NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	122		Excitement	8.8 [179]		MVP	Devin Vassell (SAS): +37.4%
Sacramento Kings	127		Comeback	5.3 [402]		LVP	Blake Wesley (SAS): -5.6%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Vassell	0.37	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.15,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.26,0.26,0.45,0.45,0.37	0.24	0.14	0.01	18	78%	0.41	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.01
Keldon Johnson	0.35	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35	0.12	0.21	-0.02	12	69%	0.35	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Julian Champagnie	0.08	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.00	0.02	6	83%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedi Osman	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	62%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malaki Branham	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	6	42%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Sochan	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	15	50%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Tre Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	8	62%	0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Victor Wembanyama	-0.01	0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0.16,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	21	42%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Zach Collins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Blake Wesley	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	4	40%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
De'Aaron Fox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.28,0.31	0.31	0.12	0.19	0.00	18	70%	0.47	3	-0.16	4	50%	-0.03
Keegan Murray	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.23	0.23	0.07	0.15	-0.01	10	73%	0.30	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Domantas Sabonis	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.11	0.10	0.01	15	73%	0.26	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Huerter	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.15	0.00	0.03	14	75%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Malik Monk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	-0.00	15	62%	0.15	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Chris Duarte	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	5	40%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	5	42%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Kessler Edwards	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Lyles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	6	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Davion Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.7	2.3	24.0	14.7	29.3	2.4	28.9	123.3
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +46.8%

SAS -4.8%

SAC +21.0%

SAS -13.3%

SAC +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	SAC	NBA	SAS	SAC	NBA
this game	14.4	13.8	14.5	119.6	124.5	113.9
season	13.9	14.0		108.6	115.6
opponent	14.8	14.3		113.6	115.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	14.7	15.1	14.6	13.2	14.4
SAC	13.6	14.3	12.5	15.0	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cedi Osman	26	26	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.03	-1	-4	3	13.5	14.7	-1.26	14.3	13.7	0.64
Julian Champagnie	37	36	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-5	5	14.8	14.2	0.68	12.9	14.4	-1.50
Blake Wesley	36	38	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	-1	-3	14.2	14.5	-0.28	13.4	14.1	-0.62
Zach Collins	33	33	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.05	-5	0	-5	15.4	13.9	1.47	13.6	13.9	-0.34
Tre Jones	64	62	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.25	1	-6	7	14.5	14.3	0.18	14.0	13.6	0.34
Malaki Branham	29	30	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.05	-6	1	-7	13.7	14.7	-1.04	14.1	13.7	0.33
Victor Wembanyama	69	69	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.30	0	-5	5	13.9	15.4	-1.47	13.9	13.6	0.34
Jeremy Sochan	75	74	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.38	-1	-4	3	14.7	13.5	1.20	13.8	13.9	-0.03
Keldon Johnson	65	66	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.33	-5	0	-5	14.2	14.8	-0.68	14.4	12.9	1.50
Devin Vassell	76	76	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.39	-4	-1	-3	14.7	13.5	1.26	13.7	14.3	-0.64

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Huerter	65	65	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.30	15	-10	25	13.8	13.9	-0.18	15.1	13.1	2.03
Domantas Sabonis	70	72	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.22	15	-10	25	13.8	13.8	0.03	14.4	14.5	-0.14
Malik Monk	58	56	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.39	8	-3	11	12.9	15.1	-2.21	15.1	13.6	1.48
Keegan Murray	73	73	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.38	3	2	1	13.9	13.7	0.15	14.3	14.7	-0.40
De'Aaron Fox	78	78	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.34	-1	6	-7	14.0	13.4	0.60	14.5	14.2	0.31
Davion Mitchell	24	24	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.02	6	-1	7	13.4	14.0	-0.60	14.2	14.5	-0.31
Chris Duarte	42	41	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.01	4	1	3	14.8	13.2	1.58	14.6	14.3	0.31
Kessler Edwards	0	1	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.01	0	5	-5	0.0	13.8	-13.83	1.0	14.5	-13.53
Alex Len	29	27	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.03	-3	8	-11	13.4	14.0	-0.59	15.6	14.0	1.57
Harrison Barnes	37	39	-0.26	0.76	-1.03	-0.06	-7	12	-19	13.9	13.8	0.13	13.7	14.8	-1.11
Trey Lyles	34	34	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	0.15	-15	20	-35	14.6	13.5	1.13	12.3	15.5	-3.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.6,0.51,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.65,0.84,0.74,0.83,0.82,0.74,0.73,0.82,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.78,0.69,0.72,0.22,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 98, BOS 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.6,0.69,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.71,0.8,0.84,0.76,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.6,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.43,0.83,1	91.5%
PHI 127, ATL 129	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.46,0.54,0.65,0.64,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.72,0.87,0.8,0.78,0.6,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.67,0.63,0.7,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.64,0.31,0.72,1	90.6%
WAS 104, DEN 106	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.77,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.75,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.9,0.9,0.75,0.76,0.68,0.64,0.53,0.73,0.69,0.63,0.45,0.74,1	90.6%