inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 136 Excitement5.8 [638] MVPKyrie Irving (DAL): +13.7%
Toronto Raptors 125 Comeback1.8 [729] LVPScottie Barnes (TOR): -7.1%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kyrie Irving0.140,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.160.010.032064%0.151-0.015100%0.03
Tim Hardaway Jr.0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.080.02-0.011357%0.1100.002100%0.01
P.J. Washington0.100,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.130.010.041672%0.142-0.0400%0.00
Dereck Lively II0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.080.020.01490%0.0900.00250%-0.01
Dante Exum0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.030.02-0.00267%0.0500.00250%-0.01
Daniel Gafford0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.04-0.00-0.02787%0.154-0.091100%0.01
Josh Green0.040,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.010.01-0.05462%0.062-0.0200%0.00
Luka Doncic0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.030.010.022355%0.115-0.08978%0.00
Derrick Jones Jr.0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.00550%0.0100.0000%0.00
Olivier-Maxence Prosper0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
A.J. Lawson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
RJ Barrett0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.130.000.041663%0.131-0.03944%-0.01
Jakob Poeltl0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.080.000.011259%0.0700.00367%0.00
Immanuel Quickley0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.17-0.020.091870%0.101-0.03475%-0.01
Kelly Olynyk0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.000.02-0.021059%0.083-0.052100%0.01
Gary Trent Jr.0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.04-0.010.02855%0.0200.00475%0.01
Gradey Dick0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.03-0.00658%0.031-0.0400%0.00
Bruce Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.00-0.00533%-0.0300.005100%0.02
Ochai Agbaji0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.010.0010%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Scottie Barnes0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.11-0.01-0.042240%-0.014-0.06333%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.61.829.615.326.01.826.3128.5
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.4135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +45.2%
DAL +5.8%
DAL +3.0%
TOR -3.4%
TOR -0.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALTORNBADALTORNBA
this game14.212.614.5127.1115.7113.9
season14.314.0115.7111.3
opponent14.714.6117.6113.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DAL13.414.112.616.714.2
TOR13.711.714.610.312.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tim Hardaway Jr.57570.490.010.480.0814-31713.215.4-2.2612.912.10.81
Daniel Gafford56550.460.040.420.141101114.114.4-0.3012.013.2-1.15
Derrick Jones Jr.35360.450.050.39-0.0216-52113.614.6-0.9812.512.6-0.14
Luka Doncic79810.420.080.350.101101114.314.00.2712.512.7-0.19
Dante Exum38390.210.29-0.080.0465112.715.1-2.3213.312.11.20
Josh Green68680.200.30-0.100.17110-915.212.62.5512.113.3-1.21
Kyrie Irving77800.130.37-0.250.13011-1114.912.42.5012.313.2-0.92
P.J. Washington70690.100.40-0.300.16-213-1514.413.80.6112.712.30.48
Dereck Lively II51530.040.46-0.420.04011-1114.414.10.3013.212.01.15
Olivier-Maxence Prosper210.000.50-0.500.03-112-1315.014.20.789.012.6-3.60
A.J. Lawson210.000.50-0.500.03-112-1315.014.20.789.012.6-3.60

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Gary Trent Jr.73730.03-0.530.56-0.218-192712.113.5-1.4015.012.52.50
Jakob Poeltl6566-0.16-0.340.18-0.13-1-10912.612.40.2014.214.3-0.10
Scottie Barnes8785-0.25-0.25-0.00-0.16-3-8512.313.5-1.1914.911.63.33
Ochai Agbaji2019-0.28-0.22-0.060.04-110-1112.612.60.0413.414.4-0.99
RJ Barrett7676-0.30-0.20-0.11-0.13-6-5-112.911.90.9814.413.80.60
Kelly Olynyk4139-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.03-10-1-912.712.50.1913.914.4-0.45
Immanuel Quickley8484-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.15-6-5-112.811.80.9414.413.70.74
Bruce Brown4849-0.43-0.07-0.35-0.07-121-1312.412.7-0.2313.414.9-1.49
Gradey Dick4644-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.04-143-1712.812.40.3412.515.4-2.87


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.58,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.33,0.38,0.41,0.35,0.24,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
SEA 102, NYK 920.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.35,0.24,0.18,0.19,0.13,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.7%
MEM 94, UTA 820.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.18,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,094.3%
NJN 96, TOR 870.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.52,0.42,0.32,0.32,0.22,0.15,0.17,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,094.2%