NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	114		Excitement	6.8 [475]		MVP	Jordan Poole (WAS): +32.3%
Washington Wizards	105		Comeback	4.1 [646]		LVP	Marvin Bagley III (WAS): -10.7%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Caris LeVert	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.12	0.10	0.02	10	69%	0.19	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Evan Mobley	0.17	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.13	0.07	0.03	11	75%	0.19	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.03
Darius Garland	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.00	0.08	-0.01	15	53%	0.13	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Jarrett Allen	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.01	-0.01	18	58%	0.07	1	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Georges Niang	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	6	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donovan Mitchell	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	10	64%	0.13	3	-0.08	5	100%	0.03
Isaac Okoro	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Sam Merrill	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dean Wade	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Max Strus	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	3	30%	-0.04	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Poole	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.22,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.01	21	69%	0.36	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Landry Shamet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.03	0.00	15	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richaun Holmes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.01	6	73%	0.07	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Patrick Baldwin Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bilal Coulibaly	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	1	75%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Johnny Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	4	37%	0.01	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Kuzma	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	-0.09	0.02	-0.09	0.01	24	49%	-0.02	2	-0.06	7	71%	0.01
Marvin Bagley III	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	10	39%	-0.09	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	0.1	25.6	15.3	27.5	2.5	35.2	133.5
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +32.4%

CLE +3.0%

CLE +7.3%

CLE +4.8%

CLE +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	WAS	NBA	CLE	WAS	NBA
this game	14.9	13.9	14.5	115.2	104.0	113.9
season	14.8	13.7		113.0	109.8
opponent	14.1	14.7		118.7	111.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.9	13.9	14.0	15.9	14.9
WAS	13.0	14.3	14.8	13.4	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darius Garland	69	71	1.04	-0.54	1.58	0.37	23	-14	37	14.1	16.8	-2.72	14.1	13.4	0.72
Jarrett Allen	74	78	0.80	-0.30	1.11	0.36	15	-6	21	14.8	15.5	-0.72	14.1	13.1	0.96
Max Strus	50	54	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.38	3	6	-3	15.4	14.4	1.01	14.9	12.7	2.11
Donovan Mitchell	72	74	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.29	6	3	3	15.8	12.6	3.18	14.1	13.3	0.84
Caris LeVert	60	59	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.21	-1	10	-11	15.2	14.6	0.62	13.5	14.5	-0.99
Sam Merrill	13	13	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.02	6	3	3	13.8	15.1	-1.35	15.6	13.6	2.00
Evan Mobley	63	64	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	10	-11	14.8	15.2	-0.40	12.7	15.9	-3.27
Georges Niang	37	36	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.19	3	6	-3	14.8	15.0	-0.21	14.3	13.6	0.63
Dean Wade	16	16	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	0.11	-10	19	-29	15.9	14.8	1.12	12.1	14.2	-2.08
Isaac Okoro	41	40	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	-0.33	1	8	-7	14.5	15.2	-0.73	13.6	14.0	-0.41

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Baldwin Jr.	20	20	0.31	-0.81	1.11	0.04	9	-18	27	13.5	14.0	-0.40	15.7	14.7	0.95
Jared Butler	25	26	0.22	-0.72	0.94	0.13	3	-12	15	14.1	13.8	0.33	15.4	14.8	0.66
Bilal Coulibaly	13	12	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.05	4	-13	17	13.6	13.9	-0.29	15.2	14.9	0.35
Marvin Bagley III	71	69	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.28	1	-10	11	13.7	14.4	-0.70	15.4	14.0	1.40
Jordan Poole	77	76	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.21	-3	-6	3	13.8	14.0	-0.22	15.4	13.3	2.07
Richaun Holmes	29	29	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.05	-13	4	-17	14.4	13.7	0.71	14.3	15.2	-0.84
Johnny Davis	34	34	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.10	-16	7	-23	14.3	13.7	0.59	13.8	15.5	-1.70
Landry Shamet	80	76	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.29	-4	-5	1	13.7	14.6	-0.94	15.1	14.3	0.77
Tyus Jones	74	73	-0.71	0.21	-0.93	-0.39	-11	2	-13	13.9	13.7	0.18	14.5	16.0	-1.49
Kyle Kuzma	82	80	-0.73	0.23	-0.95	-0.29	-15	6	-21	14.0	13.5	0.42	14.6	16.4	-1.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.59,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.72,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.4,0.31,0.36,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.3,0.57,0.76,0.68,0.53,0.6,0.28,0.14,0.02,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 113, DET 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.33,0.27,0.18,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.37,0.28,0.34,0.48,0.57,0.72,0.68,0.74,0.47,0.33,0.14,0.04,0,0,0	90.3%
BOS 111, GSW 107	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.57,0.49,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.41,0.17,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.08,0	90.3%
MIN 97, SAS 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.65,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.32,0.42,0.48,0.67,0.62,0.53,0.36,0.47,0.29,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.17,0	89.9%