0.06	6	100%	0.03
Deni Avdija	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.00	-0.00	11	61%	0.09	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Monte Morris	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.01	10	65%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Kispert	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	2	83%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Kuzma	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.03	24	53%	0.11	4	-0.06	3	33%	-0.03
Daniel Gafford	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	4	75%	0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delon Wright	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	8	55%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Rui Hachimura	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.13	-0.01	-0.02	7	0%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Brunson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.13	0.02	-0.03	24	57%	0.20	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.03
Immanuel Quickley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.01	0.02	13	60%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Jericho Sims	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Grimes	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.06	-0.01	0.06	10	64%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Isaiah Hartenstein	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Obi Toppin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mitchell Robinson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	0%	-0.04
Miles McBride	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
RJ Barrett	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	21	46%	0.01	4	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Julius Randle	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.01	0.03	17	36%	-0.07	2	-0.04	5	40%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.5	25.4	15.3	32.7	2.4	29.4	133.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +45.3%

NYK -1.0%

WAS +7.8%

NYK -5.0%

WAS +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	NYK	NBA	WAS	NYK	NBA
this game	15.7	14.7	14.4	122.1	111.7	113.4
season	14.8	15.1		113.4	115.6
opponent	14.4	14.2		112.9	114.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.4	15.2	14.7	17.9	15.7
NYK	15.9	14.8	13.6	14.8	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Kuzma	72	72	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.02	20	-9	29	15.4	16.9	-1.54	14.7	14.6	0.11
Monte Morris	63	62	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.00	17	-6	23	14.7	17.9	-3.26	14.8	14.6	0.24
Daniel Gafford	35	34	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.11	18	-7	25	14.5	16.5	-2.04	16.3	13.8	2.41
Kristaps Porzingis	65	64	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.17	8	3	5	15.8	15.7	0.12	14.7	14.7	0.08
Bradley Beal	58	56	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.03	11	0	11	15.1	16.8	-1.79	15.1	14.2	0.95
Delon Wright	41	42	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.09	2	9	-7	16.8	15.0	1.77	14.7	14.7	-0.02
Corey Kispert	30	29	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.15	-4	15	-19	16.6	15.3	1.29	15.7	14.3	1.35
Deni Avdija	55	56	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.35	-11	22	-33	17.1	13.8	3.32	13.8	16.1	-2.23
Rui Hachimura	39	37	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.20	-6	17	-23	16.8	15.0	1.82	13.4	15.6	-2.17
Taj Gibson	17	18	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	11	-11	15.3	15.8	-0.55	14.2	14.9	-0.69

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Miles McBride	19	21	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.06	1	-12	13	15.8	14.5	1.34	16.3	15.6	0.75
Jericho Sims	41	44	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.17	4	-15	19	14.2	15.1	-0.85	15.2	16.2	-0.97
Obi Toppin	26	27	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.07	0	-11	11	15.7	14.4	1.29	16.3	15.5	0.82
Immanuel Quickley	62	60	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.36	9	-20	29	14.2	15.7	-1.51	17.0	13.7	3.31
Isaiah Hartenstein	26	24	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.00	-7	-4	-3	15.2	14.6	0.60	15.6	15.8	-0.22
Mitchell Robinson	17	18	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.11	-12	1	-13	17.0	14.2	2.78	14.9	15.9	-1.06
Julius Randle	68	68	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.11	-11	0	-11	14.4	15.7	-1.29	15.5	16.3	-0.82
RJ Barrett	73	76	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.01	-15	4	-19	15.3	12.8	2.53	15.1	18.2	-3.01
Jalen Brunson	75	75	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.11	-12	1	-13	14.5	15.8	-1.34	15.7	15.7	-0.00
Quentin Grimes	63	62	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.12	-12	1	-13	14.1	16.0	-1.90	15.8	15.7	0.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.35,0.3,0.28,0.31,0.27,0.32,0.26,0.27,0.3,0.25,0.32,0.29,0.23,0.19,0.24,0.26,0.21,0.24,0.26,0.21,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.13,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.19,0.08,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 108, DET 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.22,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.17,0.16,0.2,0.23,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0	95.2%
SAC 104, GSW 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.24,0.34,0.32,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.29,0.2,0.11,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	94.9%
POR 102, WAS 86	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.3,0.28,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.29,0.23,0.15,0.18,0.21,0.24,0.25,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.13,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.15,0.22,0.15,0.18,0.08,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%