NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	93		Excitement	8.1 [249]		MVP	Sasha Pavlovic (CLE): +37.1%
New York Knicks	97		Comeback	1.4 [459]		LVP	LeBron James (CLE): -24.2%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sasha Pavlovic	0.37	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.37,0.37	0.21	0.17	0.01	8	111%	0.42	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Eric Snow	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.01	0.10	-0.00	6	50%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.06	0.00	2	100%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Donyell Marshall	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	10	36%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Drew Gooden	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gibson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	4	0%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.04	-0.14	0.03	16	46%	-0.13	3	-0.08	7	86%	-0.05
LeBron James	-0.24	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.09,-0.24,-0.24	-0.07	-0.18	-0.01	20	44%	-0.06	3	-0.18	14	71%	-0.04

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,0.04,0.24	0.24	0.02	0.21	-0.02	15	50%	0.29	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Eddy Curry	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0,0,0.05,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.06	0.19	0.01	13	62%	0.33	4	-0.10	14	79%	0.06
Renaldo Balkman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Steve Francis	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	3	117%	0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.02	13	57%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jerome James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randolph Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	1	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.01,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	3	62%	0.08	2	-0.15	2	50%	-0.05
Mardy Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	5	40%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	11	48%	0.02	3	-0.10	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.3	2.6	32.0	16.6	28.2	2.6	35.1	145.5
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +41.1%

NYK +16.4%

NYK +3.7%

CLE -10.5%

CLE -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	NYK	NBA	CLE	NYK	NBA
this game	16.4	15.3	15.4	103.3	105.4	104.5
season	16.0	15.7		103.2	103.7
opponent	15.4	15.6		106.7	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	17.4	16.1	15.3	16.9	16.4
NYK	15.3	13.9	15.4	16.6	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donyell Marshall	17	17	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.01	5	-9	14	14.4	16.8	-2.50	14.1	15.6	-1.50
Daniel Gibson	24	26	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.03	4	-8	12	13.5	17.4	-3.92	13.2	16.1	-2.91
Drew Gooden	39	40	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.07	-6	2	-8	17.3	15.7	1.60	14.1	16.2	-2.05
Scot Pollard	8	6	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	-2	0	17.7	16.2	1.51	17.0	15.2	1.84
Anderson Varejao	51	54	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.34	5	-9	14	15.0	18.2	-3.18	15.7	14.7	0.93
Larry Hughes	49	48	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.02	-7	3	-10	17.6	15.0	2.58	15.3	15.2	0.06
LeBron James	82	84	-0.34	-0.15	-0.19	-0.43	3	-7	10	16.2	18.1	-1.92	15.5	12.5	3.05
Eric Snow	53	56	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.30	-4	0	-4	15.7	17.4	-1.75	15.3	15.2	0.14
Sasha Pavlovic	62	62	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.37	-8	4	-12	17.4	14.1	3.30	15.7	14.4	1.36
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	65	67	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.38	-10	6	-16	17.3	14.0	3.24	15.8	13.8	1.98

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddy Curry	70	72	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.33	14	-10	24	15.4	15.0	0.37	17.0	13.7	3.32
Stephon Marbury	81	81	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.31	8	-4	12	15.5	13.9	1.56	16.6	14.8	1.78
Channing Frye	70	67	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.26	9	-5	14	15.4	15.0	0.43	16.8	15.1	1.68
Malik Rose	26	24	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.34	1	3	-2	16.0	15.0	1.00	16.7	16.2	0.51
Mardy Collins	32	29	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.24	2	2	0	14.0	16.0	-1.97	15.7	16.7	-1.02
Jared Jeffries	49	49	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.29	-3	7	-10	15.4	15.2	0.22	16.5	16.3	0.20
Nate Robinson	61	58	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.02	3	1	2	14.9	16.0	-1.08	16.0	17.1	-1.11
Renaldo Balkman	23	23	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.01	0	4	-4	14.5	15.5	-1.01	16.0	16.5	-0.57
Randolph Morris	15	14	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.01	-2	6	-8	14.1	15.5	-1.37	14.9	16.6	-1.72
Steve Francis	18	18	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.04	-3	7	-10	16.4	15.0	1.44	17.2	16.2	1.06
Jerome James	15	15	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.10	-9	13	-22	16.9	15.0	1.97	13.3	17.0	-3.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.73,0.77,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.5,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.62,0.7,0.67,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 101, POR 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.6,0.51,0.64,0.58,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.73,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.82,1	93.8%
DET 97, IND 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.64,0.54,0.61,0.51,0.52,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.72,0.69,0.72,1	93.0%
SAC 86, WAS 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.63,0.7,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.89,0.96,1	92.3%