inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 141 Excitement14.1 [3] MVPJames Johnson (MIA): +62.6%
Miami Heat 149 Comeback4.9 [303] LVPJosh Richardson (MIA): -20.8%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nikola Jokic0.310,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.13,0.13,0.03,0.18,0.26,0.21,0.3,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.310.130.190.012171%0.555-0.246100%0.13
Jamal Murray0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.05,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.070.110.011653%0.211-0.031182%0.08
Torrey Craig0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.030.06-0.00475%0.111-0.0300%0.00
Wilson Chandler0.030,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.16-0.120.021772%0.051-0.02250%-0.01
Devin Harris0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.030.02854%0.133-0.118100%0.07
Mason Plumlee0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.00-0.00243%0.0100.00333%-0.04
Malik Beasley0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Paul Millsap-0.000,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.001154%0.052-0.06475%-0.03
Will Barton-0.080,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.080.06-0.100.032149%-0.0800.003100%0.01

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
James Johnson0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.13,0.49,0.37,0.37,0.44,0.59,0.62,0.630.630.260.400.031784%0.651-0.03333%-0.07
Kelly Olynyk0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.3,0.3,0.22,0.22,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.470.470.220.260.011681%0.582-0.11580%0.02
Wayne Ellington0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.28,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.33,0.330.330.170.17-0.001477%0.361-0.03250%0.00
Justise Winslow0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.050.030.01869%0.101-0.0200%0.00
Goran Dragic0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.010.080.051553%0.113-0.09887%0.07
Rodney McGruder0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Tyler Johnson0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.01-0.030.02944%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Bam Adebayo0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.12-0.02-0.01929%-0.072-0.05617%-0.13
Josh Richardson0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.1,0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21-0.210.07-0.270.011359%-0.021-0.193100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1 OT2Total
this game25.32.428.114.626.42.537.32.415.2301.543.0498.8
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.63.217.53.217.5134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +103.4%
DEN -37.5%
DEN -12.5%
DEN -0.7%
DEN -2.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENMIANBADENMIANBA
this game14.815.214.7123.7126.3107.5
season14.715.1111.2105.4
opponent14.614.7105.8109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
DEN13.214.915.814.520.415.0
MIA13.416.414.815.517.115.1

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.48,0.61,0.68,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.54,0.48,0.33,0.3,0.37,0.18,0.29,0.33,0.48,0.63,0.55,0.42,0.46,0.69,0.63,0.57,0.72,0.54,0.75,0.72,0.92,0.99,1
GameSimilarity Score
DET 101, HOU 1060.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.59,0.56,0.44,0.46,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.53,0.64,0.54,0.33,0.36,0.45,0.69,0.63,0.46,0.61,0.54,0.78,0.84,0.54,0.68,0.89,0.99,0.99,186.9%
MIL 99, CLE 1040.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.62,0.63,0.78,0.73,0.64,0.61,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.33,0.27,0.36,0.4,0.33,0.61,0.63,0.55,0.42,0.54,0.53,0.64,0.77,0.41,0.54,0.47,0.63,0.55,0.9,186.5%
MIL 110, MIA 1120.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.53,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.61,0.73,0.61,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.64,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.49,0.22,0.25,0.54,0.67,0.58,0.46,0.69,0.64,0.33,0.42,0.54,0.64,0.79,0.98,0.96,186.0%