NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	101		Excitement	9.3 [124]		MVP	Terance Mann (LAC): +20.3%
Memphis Grizzlies	95		Comeback	2.6 [660]		LVP	Amir Coffey (LAC): -21.3%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terance Mann	0.20	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.2	0.13	0.10	0.03	17	66%	0.22	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Ivica Zubac	0.11	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.05	0.01	7	71%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	1	75%	0.04	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Paul George	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.05	0.08	0.00	12	56%	0.20	5	-0.17	1	0%	-0.04
P.J. Tucker	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.02	-0.09	0.06	-0.01	8	39%	0.08	4	-0.10	7	86%	0.02
Kawhi Leonard	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07	0.01	-0.04	0.03	18	63%	0.19	6	-0.25	2	100%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	15	43%	-0.04	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Amir Coffey	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.21,-0.21	-0.08	-0.13	0.00	6	17%	-0.18	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Konchar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	4	70%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Lamar Stevens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.04	0.00	9	44%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
GG Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.01	9	50%	0.07	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Luke Kennard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	8	44%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ziaire Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.02	9	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0,-0.03,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.15,0,-0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.05	0.02	25	51%	0.13	2	-0.16	7	71%	0.03
Vince Williams Jr.	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	6	75%	0.05	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	5	40%	0.05	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Santi Aldama	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.00	-0.07	0.01	8	44%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake LaRavia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.00	8	18%	-0.07	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.8	28.1	14.8	24.6	1.7	34.5	130.6
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +42.9%

MEM -10.0%

LAC +28.8%

MEM -14.7%

LAC +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	MEM	NBA	LAC	MEM	NBA
this game	15.2	14.5	14.5	104.1	97.9	113.9
season	14.9	14.8		116.6	106.3
opponent	14.3	14.4		113.2	114.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.6	13.2	15.0	18.4	15.2
MEM	14.8	14.5	13.8	15.0	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terance Mann	59	59	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.24	14	-8	22	15.6	14.6	1.06	15.7	12.7	3.02
Kawhi Leonard	75	77	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.40	8	-2	10	14.5	17.5	-3.04	14.0	16.5	-2.53
Paul George	75	74	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.27	7	-1	8	15.6	13.7	1.90	14.8	13.6	1.16
James Harden	79	80	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.37	3	3	0	14.4	18.8	-4.40	14.7	13.4	1.38
Amir Coffey	53	52	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.34	3	3	0	15.1	15.4	-0.31	13.5	15.6	-2.10
Ivica Zubac	50	53	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.06	6	0	6	16.1	14.3	1.78	15.4	13.4	2.03
Russell Westbrook	47	45	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	8	-10	15.5	14.9	0.61	13.9	15.0	-1.13
Mason Plumlee	19	17	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.04	-5	11	-16	12.4	15.9	-3.52	15.1	14.4	0.68
P.J. Tucker	28	28	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.00	-4	10	-14	17.4	14.3	3.14	12.7	15.2	-2.50

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Konchar	43	42	0.34	-0.84	1.18	0.02	11	-17	28	14.1	14.8	-0.64	15.7	14.8	0.83
Jake LaRavia	33	31	0.18	-0.68	0.87	0.15	1	-7	8	16.0	13.7	2.24	15.3	15.1	0.19
Derrick Rose	28	28	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.06	8	-14	22	13.6	14.8	-1.20	16.4	14.7	1.68
Lamar Stevens	30	30	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.03	-1	-5	4	14.6	14.4	0.20	16.4	14.7	1.70
Santi Aldama	50	48	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.09	-9	3	-12	16.3	12.5	3.81	13.9	16.4	-2.53
GG Jackson	47	49	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.42	3	-9	12	12.5	16.3	-3.81	16.4	13.9	2.53
Jaren Jackson Jr.	67	67	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.35	-5	-1	-4	14.4	14.6	-0.20	14.7	16.4	-1.70
Vince Williams Jr.	73	74	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.29	-11	5	-16	14.6	14.2	0.38	14.9	16.3	-1.45
Ziaire Williams	62	64	-0.74	0.24	-0.99	-0.45	-10	4	-14	13.9	15.5	-1.64	15.0	15.6	-0.67
Luke Kennard	52	52	-0.83	0.33	-1.17	-0.34	-17	11	-28	14.9	14.0	0.84	14.9	15.6	-0.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.47,0.45,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.61,0.67,0.56,0.67,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.48,0.52,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.41,0.63,0.47,0.53,0.66,0.64,0.46,0.55,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 99, ORL 95	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.68,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.43,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.6,0.74,0.46,0.45,0.15,0	92.3%
IND 74, CHA 71	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.55,0.41,0.48,0.6,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.08,0	91.9%
SAS 92, CLE 90	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.69,0.7,0.54,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.37,0.41,0.47,0.46,0.68,0.39,0.68,0.27,0	91.1%