NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	115		Excitement	8.0 [274]		MVP	Grant Williams (CHA): +28.3%
Utah Jazz	107		Comeback	4.1 [135]		LVP	Vasilije Micic (CHA): -17.1%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Grant Williams	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.16	0.10	-0.03	16	67%	0.28	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Davis Bertans	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.12	0.08	0.00	3	150%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Miles Bridges	0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.16,0.16	0.11	0.07	0.02	20	59%	0.20	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Nick Richards	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.04	0.01	5	57%	0.06	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Seth Curry	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	8	59%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Tre Mann	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.01	8	65%	0.07	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Brandon Miller	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	16	48%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Cody Martin	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	7	36%	-0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Vasilije Micic	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.15	-0.05	-0.03	9	18%	-0.12	2	-0.05	4	50%	0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Taylor Hendricks	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.08	0.08	-0.01	9	63%	0.16	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Brice Sensabaugh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.00	6	58%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lauri Markkanen	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	14	55%	0.11	2	-0.06	10	90%	0.03
Kris Dunn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	7	57%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Collins	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	10	45%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Keyonte George	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.09,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	14	57%	0.11	5	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Walker Kessler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	4	25%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Collin Sexton	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.01	-0.09	0.04	10	57%	0.01	4	-0.16	10	90%	0.02
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.16	-0.16	-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	13	47%	0.02	4	-0.18	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.5	2.5	27.4	15.3	26.5	2.4	30.7	134.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +38.5%

UTA -7.6%

UTA -14.8%

CHA +40.5%

UTA -6.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	UTA	NBA	CHA	UTA	NBA
this game	14.7	14.4	14.5	115.0	109.2	113.9
season	14.8	14.7		108.3	113.7
opponent	13.9	14.5		119.0	118.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	12.9	15.7	14.2	16.0	14.7
UTA	16.6	13.1	12.5	16.0	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Miles Bridges	85	83	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.20	12	-4	16	14.1	18.0	-3.92	14.3	15.3	-1.08
Cody Martin	64	62	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.38	0	8	-8	15.2	13.7	1.48	13.7	15.6	-1.93
Vasilije Micic	41	42	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.09	15	-7	22	13.4	15.5	-2.13	14.5	14.3	0.18
Nick Richards	57	56	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.31	1	7	-6	15.3	13.9	1.38	15.4	13.1	2.23
Brandon Miller	80	78	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.38	-3	11	-14	15.1	12.9	2.21	14.3	15.0	-0.73
Davis Bertans	12	13	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.05	7	1	6	14.5	14.7	-0.19	15.5	14.2	1.29
Tre Mann	62	60	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.16	2	6	-4	14.7	14.6	0.10	15.0	13.5	1.46
Grant Williams	58	57	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.02	3	5	-2	14.9	14.3	0.66	13.7	15.4	-1.67
Seth Curry	41	39	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.08	3	5	-2	14.2	15.0	-0.76	14.5	14.4	0.11

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Taylor Hendricks	53	54	0.22	-0.72	0.94	-0.07	10	-18	28	14.6	14.2	0.44	15.3	13.9	1.44
John Collins	63	64	0.19	-0.69	0.89	-0.10	10	-18	28	14.0	15.1	-1.08	15.0	14.0	1.05
Keyonte George	64	65	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.05	7	-15	22	14.0	15.3	-1.30	14.8	14.3	0.50
Collin Sexton	53	54	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.25	2	-10	12	14.0	14.9	-0.91	14.7	14.6	0.11
Brice Sensabaugh	26	26	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.00	-9	1	-10	15.3	14.1	1.21	13.8	15.0	-1.17
Kris Dunn	52	53	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.10	-12	4	-16	15.3	13.4	1.98	13.9	15.5	-1.55
Lauri Markkanen	74	77	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.36	-11	3	-14	13.8	16.5	-2.70	14.9	13.8	1.15
Walker Kessler	35	36	-0.69	0.19	-0.89	-0.17	-18	10	-28	15.1	14.0	1.08	14.0	15.0	-1.05
Jordan Clarkson	70	71	-0.77	0.27	-1.05	-0.22	-19	11	-30	14.7	13.8	0.89	14.5	15.0	-0.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.31,0.4,0.47,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.34,0.3,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.6,0.26,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 127, DEN 115	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.43,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.6,0.74,0.66,0.79,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.29,0.18,0.1,0.05,0.02,0,0	92.2%
MEM 79, HOU 71	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.28,0.23,0.3,0.31,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.52,0.6,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.48,0.58,0.31,0.2,0.14,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.02,0	92.2%
TOR 95, NOH 84	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.32,0.27,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.27,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.68,0.78,0.62,0.48,0.57,0.37,0.26,0.24,0.13,0.1,0.02,0.01,0,0	91.9%