NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	81		Excitement	7.4 [334]		MVP	Vlade Divac (SAC): +5.4%
Portland Trail Blazers	83		Comeback	1.6 [879]		LVP	Mike Bibby (SAC): -21.0%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vlade Divac	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	5	64%	0.09	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Anthony Peeler	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.05	-0.00	5	60%	0.11	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Buford	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	11	36%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	-0.09	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.02	-0.05	0.02	17	49%	-0.05	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.03
Chris Webber	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.07,0,-0.1,-0.1	-0.01	-0.07	0.02	16	50%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.19	-0.04	-0.14	0.01	6	57%	-0.13	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Bibby	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.12,-0.21,-0.21	-0.10	-0.12	-0.02	15	40%	-0.02	4	-0.19	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.00	6	67%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.04	0.04	-0.10	0.11	-0.03	22	38%	0.09	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.01	6	57%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.06	-0.05	0.01	9	62%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omar Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	7	61%	0.02	3	-0.09	4	75%	-0.00
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	10	27%	-0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16	-0.16	-0.07	-0.09	0.00	22	45%	0.01	4	-0.17	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.0	1.7	24.2	15.7	25.3	2.4	27.4	117.5
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +7.0%

POR +20.6%

POR +14.3%

POR +5.8%

POR +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	POR	NBA	SAC	POR	NBA
this game	15.6	17.1	15.7	92.0	94.3	100.5
season	14.7	17.1		106.9	101.5
opponent	15.7	15.6		103.2	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	16.7	16.4	13.8	15.9	15.6
POR	16.8	15.5	14.4	22.8	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vlade Divac	38	40	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.13	5	-7	12	15.7	15.6	0.08	18.4	16.0	2.45
Anthony Peeler	33	35	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.01	-1	-1	0	16.0	15.4	0.67	17.8	16.7	1.14
Rodney Buford	12	11	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	0	-2	16.5	15.5	1.03	17.5	17.1	0.49
Darius Songaila	14	14	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.02	-3	1	-4	16.4	15.5	0.88	13.2	17.9	-4.64
Mike Bibby	76	75	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.33	5	-7	12	15.6	15.6	0.04	17.2	16.6	0.58
Brad Miller	63	63	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.38	1	-3	4	15.2	16.6	-1.32	17.1	17.1	0.05
Doug Christie	72	70	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.45	-3	1	-4	15.7	15.4	0.22	17.4	15.9	1.54
Chris Webber	61	59	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.39	-7	5	-12	15.8	15.2	0.62	17.1	17.1	0.02
Peja Stojakovic	71	73	-0.71	0.21	-0.91	-0.56	-5	3	-8	15.2	17.2	-2.01	16.3	20.9	-4.60

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Theo Ratliff	71	72	0.85	-0.35	1.21	0.41	15	-13	28	16.5	19.5	-2.99	15.6	15.8	-0.24
Derek Anderson	76	76	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.43	11	-9	20	16.3	22.5	-6.24	15.8	14.3	1.48
Zach Randolph	68	68	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.50	2	0	2	17.0	17.3	-0.31	16.1	14.0	2.02
Damon Stoudamire	80	80	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.45	-3	5	-8	17.7	11.1	6.59	15.8	13.9	1.91
Darius Miles	58	59	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.44	-5	7	-12	18.2	15.1	3.11	15.4	16.0	-0.52
Omar Cook	8	8	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.01	5	-3	8	11.1	17.7	-6.59	13.9	15.8	-1.91
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	27	26	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.00	-1	3	-4	18.5	16.5	2.03	14.8	16.0	-1.14
Ruben Patterson	42	41	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.01	-2	4	-6	17.2	17.0	0.15	15.5	15.7	-0.24
Dale Davis	10	10	-0.36	0.86	-1.23	-0.01	-12	14	-26	17.9	17.0	0.89	14.9	15.7	-0.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.67,0.59,0.58,0.52,0.63,0.67,0.61,0.7,0.68,0.83,0.89,0.87,0.88,0.93,0.9,0.85,0.7,0.58,0.77,0.69,0.65,0.61,0.75,0.71,0.57,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 72, POR 79	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.65,0.67,0.75,0.76,0.87,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.74,0.84,0.81,0.81,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.72,0.81,0.71,0.67,0.96,1	92.2%
CHA 87, NYK 91	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.76,0.65,0.74,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.87,0.78,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.68,0.83,0.84,0.66,0.76,0.72,0.68,0.83,1	91.8%
MIA 98, BOS 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.6,0.69,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.71,0.8,0.84,0.76,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.6,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.43,0.83,1	91.4%