inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 98 Excitement7.8 [270] MVPPaul Pierce (BOS): +52.3%
Boston Celtics 105 Comeback1.7 [810] LVPKendrick Perkins (BOS): -18.0%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dwyane Wade0.180,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.26,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.31,0.22,0.180.100.06-0.022058%0.201-0.011354%-0.08
Michael Beasley0.100,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.020.06-0.022052%0.152-0.05475%-0.00
James Jones0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.060.020.080.03646%0.0600.001100%0.02
Jermaine O'Neal0.050,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.050.040.020.011362%0.092-0.0400%0.00
Jamaal Magloire0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.00389%0.122-0.07367%0.01
Daequan Cook0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.00-0.01437%0.0100.0000%0.00
Joel Anthony0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Yakhouba Diawara-0.040,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.010.01736%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Chris Quinn-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.010.00125%-0.021-0.02250%-0.01
Mario Chalmers-0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.07-0.10-0.01928%-0.121-0.0400%0.00

Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Paul Pierce0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.51,0.520.520.200.330.011678%0.551-0.034100%0.07
Glen Davis0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.170.170.000.15-0.011755%0.233-0.066100%0.04
Ray Allen0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.100.060.051464%0.151-0.045100%0.01
Henry Walker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.010.001100%0.0300.0000%0.00
Eddie House0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.03-0.010.00280%0.0200.001100%0.01
Stephon Marbury0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.03-0.020.00757%0.0100.0000%0.00
Mikki Moore0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.010.00233%-0.0200.002100%0.01
Tony Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.010.00125%-0.022-0.05250%-0.01
Rajon Rondo0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.01-0.090.01654%-0.012-0.111100%0.01
Kendrick Perkins0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.18-0.12-0.07-0.011533%-0.123-0.0600%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.82.532.515.723.01.837.4137.7
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +32.5%
BOS +6.3%
BOS +4.9%
BOS +4.3%
BOS +1.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIABOSNBAMIABOSNBA
this game16.216.115.5110.1118.0106.4
season16.015.8105.9108.3
opponent15.615.7101.7105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA15.216.516.017.316.2
BOS16.914.817.415.416.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Joel Anthony110.03-0.530.55-0.032-9113.016.4-13.4023.016.06.97
Chris Quinn1515-0.01-0.490.470.01-1-6516.416.20.1814.116.5-2.38
Daequan Cook1514-0.09-0.410.330.06-5-2-314.116.7-2.6214.816.4-1.57
Jamaal Magloire3737-0.10-0.400.30-0.07-1-6516.316.20.1314.717.1-2.41
Yakhouba Diawara5758-0.21-0.290.08-0.03-6-1-515.517.5-1.9616.116.2-0.08
Mario Chalmers7171-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.29-1-6516.614.91.7016.415.21.19
James Jones3738-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.28-3-4116.915.71.2015.116.9-1.80
Jermaine O'Neal6666-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.26-70-716.914.52.3916.814.02.79
Michael Beasley7271-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.27-70-716.116.7-0.5716.713.92.79
Dwyane Wade7474-0.49-0.01-0.47-0.31-6-1-516.216.4-0.1816.514.12.38

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Paul Pierce68670.63-0.130.760.3111-41516.515.01.4616.216.5-0.34
Ray Allen72710.61-0.110.720.3110-31316.116.2-0.0816.515.11.42
Rajon Rondo64630.53-0.030.550.2310-31316.515.21.3216.216.5-0.30
Kendrick Perkins71710.390.110.290.2843117.012.84.1816.614.81.77
Glen Davis68680.300.200.100.2716-516.514.91.6416.415.70.70
Mikki Moore31320.260.240.020.1152316.116.1-0.0216.416.20.25
Henry Walker330.060.44-0.380.0025-310.716.3-5.6417.316.21.12
Tony Allen2221-0.030.53-0.550.00-18-913.317.0-3.7115.416.5-1.13
Stephon Marbury2728-0.030.53-0.560.03-29-1114.216.9-2.7115.616.5-0.88
Eddie House1921-0.220.72-0.94-0.07-512-1715.916.2-0.2115.316.5-1.20


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.6,0.69,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.71,0.8,0.84,0.76,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.6,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.43,0.83,1
GameSimilarity Score
NOH 87, MIA 910.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.79,0.63,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.68,0.59,0.47,0.6,0.44,0.61,0.45,0.73,191.8%
SAC 81, POR 830.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.67,0.59,0.58,0.52,0.63,0.67,0.61,0.7,0.68,0.83,0.89,0.87,0.88,0.93,0.9,0.85,0.7,0.58,0.77,0.69,0.65,0.61,0.75,0.71,0.57,0.84,191.4%
CLE 93, NYK 970.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.73,0.77,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.5,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.62,0.7,0.67,0.83,191.4%