NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	131		Excitement	12.9 [12]		MVP	Zach LaVine (CHI): +85.5%
Chicago Bulls	139		Comeback	10.8 [177]		LVP	Kyle Anderson (MIN): -41.0%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaden McDaniels	0.57	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57	0.14	0.41	-0.02	15	66%	0.62	1	-0.05	8	87%	0.05
Mike Conley	0.50	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.5,0.5,0.5	0.26	0.24	0.00	14	93%	0.53	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.03
Jordan McLaughlin	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	4	100%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.05	0.00	10	50%	0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.05
Anthony Edwards	0.06	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	-0.00	0.03	4	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	-0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.22,0.13,0.13,0.13,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	14	57%	0.19	5	-0.22	9	56%	-0.15
Naz Reid	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16	-0.04	-0.12	-0.00	15	44%	0.01	2	-0.16	2	100%	0.02
Taurean Prince	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.10	-0.11	0.00	8	25%	-0.06	2	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	-0.41	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.06,-0.06,-0.19,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.41,-0.41,-0.41	-0.14	-0.27	-0.00	14	32%	-0.16	3	-0.25	6	50%	-0.02

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach LaVine	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.24,0.32,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.85	0.85	0.24	0.59	-0.03	25	71%	0.90	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.04
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.73,0.73	0.73	0.32	0.46	0.05	25	72%	0.76	1	-0.03	18	94%	0.14
Coby White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.04	0.00	6	67%	0.11	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Alex Caruso	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	5	70%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	75%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Derrick Jones Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Ayo Dosunmu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.3,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.23,-0.17,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.07	0.01	20	51%	0.11	4	-0.21	1	100%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29	-0.29	-0.02	-0.26	0.01	3	67%	-0.04	2	-0.25	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	25.2	1.8	23.5	14.7	27.6	2.7	33.0	2.8	13.9	2.8	15.4	163.3
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	2.3	15.0	2.3	15.0	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +27.8%

CHI +23.7%

MIN -23.2%

CHI +18.1%

CHI +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	CHI	NBA	MIN	CHI	NBA
this game	16.1	14.1	14.4	113.9	119.8	113.4
season	14.1	14.1		112.4	112.0
opponent	14.9	14.3		110.9	112.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MIN	17.5	12.6	17.5	18.0	16.4	16.2
CHI	16.0	13.6	13.8	14.1	13.6	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan McLaughlin	45	44	0.20	-0.70	0.90	0.17	1	-9	10	15.9	16.2	-0.25	13.5	14.4	-0.93
Anthony Edwards	15	14	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.05	5	-13	18	16.7	16.0	0.74	18.4	13.5	4.90
Austin Rivers	15	16	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.04	3	-11	14	15.2	16.2	-1.02	13.0	14.2	-1.22
Rudy Gobert	65	65	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.13	4	-12	16	16.1	16.1	-0.06	15.4	12.3	3.14
Taurean Prince	47	49	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.13	-10	2	-12	17.3	15.2	2.12	13.5	14.4	-0.90
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	54	56	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.20	-1	-7	6	15.9	16.2	-0.30	13.1	14.9	-1.76
Naz Reid	50	51	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.14	-12	4	-16	16.1	16.1	0.06	12.3	15.4	-3.14
Kyle Anderson	101	102	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.41	-3	-5	2	16.1	16.2	-0.14	14.1	13.5	0.63
Jaden McDaniels	91	90	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.28	-15	7	-22	16.1	16.1	-0.05	14.2	13.4	0.81
Mike Conley	92	93	-0.74	0.24	-0.97	-0.38	-12	4	-16	15.7	17.7	-2.01	14.4	12.6	1.85

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nikola Vucevic	90	92	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.27	17	-9	26	14.2	13.4	0.81	16.1	16.0	0.11
Zach LaVine	92	93	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.26	17	-9	26	14.2	13.5	0.64	16.2	15.8	0.39
Patrick Beverley	60	62	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.35	13	-5	18	14.4	13.7	0.69	16.5	15.6	0.83
DeMar DeRozan	106	103	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.35	11	-3	14	14.0	15.1	-1.15	15.9	17.4	-1.48
Alex Caruso	61	59	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.44	-2	10	-12	15.5	12.5	3.04	17.2	15.0	2.19
Patrick Williams	55	54	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.20	9	-1	10	12.6	15.4	-2.80	14.9	17.1	-2.22
Derrick Jones Jr.	5	4	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.01	0	8	-8	16.4	13.9	2.45	20.5	15.9	4.57
Coby White	55	54	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.10	0	8	-8	13.4	14.7	-1.27	15.8	16.3	-0.48
Andre Drummond	21	19	-0.26	0.76	-1.01	0.01	-9	17	-26	12.7	14.3	-1.63	15.1	16.3	-1.24
Ayo Dosunmu	35	35	-0.51	1.01	-1.51	-0.04	-16	24	-40	14.3	14.0	0.34	16.1	16.1	-0.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.31,0.23,0.27,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.25,0.37,0.34,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.48,0.37,0.33,0.25,0.13,0.16,0.12,0.17,0.27,0.36,0.22,0.27,0.44,0.54,0.33,0.15,0.46,0.55,0.28,0.43,0.42,0.54,0.61,0.72,0.68,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 115, SAS 117	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.32,0.32,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.21,0.19,0.13,0.19,0.2,0.25,0.27,0.31,0.37,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.3,0.26,0.2,0.28,0.26,0.24,0.17,0.32,0.45,0.57,0.16,0.46,0.45,0.28,0.1,0.08,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.57,0.71,1	86.8%
LAL 107, MIN 117	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.29,0.24,0.25,0.34,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.39,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.37,0.3,0.21,0.22,0.3,0.29,0.42,0.53,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.38,0.1,0.17,0.05,0.54,0.45,0.21,0.24,0.58,0.54,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.96,1	86.3%
BOS 95, SAC 92	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.33,0.32,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.37,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.29,0.17,0.28,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.39,0.46,0.68,0.28,0	86.0%