NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	97		Excitement	8.6 [156]		MVP	Chris Carr (MIN): +42.7%
San Antonio Spurs	95		Comeback	2.1 [328]		LVP	James Robinson (MIN): -20.9%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Carr	0.43	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.43	-0.01	0.41	-0.02	11	50%	0.45	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	0.41	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.41	0.18	0.24	0.00	16	81%	0.48	2	-0.07	5	100%	0.07
Sam Mitchell	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.07	0.00	7	74%	0.14	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.02
Cherokee Parks	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dean Garrett	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	12	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Heal	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.15,-0.09,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,-0.09,0.07,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	19	48%	-0.03	3	-0.05	8	100%	0.07
Terry Porter	-0.19	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.08	-0.11	-0.00	4	0%	-0.17	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Doug West	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.13	-0.07	-0.01	8	32%	-0.16	2	-0.03	6	50%	-0.06
James Robinson	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.12	-0.09	-0.00	6	17%	-0.09	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sean Elliott	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,0,0,0.35	0.35	-0.06	0.38	-0.03	14	50%	0.43	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.00
Vernon Maxwell	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.15	-0.04	0.04	17	67%	0.06	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Vinny Del Negro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	8	60%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Dominique Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	16	63%	0.12	3	-0.08	11	100%	0.10
Greg Anderson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	3	100%	0.09	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Cory Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamie Feick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Monty Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.03	-0.03	5	0%	-0.11	1	0.01	0	0%	0.00
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.19	-0.19	-0.03	-0.17	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.19	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.5	27.8	15.8	26.5	2.0	34.9	133.8
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS -1.0%

SAS -0.5%

MIN +27.4%

MIN +25.0%

SAS -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	SAS	NBA	MIN	SAS	NBA
this game	14.4	17.4	15.6	106.6	105.6	104.4
season	15.5	16.8		103.3	100.8
opponent	15.4	15.5		109.4	105.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	13.4	14.5	14.1	15.7	14.4
SAS	17.3	16.8	19.2	16.3	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doug West	54	52	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.41	5	-3	8	13.9	15.1	-1.19	17.9	16.8	1.12
Tom Gugliotta	70	68	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.51	-2	4	-6	14.3	14.7	-0.37	17.2	18.1	-0.96
Sam Mitchell	43	44	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.21	8	-6	14	15.6	13.4	2.23	17.7	17.1	0.57
James Robinson	44	45	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.27	6	-4	10	14.2	14.7	-0.48	17.4	17.4	0.02
Dean Garrett	76	74	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.34	1	1	0	14.0	16.6	-2.60	17.4	17.2	0.20
Kevin Garnett	79	79	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.26	-1	3	-4	14.3	15.6	-1.33	17.2	18.9	-1.71
Terry Porter	39	37	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.21	-5	7	-12	14.9	14.0	0.91	17.4	17.4	-0.01
Cherokee Parks	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.00	0	2	-2	14.8	14.4	0.39	20.8	17.2	3.59
Shane Heal	8	8	-0.01	0.52	-0.53	-0.04	1	1	0	13.2	14.5	-1.29	17.4	17.4	-0.04
Chris Carr	37	38	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.03	-3	5	-8	15.1	13.9	1.19	16.8	17.9	-1.12

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vinny Del Negro	43	46	0.15	-0.65	0.81	-0.02	6	-8	14	16.3	18.4	-2.08	15.5	13.4	2.08
Jamie Feick	13	14	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-2	2	17.0	17.5	-0.48	16.9	14.0	2.87
Cory Alexander	14	14	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.00	-3	1	-4	19.7	17.0	2.73	15.8	14.2	1.60
Greg Anderson	76	76	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.09	0	-2	2	17.7	15.8	1.92	14.2	15.7	-1.56
Sean Elliott	54	56	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.34	-2	0	-2	18.5	15.8	2.72	15.0	13.6	1.39
Dominique Wilkins	72	72	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.43	0	-2	2	16.4	21.3	-4.83	14.6	13.9	0.61
Avery Johnson	54	55	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.34	-6	4	-10	17.8	16.8	1.01	13.7	15.6	-1.96
Monty Williams	55	54	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.45	-4	2	-6	17.3	17.6	-0.31	13.7	15.5	-1.78
Vernon Maxwell	69	68	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.54	-1	-1	0	17.3	17.8	-0.46	13.9	16.1	-2.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.65,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.32,0.42,0.48,0.67,0.62,0.53,0.36,0.47,0.29,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.17,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 92, MIN 85	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.36,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.22,0.27,0.26,0.4,0.46,0.62,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.29,0.03,0.02,0	92.0%
SAS 100, MIN 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.59,0.5,0.51,0.4,0.33,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.32,0.25,0.2,0.3,0.29,0.42,0.43,0.52,0.57,0.27,0.36,0.35,0.22,0.25,0.37,0.15,0.17,0	91.7%
LAL 113, NJN 107	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.56,0.64,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.5,0.57,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.35,0.29,0.41,0.34,0.23,0.25,0.34,0.43,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.36,0.34,0.13,0.05,0.04,0.06,0,0	91.6%