NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	94		Excitement	4.9 [888]		MVP	Mike Miller (MEM): +14.8%
Utah Jazz	82		Comeback	1.3 [474]		LVP	Mehmet Okur (UTA): -15.7%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Miller	0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.13	0.06	0.04	13	83%	0.21	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.00	3	70%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Jason Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	5	70%	0.08	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	-0.00	-0.02	6	71%	0.07	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	10	64%	0.11	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Humphrey	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Emmett	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.01	8	56%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Earl Watson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.01	-0.02	9	41%	-0.01	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01
Shane Battier	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	7	52%	-0.04	4	-0.05	7	100%	0.03

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Handlogten	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.01	7	68%	0.05	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Keith McLeod	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	10	40%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	15	61%	0.08	4	-0.09	11	91%	0.02
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	4	60%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Randy Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Curtis Borchardt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	14	42%	0.01	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Kirk Snyder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	3	12%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.10	-0.05	0.01	14	41%	-0.11	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	1.5	32.4	14.8	24.2	2.4	27.2	126.6
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +54.6%

MEM +3.3%

UTA -5.6%

UTA -3.3%

MEM +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	UTA	NBA	MEM	UTA	NBA
this game	15.4	16.7	15.5	104.4	92.1	104.0
season	16.4	16.7		103.7	102.3
opponent	15.1	15.5		106.7	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	13.9	15.1	13.4	19.8	15.4
UTA	14.9	13.7	23.7	16.2	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shane Battier	75	75	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.11	16	-4	20	15.2	16.9	-1.71	17.3	13.5	3.85
Jake Tsakalidis	41	39	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.08	17	-5	22	15.0	15.8	-0.77	17.7	16.0	1.74
Brian Cardinal	63	64	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.14	13	-1	14	14.7	17.2	-2.54	17.6	14.6	2.92
Jason Williams	57	57	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.05	13	-1	14	14.8	16.6	-1.88	18.1	14.3	3.84
Mike Miller	67	66	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.06	9	3	6	15.1	16.5	-1.45	16.6	17.1	-0.52
James Posey	44	41	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.12	2	10	-8	16.9	14.0	2.87	16.2	17.2	-0.97
Earl Watson	33	32	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.10	-1	13	-14	16.6	14.8	1.88	14.3	18.1	-3.84
Andre Emmett	7	7	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	13	-14	19.0	15.1	3.86	12.7	17.1	-4.37
Lorenzen Wright	49	50	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.07	-5	17	-22	15.8	15.0	0.77	16.0	17.7	-1.74
Ryan Humphrey	14	14	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.00	-3	15	-18	15.8	15.4	0.40	13.9	17.3	-3.34

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kris Humphries	24	24	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.14	6	-18	24	16.6	16.8	-0.22	15.0	15.6	-0.55
Kirk Snyder	17	17	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-9	6	15.6	17.0	-1.43	18.4	14.8	3.59
Curtis Borchardt	21	19	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-10	8	15.1	17.2	-2.09	13.0	16.1	-3.10
Ben Handlogten	18	18	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.07	-1	-11	10	17.7	16.5	1.23	14.8	15.6	-0.76
Howard Eisley	26	27	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.07	-3	-9	6	14.7	17.6	-2.89	17.7	14.5	3.23
Randy Livingston	11	11	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.06	-8	-4	-4	15.5	16.9	-1.36	17.2	15.2	1.98
Raja Bell	67	68	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.18	-5	-7	2	17.3	15.2	2.07	14.7	17.6	-2.84
Keith McLeod	63	63	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.08	-9	-3	-6	17.6	14.7	2.89	14.5	17.7	-3.23
Mehmet Okur	58	60	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.03	-12	0	-12	17.2	16.0	1.19	16.0	14.4	1.57
Matt Harpring	67	68	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.04	-13	1	-14	16.5	17.6	-1.13	15.2	16.0	-0.80
Andrei Kirilenko	73	75	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.20	-10	-2	-8	16.9	15.9	0.98	15.8	13.6	2.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.18,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 134, NOP 120	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.49,0.52,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.2,0.31,0.24,0.16,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.3%
BKN 98, ORL 86	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.45,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%
SEA 102, NYK 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.35,0.24,0.18,0.19,0.13,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%