NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	97		Excitement	10.1 [48]		MVP	Paul George (IND): +21.7%
Indiana Pacers	103		Comeback	1.5 [725]		LVP	Darren Collison (IND): -44.4%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tayshaun Prince	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.07	0.13	-0.01	11	56%	0.20	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Charlie Villanueva	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	-0.01	0.00	9	72%	0.11	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Austin Daye	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.03	0.01	7	65%	0.07	1	-0.05	3	67%	0.00
Vernon Macklin	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Knight	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	14	53%	0.10	4	-0.12	2	50%	-0.03
Jason Maxiell	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.00	-0.02	0.04	9	45%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Rodney Stuckey	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Will Bynum	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.07,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	8	35%	-0.05	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.03
Greg Monroe	-0.39	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.23,-0.39	-0.08	-0.31	0.00	15	50%	-0.12	5	-0.27	6	33%	-0.31

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22	0.22	0.12	0.12	0.02	15	60%	0.23	1	-0.02	15	87%	0.07
Jeff Ayres	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	10	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	11	48%	0.05	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.11,-0.01,-0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.04	0.00	10	52%	0.16	3	-0.14	5	100%	0.08
Kyrylo Fesenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.02	2	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
A.J. Price	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	0.00	2	33%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
David West	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.18,-0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.08	-0.01	19	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dahntay Jones	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	7	40%	-0.02	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	5	14%	-0.09	0	0.00	4	0%	-0.10
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.27,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.44,-0.44	-0.44	-0.20	-0.25	-0.00	8	22%	-0.12	6	-0.32	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	2.8	32.1	16.4	23.7	2.3	40.6	140.8
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET -47.4%

IND +38.8%

IND +45.9%

IND +7.8%

IND +4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	IND	NBA	DET	IND	NBA
this game	15.1	14.4	15.6	100.0	105.1	102.8
season	16.3	15.7		99.5	104.2
opponent	15.6	15.4		101.1	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	15.9	15.8	14.9	14.0	15.1
IND	13.5	14.2	15.8	14.3	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Maxiell	60	59	0.16	-0.66	0.83	-0.07	8	-14	22	15.6	14.3	1.29	14.4	14.4	0.01
Greg Monroe	74	76	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.25	5	-11	16	14.9	15.9	-0.98	14.2	15.2	-0.98
Rodney Stuckey	41	42	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.01	-5	-1	-4	15.7	14.7	0.97	13.9	14.8	-0.90
Brandon Knight	71	74	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.21	1	-7	8	15.2	14.9	0.33	14.0	15.6	-1.60
Tayshaun Prince	61	62	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.17	-2	-4	2	14.7	15.9	-1.26	14.2	14.8	-0.61
Austin Daye	36	36	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.15	-4	-2	-2	15.9	14.7	1.26	14.8	14.2	0.61
Will Bynum	22	20	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.07	-7	1	-8	14.7	15.2	-0.51	15.8	14.1	1.74
Ben Gordon	56	56	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.31	-1	-5	4	14.7	15.7	-0.97	14.8	13.9	0.90
Vernon Macklin	27	26	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.12	-11	5	-16	15.9	14.8	1.01	15.1	14.2	0.95
Charlie Villanueva	37	39	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.25	-14	8	-22	14.3	15.6	-1.29	14.4	14.4	-0.01

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul George	70	69	0.85	-0.35	1.19	0.26	20	-14	34	14.0	15.4	-1.31	15.3	14.8	0.48
David West	57	55	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.32	6	0	6	14.7	14.1	0.59	15.3	14.9	0.34
Tyler Hansbrough	58	58	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.29	0	6	-6	14.5	14.2	0.28	14.5	16.0	-1.51
Leandro Barbosa	59	59	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.28	0	6	-6	14.8	13.8	0.99	14.7	15.7	-1.01
Darren Collison	64	63	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.36	-3	9	-12	14.5	14.4	0.10	14.7	15.8	-1.08
Jeff Ayres	36	36	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.02	7	-1	8	14.8	14.2	0.57	16.2	14.5	1.75
A.J. Price	34	34	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.04	9	-3	12	14.4	14.5	-0.10	15.8	14.7	1.08
Lou Amundson	32	32	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.07	-1	7	-8	14.1	14.6	-0.48	15.2	15.1	0.05
Dahntay Jones	46	45	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.08	-2	8	-10	14.9	14.0	0.89	15.8	14.6	1.22
Kyrylo Fesenko	12	13	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	-0.05	0	6	-6	13.5	14.5	-1.05	14.1	15.3	-1.21
Lance Stephenson	22	21	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.02	-6	12	-18	13.0	14.8	-1.83	14.4	15.3	-0.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.64,0.54,0.61,0.51,0.52,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.72,0.69,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 93, NYK 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.73,0.77,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.5,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.62,0.7,0.67,0.83,1	93.0%
ATL 101, POR 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.6,0.51,0.64,0.58,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.73,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.82,1	91.9%
WAS 113, PHI 119	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.54,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.48,0.58,0.59,0.71,0.84,0.93,0.89,0.87,0.58,1	91.6%