NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	127		Excitement	11.4 [45]		MVP	Jimmy Butler (PHI): +46.3%
Atlanta Hawks	129		Comeback	3.4 [192]		LVP	Tobias Harris (PHI): -18.7%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jimmy Butler	0.46	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0,0,-0.07,0.02,0.16,0.46	0.11	0.35	-0.00	13	64%	0.50	1	-0.03	13	100%	0.23
Ben Simmons	0.10	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.06	0.01	16	58%	0.19	2	-0.10	4	75%	0.00
JJ Redick	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.01	0.06	-0.01	13	50%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.03
James Ennis III	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	5	57%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Mike Scott	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.03	0.00	7	64%	0.07	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Boban Marjanovic	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	56%	0.03	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Joel Embiid	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.15,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.21,-0.07,-0.07	0.11	-0.17	0.01	11	75%	0.29	4	-0.36	14	79%	0.04
Tobias Harris	-0.19	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.09	-0.08	0.01	17	37%	-0.13	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trae Young	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,0.07,0.34	0.34	0.09	0.28	0.03	20	68%	0.65	6	-0.31	7	86%	-0.01
Dewayne Dedmon	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.14	0.15	-0.00	11	71%	0.30	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
DeAndre' Bembry	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.08	-0.00	6	50%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taurean Prince	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.07,0.07,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,0.09	0.09	0.11	-0.01	0.01	15	70%	0.22	3	-0.14	3	100%	0.02
Kevin Huerter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.06	0.00	7	50%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	13	52%	0.08	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Jaylen Adams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	3	71%	0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
John Collins	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	10	54%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.05
Justin Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.02	-0.01	7	18%	-0.05	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.05
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	8	19%	-0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.4	1.7	26.2	15.3	24.5	2.4	40.1	139.5
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +71.3%

PHI -45.6%

PHI -10.2%

ATL +33.0%

ATL +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	ATL	NBA	PHI	ATL	NBA
this game	13.8	12.4	14.3	115.5	117.3	109.3
season	14.0	13.6		110.9	107.2
opponent	13.9	14.1		112.6	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	11.3	17.9	14.9	11.8	13.8
ATL	13.5	10.9	13.9	11.4	12.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JJ Redick	73	74	0.41	-0.91	1.33	0.30	4	-6	10	12.4	16.5	-4.14	12.2	12.8	-0.62
Mike Scott	63	62	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.22	10	-12	22	14.0	13.5	0.56	12.4	12.4	0.03
T.J. McConnell	30	27	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.01	-3	1	-4	17.5	12.4	5.10	11.9	12.6	-0.67
Joel Embiid	80	83	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.33	3	-5	8	12.5	17.3	-4.82	12.6	11.8	0.81
Boban Marjanovic	22	20	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.10	-5	3	-8	18.2	12.7	5.55	12.8	12.3	0.50
Ben Simmons	80	83	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.41	1	-3	4	12.4	17.5	-5.10	12.6	11.9	0.67
Jimmy Butler	79	79	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.41	-5	3	-8	15.1	10.5	4.51	12.5	12.1	0.41
Tobias Harris	82	81	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.30	-11	9	-20	14.9	10.6	4.32	12.7	11.5	1.19
James Ennis III	41	41	-0.84	0.34	-1.19	-0.73	-4	2	-6	11.4	15.2	-3.75	11.3	13.0	-1.75

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dewayne Dedmon	63	65	1.02	-0.52	1.54	0.34	23	-21	44	11.6	13.5	-1.88	14.3	13.0	1.34
Kevin Huerter	64	64	0.98	-0.48	1.45	0.30	23	-21	44	11.9	13.1	-1.23	13.8	13.8	0.01
Trae Young	76	77	0.94	-0.44	1.37	0.29	22	-20	42	12.0	13.3	-1.35	14.3	12.5	1.82
Taurean Prince	74	75	0.90	-0.40	1.30	0.40	17	-15	32	12.3	12.6	-0.29	13.9	13.6	0.32
John Collins	71	71	0.88	-0.38	1.26	0.38	17	-15	32	12.3	12.5	-0.15	13.7	14.0	-0.32
Vince Carter	37	37	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	0.08	-12	14	-26	12.7	12.2	0.51	13.9	13.7	0.19
Justin Anderson	25	24	-0.32	0.82	-1.15	0.06	-13	15	-28	11.3	12.7	-1.44	11.3	14.5	-3.14
DeAndre' Bembry	30	30	-0.34	0.84	-1.19	0.10	-15	17	-32	14.4	11.6	2.72	15.3	13.2	2.12
Kent Bazemore	34	34	-0.36	0.86	-1.23	0.05	-14	16	-30	12.6	12.3	0.29	13.4	14.0	-0.63
Jaylen Adams	29	28	-0.42	0.92	-1.34	0.08	-17	19	-36	13.2	12.1	1.15	13.1	14.0	-0.92
Alex Len	47	45	-0.49	0.99	-1.49	0.12	-21	23	-44	13.5	11.6	1.88	13.0	14.3	-1.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.46,0.54,0.65,0.64,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.72,0.87,0.8,0.78,0.6,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.67,0.63,0.7,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.64,0.31,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 93, NYK 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.73,0.77,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.5,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.62,0.7,0.67,0.83,1	90.8%
NYK 103, DAL 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.79,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.54,0.61,0.72,0.23,0.58,1	90.6%
MIA 98, BOS 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.6,0.69,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.71,0.8,0.84,0.76,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.6,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.43,0.83,1	90.5%