NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	123		Excitement	12.6 [10]		MVP	DeMar DeRozan (CHI): +21.0%
Chicago Bulls	132		Comeback	24.5 [40]		LVP	Coby White (CHI): -40.8%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Caris LeVert	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.01	0.16	-0.02	12	54%	0.26	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Isaac Okoro	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.11	0.02	-0.00	8	81%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Allen	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.01	0.11	-0.01	12	42%	0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	0.01
Dean Wade	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.04	0.00	2	83%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Evan Mobley	0.03	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.08	-0.07	-0.02	17	62%	0.06	2	-0.03	6	33%	-0.04
Darius Garland	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.16,0.16,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.06	-0.11	0.00	22	52%	0.04	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Georges Niang	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Max Strus	-0.07	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	13	42%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Donovan Mitchell	-0.32	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,0.1,0.01,-0.21,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.33,-0.32	-0.02	-0.26	0.04	13	58%	0.02	5	-0.34	7	71%	-0.04

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.02,-0.05,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,0.06,0.24,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.21	0.21	0.07	0.16	0.02	26	49%	0.21	0	0.00	19	89%	0.20
Ayo Dosunmu	0,0,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.03	0.14	0.02	14	62%	0.26	4	-0.11	6	83%	0.01
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.07	0.00	12	65%	0.18	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Julian Phillips	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	6	47%	0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Jevon Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dalen Terry	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Onuralp Bitim	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02	-0.02	0.06	-0.08	0.01	4	100%	0.03	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	23	48%	-0.01	4	-0.10	4	50%	-0.12
Coby White	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.02,-0.02,-0.14,-0.25,-0.25,-0.34,-0.41,-0.41,-0.41,-0.41,-0.41,-0.41,-0.41,-0.41,-0.41	-0.41	-0.12	-0.27	0.02	20	33%	-0.19	3	-0.22	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	23.8	1.7	27.3	14.6	28.3	2.4	24.5	2.4	14.6	2.4	20.4	162.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	2.4	15.1	2.4	15.1	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE -51.2%

CHI +39.2%

CHI +77.0%

CLE -17.0%

CHI +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	CHI	NBA	CLE	CHI	NBA
this game	15.1	14.7	14.5	104.2	113.8	113.9
season	14.8	14.5		113.0	113.4
opponent	15.0	14.7		115.1	111.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CLE	15.7	15.7	13.9	16.5	17.7	15.6
CHI	13.1	15.7	14.9	17.0	13.7	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dean Wade	27	26	0.47	-0.97	1.45	0.12	12	-21	33	16.1	14.7	1.37	15.3	14.5	0.85
Isaac Okoro	49	49	0.30	-0.80	1.10	0.39	-3	-6	3	15.4	14.8	0.65	14.5	14.8	-0.31
Jarrett Allen	72	70	0.08	-0.58	0.67	0.38	-10	1	-11	15.0	15.1	-0.09	13.7	16.1	-2.39
Georges Niang	20	22	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.07	-7	-2	-5	16.1	14.8	1.26	15.5	14.5	1.06
Darius Garland	87	87	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.42	1	-10	11	15.2	14.6	0.55	15.3	13.0	2.30
Evan Mobley	87	87	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.51	-3	-6	3	14.6	16.4	-1.81	15.0	13.7	1.33
Caris LeVert	78	76	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.33	-10	1	-11	15.3	14.5	0.76	14.6	14.9	-0.32
Donovan Mitchell	94	90	-0.74	0.24	-0.99	-0.45	-10	1	-11	14.7	16.4	-1.71	14.2	16.3	-2.14
Max Strus	78	75	-0.87	0.37	-1.24	-0.34	-18	9	-27	14.5	16.1	-1.66	14.5	15.0	-0.44

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Onuralp Bitim	52	56	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.29	16	-7	23	14.8	14.6	0.25	15.0	15.1	-0.13
Coby White	104	104	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.26	16	-7	23	14.5	16.6	-2.11	14.7	17.9	-3.18
Ayo Dosunmu	94	99	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.42	10	-1	11	14.6	15.2	-0.66	14.8	16.2	-1.38
Andre Drummond	78	74	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.53	1	8	-7	14.2	15.8	-1.64	14.4	16.1	-1.69
DeMar DeRozan	97	98	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.29	5	4	1	14.8	13.9	0.95	15.0	15.4	-0.48
Julian Phillips	27	29	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.24	10	-1	11	13.7	15.0	-1.29	15.7	14.8	0.85
Terry Taylor	8	8	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	11	-13	13.1	14.8	-1.68	17.5	14.9	2.63
Nikola Vucevic	76	80	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.18	2	7	-5	15.3	13.6	1.66	15.7	13.8	1.90
Jevon Carter	26	25	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	-0.15	-3	12	-15	16.7	14.1	2.53	15.6	14.9	0.75
Dalen Terry	18	17	-0.35	0.85	-1.21	-0.06	-10	19	-29	14.6	14.7	-0.09	16.1	14.9	1.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.32,0.33,0.26,0.27,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.4,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.56,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.48,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.26,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.17,0.39,0.45,0.24,0.26,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.16,0.54,0.81,0.85,0.97,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 131, CHI 139	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.31,0.23,0.27,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.25,0.37,0.34,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.48,0.37,0.33,0.25,0.13,0.16,0.12,0.17,0.27,0.36,0.22,0.27,0.44,0.54,0.33,0.15,0.46,0.55,0.28,0.43,0.42,0.54,0.61,0.72,0.68,0.98,1	86.0%
DEN 141, MIA 149	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.48,0.61,0.68,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.54,0.48,0.33,0.3,0.37,0.18,0.29,0.33,0.48,0.63,0.55,0.42,0.46,0.69,0.63,0.57,0.72,0.54,0.75,0.72,0.92,0.99,1	84.7%
ATL 98, BOS 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.34,0.32,0.33,0.37,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.37,0.39,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.32,0.31,0.17,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.19,0.21,0.32,0.16,0.54,0.69,0.55,0.67,0.59,0.46,0.69,0.72,0.94,0.91,1	84.4%